It’s going to be near impossible for another team out there to offer a return that is more valuable to the 2026 tigers than one year of Skubal plus a high comp pick.
When I say 2026 tigers, I am not referring to the 2026 season, but rather the state of the organization in winter 2026 (which of course includes the 2026 season and beyond, with the immediate 2026 season expected to be postseason competitive).
As for comps, the two deals you could look are the Burnes deal (ace-level pitcher but not as good as Skubal) and the last Soto deal (elite MVP caliber player, but not a SP). The brewers were competitive in 2024.
But I’m not sure the brewers are popping champagne today based on the dudes they got in return for Burnes. Joey Ortiz was good last year, but not great.
I don’t know enough about how the return for Soto is working out for SD, but Michael King is pretty nice to have, I guess. I don’t think any of the other guys are any more than fungible dudes. SD was competitive in 2024. King was very good last year and has been just as good when healthy this year. SD was in a unique situation last year with a crowded outfield that included Soto and they really needed pitching. This might be a deal that the Yankees regret, and the padres might also wish they had done better for Soto.
So, it’s really hard to make these deals. No one wants to end up like Baltimore and the Yankees with nothing to show for giving up their assets, and in some cases being substantially worse off. But from SD and Milwaukee perspective, SD is probably wishing they got more than one player of actual value in return for Juan Soto. Milwaukee likely wishes they had done better than Joey Ortiz.