LongLiveMaroth

Another week and another drop of 2 mocks. An interesting tidbit from Law is there are an assumed 11 players that are a tier above the others we pick 11th so I guess that's good 🤷‍♂️ also "I’ve had national cross-checkers, scouting directors, and even a GM comment to me on what a mess the draft is after the first echelon of players is off the board."

https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-pipeline-2024-mock-draft-mid-may

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5490480/2024/05/15/mlb-mock-draft-2024-travis-bazzana-charlie-condon/

Pipeline: Yesavage
Athletic: Rainer

11. Detroit Tigers: Bryce Rainer, SS, Harvard-Westlake (Studio City, Calif.)

There’s a dashed line of sorts between the top-11 players in the class and everyone else, not a huge dropoff but enough that I’m assuming the Tigers will just take whichever guy is left in that group rather than doing a deal with someone else.

Also thanks @1984Echoes for keeping the updates going! 

We are a couple of weeks into the FCL and here are the prospects of note and how they have fared so far.

Enrique Jimenez - .207/.368/.713
Abel Bastidas .125/.192/.359
Franyerber Montilla .370/.553/1.109 7SB/1CS
Juan Hernandez .238/.304/.637
Carson Rucker .385/.467/1.159 (Only 4 games on IL 😞 ) 
Paul Wilson 2G 6.1IP 5.68 ERA 5K 7BB
Andrew Dunford 1G 0.1IP 108.00ERA
Blake Dickerson 1G 1.2IP  10.80ERA 
 

4 minutes ago, Tenacious D said:

Probably explains his recent performance at Toledo.  Hope it’s not serious.

Welcome back—I hope this is the last of your work-related distractions so you can prioritize the minor league updates this summer.

 

That makes two of us but I was able to catch a Brewers game while I was away which was a decent consolation prize.

11 hours ago, Topliner1903 said:

I don't think Briceno has played in the last three or four games. Is he injured?

05/14/24 Lakeland Flying Tigers placed C Josue Briceño on the 7-day injured list. 

Not sure what for also to note Wilmer Flores is on the IL as well. 

So I took a look at Colt's savant page; if you look at his page his expected BA, SLG, and OBA are pretty much league average. He has had some terrible luck with a .206 BABIP. He has a higher than average LA so it's not like he's beating them into the ground. 

1 hour ago, SoCalTiger said:

Do we have any true power hitters in our system ? Jung ? Miguel has left his imprint..Singuelio..

Right now, Jung and Malloy are probably your closest. The org is prioritizing hit tools and defense generally it seems. 

Hamm dropped his season ERA to 0.94

Blake Dickerson (prospect that they traded with SD for 500k Int. money for)  1.2IP 2ER 2BB H 3K.

Just a heads up I won't be doing updates for the majority of the week next week as I will be traveling for work. Should be back on Friday.

42 minutes ago, theroundsquare said:

I forgot that Roberto Campos exists

He must have heard you. He's honestly doing better this year hitting .278 now and is hitting the ball in the air more often, still waiting for the hit and power to be consistent as he will need to show more in game power if he is going to be relegated to a corner but he is still just 20.

34 minutes ago, 1984Echoes said:

Wasn't Bastidas a big signing...?

He was but that has not been fruitful for the Tigers. He hasn't really shown any hit tool or power to speak of. 

Toledo W 5-1
Meadows 0/4 2K
Urshela 1/2 BB
Jung 1/2 2BB K 2B
Bigbie 2/4 3RBI 3B
Dingler 0/3 RBI 
Hurter 5IP 5H 1BB 9K 0ER
Flores 2IP H BB 3K

Erie W 3-1
Workman 1/4 RBI BB
Lee 1/3 BB

WM W 6-3
Anderson 1/4 RBI K 
Gold 1/3 4RBI 2 K HR
Campos 0/3 BB
Pacheco 1/4 K
Graham 1/2 RBI BB
Marcano 5IP 2H ER 3BB 5K 

Lakeland W 1-0
Gil 1/5 K
Clark 1/5
Briceno 2/3 K
Campbell 1/4 K
Santana 0/3 RBI BB
Minton 5IP 4H BB K
 

FCL L 5-1
Perez 0/3 2BB K 
Rucker 1/1 2B (Pulled from game? Possible injury?)
Jimenez 0/2 2BB SB
Bastidas 0/3 BB K
Montilla 2/4 2B SB

If you are wondering who to watch in the FCL based on what I have found via Fangraphs; 
Juan Hernandez 
Hernandez, 17, is a sweet-swinging, lefty-hitting infielder who hit .292 in the DSL. He could wind up with a 50 hit/50 power combo, which he’ll need every bit of to profile at second base.

Franyerber Montilla
Montilla is a projectable switch-hitter who had a much better year in his second DSL season. His swing is explosive but still a little out of control, which I think is okay for a switch-hitter his age. He’s got the biggest ceiling of this group, a potential switch-hitting shortstop with clumsy pop, in the Rodolfo Castro mold.

Carson Rucker

4th Rd pick last year; Rucker is a projectable infielder who was signed away from a Tennessee commitment for $772,500. He has a strong top hand that generates impressive pull power when his swing is on time, though his lever length may not always allow for that in pro ball. His present power and long-term power projection are Rucker’s carrying tools, while his relatively grooved swing creates some hit tool risk that will prove more concerning if Rucker outgrows short. For now, he’s a raw developmental infielder with a shot to have corner-worthy power.

Enrique Jimenez
An international scout cross-checking his own reports on the 2023 international class with players’ 2023 DSL performances told me he thought Jimenez, who signed for $1.25 million, had a strong enough summer to reinforce his bonus amount. The stocky, switch-hitting catcher was tied for the Tigers DSL lead in hard-hit rate (31%), posted a 91% in-zone contact rate, and looks the part from a bat speed and barrel control standpoint, especially as a right-handed hitter. He’s a well-rounded hitter who has a shot to play a premium position with development.

Andrew Dunford
Dunford signed for just under $370,000 to eschew a commitment to Mercer. He has an exciting combination of projection (he has room for another 30-plus pounds of mass) and athleticism (big drop-and-drive and hip/shoulder separation), especially for a pitching prospect this size. He only threw four innings after signing, but Dunford’s fastball averaged 95 mph out of the chute. Dunford and the Tigers have a ton of work to do on his command and breaking ball situation (he had an inconsistent curveball in high school and is basically starting from scratch in pro ball), but he was a fun mid-six figure pull on the third day of the draft and is an important low-level prospect to monitor.

10 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

Bigbie got off to such a slow start, made it look like his hot finish last season was just a mirage - but he's started to turn it around a bit. 900 OPS so far in May.

I haven't watched enough of his AB's but I am guessing pitchers were picking up his tendency to go the opposite way and maybe he has made an adjustment. Last year he went opposite field 41% in AA and 43% in AAA. This year he is going opposite field 53% of the time! That being said he is doing better in May with plenty of doubles but only 1 HR on the year.

Toledo L 11-6
Meadows 1/4 SB
Jung 1/4 RBI K
Bigbie 3/4 2RBI SB
Montero 1.2IP 4ER 3K 4H BB
Brieske 1IP 2H 4ER 3BB K

Erie W 4-1
Workman 1/3 RBI K 2B
Allen 0/3 K
White 0.2IP 1ER 4BB
Petit 1.1 IP K

WM W 4-0
Gold 0/3 BB 2SB
Turney 1/3 2B SB
Anderson 2/4 2RBI K 2B
Pacheco 2/3 BB 2B
Graham 1/3 
Lee 1/3 HR BB K

Lakeland W 14-7
McGonigle 3/6 K
Clark 1/4 RBI 2BB K 2B
Briceno 2/5 3RBI BB 
Campbell 1/4 RBI BB K
Gil 0/4 RBI 2BB K
Santana 0/4 2BB 2K

Toledo W 7-5
Jung 3/4 RBI HR 
Bigbie 0/4 K
Dingler 1/4 RBI
Madden 4IP 2ER 2BB 4K
Englert 1IP 0H 0K

Erie 7-1
Workman 0/2 2BB 2SB CS
Lee 0/4 BB 3K
Lockhart 4IP 3H 3BB 7K

WM W 5-4 /10
Gold 2/4 BB K
Turney 1/2 2RBI 3BB 2B
Anderson 2/5 2RBI K 2B
Campos 0/4 2K
Pacheco 0/4 K
Smith 5IP 6H ER 6K

Lakeland W 3-1
McGonigle 0/4
Clark 1/4 RBI K 
Briceno 0/4 
Campbell 1/4 K 2B
Gil 0/3 K 

FCL Tigers 8-7
Jimenez 0/6 K
Rucker 2/5 RBI K 2 2B
Perez 1/6 2K SB
Rogers 4IP 2H 4K
Dunford 0.1IP 4ER 4BB

23 minutes ago, Toddwert said:

whats his strike out rate? it was around 40%

Right around 27% now; he does have an OBP of .397 so he is taking a decent amount of walks as well a 24BB to 40K's over 147 PA.

Interesting...

I would say going from -23 to 1 is the bigger outlier there 😅

3 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

Wentz tends to be as good as his FB, which has ticked up more than 2 mph across the last two seasons.

You are certainly right about his FB 

One thing I feel like has been lost in this rather sad thread is the reclamation of Joey Wentz. Here is his savant page. Obvious SSS but I would not be surprised to see him get some more leverage innings. 

13 hours ago, Motor City Sonics said:

Andre Lipcius is hitting .320 with 9 HR in Triple A.      Wasn't good enough for us, though.  

In the PCL so while those sound like good numbers it's only a 135wRC+. JHM has a WRC+ of 138 in the IL with a worse statline. 

I did the hitters but let's take stock of the pitching prospects and see how they are fairing a month or so into the season.

AAA Toledo
Montero 20.1IP 11.07 K/9 1.77 ERA 3.58 FIP
Flores 19.1IP 7.45 K/9 5.12 ERA 5.80 FIP
Madden (AA +AAA combined) 20.2IP 11.3 K/9 5.23 ERA (2.55 ERA in AA)
Hurter 24IP 11.25K/9 5.25 ERA 4.00 FIP

AA Erie
Jobe 16.2IP 12.96 K/9 2.16 ERA 2.21 FIP
Melton 20IP 8.55K/9 3.60 ERA 3.74 FIP

High A WM
Hamm 23.2IP 14.07K/9 1.14 ERA 1.64 FIP
Smith 20.2IP 9.58 K/9 3.92 ERA 4.87 FIP

Low A
N/A

Also FCL started up over the weekend and are the only league that plays on Mondays 

Tigers L 2-1
Rucker 1/2 2B K SB
Jimenez 1/4 K
Wilson (2024 3rd rounder) 4IP 2H 4BB 2K R