Jump to content

gehringer_2

Members
  • Posts

    26,129
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    196

Posts posted by gehringer_2

  1. 10 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    Indeed it is!

    I saw an article in which Ernie Harrell was asked how he as a broadcaster can stay engaged while calling games when not only a team’s chances to win the division was loooooong gone, but they were mired firmly in last place, and he replied that you simply have to look at each game as a discrete event, one that’s the most important thing in the world right now, and you treat it as that in the moment. That makes so much sense to me, and remembering that helps keep me engaged with the team when things are going rough overall.

    the key is you have to enjoy watching a baseball game in an of itself, not only as a piece of a standings race or WS quest. Ernie did.  This also goes to the root of why some people say they don’t care if the team is bad for 10 yrs if they can win 1 WS per decade and others don’t care so much about championships but don’t want to watch a bad baseball team yr to yr. Baseball is both a team competition and a pastime. 

  2. 17 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    I don’t think bunts could ever get back to what it was in 1978. That was a hangover year in the AL from both the pitchers’ era (low scoring) and from pitchers have recently batted (terrible hitters), so managers were still conditioned to sacrifice outs for a single run.

    doubly true if ABS increases average scoring. 

  3. 4 hours ago, Sports_Freak said:

    Putting the ball in play puts pressure on defenses. And I heard the Rays theory is many teams don't practice defending bunts. IDK how much they teach infielders these days, with many players being rushed to MLB. Also, bringing infielder ln to defend them creates holes for more hits. I like the concept, putting balls in play makes for more action.

    There is/was maybe also a bit of over-simplicification going on with the application of the run probabilities. The average run probability applies to the average hitter(s) coming up next in the line-up. Half of hitters are below average. Logic would argue that there is some cross-over point where the you are still better of bunting if the hitter(s) to follow at the plate has a lower than average probability of doing anything productive (e.g. high K rate) but can be taught to put down a bunt with decent reliability.

  4. 36 minutes ago, romad1 said:

    Click bait.. Lot of pitchers - lot of athletes - have bone chips removed from elbows etc., and it really is no big deal. Of course they could have found something worse when they went in and looked (a la Zumaya) but it that were true then the Skubal camp was putting out outright lies, which seems improbable since it will be perfectly obvious when he has trouble coming back. If they were shading on the time line the only audience for that that matters would be the Tiger FO and I'm sure the FO is not taking any action on anything other than an actual surgical report, not some tweet.

  5. WaPo story to the effect that the CIA says Iran can hold out longer than Trump can, still has much more than half of its missile and drone capability remaining.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/05/07/cia-intelligence-iran-trump-blockade-missiles/

    Quote

    A confidential CIA analysis delivered to administration policymakers this week concludes that Iran can survive the U.S. naval blockade for at least three to four months before facing more severe economic hardship, four people familiar with the document said, a finding that appears to raise new questions about President Donald Trump’s optimism on ending the war.

    The analysis by the U.S. intelligence community, whose secret assessments on Iran have often been more sober than the administration’s public statements, also found that Tehran retains significant ballistic missile capabilities despite weeks of intense U.S. and Israeli bombardment, three of the people familiar with it said.

    Iran retains about 75 percent of its prewar inventories of mobile launchers and about 70 percent of its prewar stockpiles of missiles, a U.S. official said. The official said there is evidence that the regime has been able to recover and reopen almost all of its underground storage facilities, repair some damaged missiles and even assemble some new missiles that were nearly complete when the war began.

     

  6. 16 minutes ago, CMRivdogs said:

    I think to most folks, she’s still has Trumper values, just anti-Trump

    that's the thing - some folks are mad at DJT, but are 100% still with the program, so they aren't particularly useful allies for the other side.

  7. 29 minutes ago, pfife said:

    I wonder if MTG quit because of threats from maga

    she definitely was threatened, but if her safety was her concern is quitting any better a strategy than running around dissing Trump in public appearances? You can make that argument, I'm not sure how sound it is.

  8. 21 hours ago, ewsieg said:

    At the time she appears to have decided to publicly go against Trump, that was still a death sentence though, especially in hard right leaning districts.  So choosing to run might have actually looked like less serious action than stepping down and using the media like she has to put doubts in MAGA minds.

    choosing not to run I get, but why give up the seat and your power to vote for 8 mos? I suppose the GOP caucus could have made life very unpleasant for her in DC, but working through that is just the measure of her seriousness IMV. 

  9. so tonight's contribution about broadcast timing. For the 1st time in a long time I'm listening to the game on the WTKA OTA broadcast. I have gameday open, and gameday is just about 7 second *ahead* of the OTA radio at the end of the last inning, but almost 17 ahead on the 1st pitch of the next inning, but again by the end of the inning the difference was back down to ~8sec.  These are fairly rough approximations since gameday is not completely consistent, but on average it appears that they are overextended the inning break on the radio by 10sec. Doesn't seem to be consistent from inning to inning though.

  10. 1 hour ago, chasfh said:

    He may miss the next start, and it's anyone's guess how he feels about that, but if he could get his suspension reduced from six days to three, it would save him about half a million dollars, so it's worth the effort just for that.

    true. Do you suppose player agent/lawyers take 30% of the net for the representation in a successful suspension reduction? 

  11. 1 hour ago, chasfh said:

    given that the nature of the charges likely transcends statute of limitations laws, it's going to be a long time before all the people who are in range of the long arm of the law die and escape true accountability for good.

    This is true, but I think whether as a matter of justice, the hammer finally lands on some of these guys is a separate issue to whether it continues, increases or decreases its importance as a political liability for Trump and/or his political enablers. From that perspective I'm not even in the loop. We were just hosting a friend with conservative siblings and she was telling us that even now, her brother, to whom she will not talk about politics, quite literally doesn't understand what she doesn't like about Trump. I mean, even if you support him, how can you not even understand  the sources of other people's doubts/opposition to him? That seems inconceivable to me, but I met her brother years ago, he's just an ordinary Indiana guy. So at this point I try to remind myself not to bother weighing what I think MAGA may do against my own sensibilities.

  12. 17 minutes ago, monkeytargets39 said:

    Framber suspended 6 games.

    Hard to see any point in appealing. If he doesn't appeal and starts serving now, he has a start moved back a couple days. If he appeals, maybe he get's it cut to 3 but they'll have the ruling come down so it still falls into his next start schedule and it will have to be moved back.

  13. 4 hours ago, romad1 said:

    I still think this scene where Rami Malek goes off captures my mood a lot of the time

    Incidentally, listening to Thomas Rick's Churcill and Orwell (or is it the other way around) audio book and he was going over the Luftwaffe's total lack of strategic vision for the Battle of Britain and it because clear to me that having a substance abuser who was a loyal party man in charge of a battle was a bad idea. 

    I get the compromise, but I still don't like when screenwriters put 21st century dialog in he mouths of mid 20th century real people. It's good dialog but it's not terminology either of those men would have used.

  14. 10 minutes ago, ewsieg said:

    Winning over voters from another party is a home run, but disenfranchising them from their own party still puts runs on the board if you get enough of them.

    Up until Iran, I had felt that the combination of Democratic turnout energy and GOP voter disillusionment (as in "i'm not voting for anyone")  would be the bigger factor in this cycle that the number of voters that actually change sides. e.g. MB just linked a tweet from the Ohio primary claiming that participation on the GOP side of the primary was down.

    But depending on how Iran ends and how long it takes for gas prices to come down, I think the calculus on how many people do actively switch sides can change.

  15. 14 minutes ago, DTroppens said:

    Again, I don't know if they are going to win this series and advance. We'll find out in due time

    for me that's the difference for this team as opposed to Isiah's or Chauncey's, I thought those teams should win the championship, whereas I think we all have a good deal of doubt that this team, despite the regular season record, is at the same level as OKC or SAS, which does make it a little more fun in a way.

×
×
  • Create New...