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gehringer_2

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Posts posted by gehringer_2

  1. 2 hours ago, RatkoVarda said:

    S&P futures tank and oil skyrockets even before the orange pedo turd's rambling speech was over

    this guy thinks regime changed happened because Ayatollah Khamenei was replaced by his son, Ayatollah Khamenei

    Oddly enough, I think the bad reaction in the oil and stock markets is going to bedevil him more than anything else, at least if the reaction carries through when it opens in the morning. He's been able to talk the market back up several times via social media since this started, but to have his formal statements fall flat with 'his people' (i.e. investors) is going to hit him where his pride lives.

  2. 1 hour ago, Deleterious said:

    11-4 without Cade this year.  The 15 opponents they played have a winning% of 44.2%.  So a back of the draft lottery level opponent.  

    didn’t the Spurs go from 1st to worst when they lost Robinson? I think that was a default assumption of what might happen when Cade went down. 

  3. 10 hours ago, Deleterious said:

    So much of the Pistons offense is triggered by their defense.  Much of that is triggered by Ausar.

    I think they are showing that the Pistons are more than Cade and the 11 Dwarves. Ausar, Duren and Tobias aren't half bad,  and Daniss manages to hold his own.

  4. 30 minutes ago, holygoat said:

    Tiger hitters have only hit one HR in four games so far. The lineup stinks, and the bullpen is probably pretty bad, too.

    Agree the bats have been underwhelming, yet they put up 11 runs in the last two games. But we've already had 4 different pitchers on the staff suffer melt downs, and some sloppy D. The sloppy D will probably continue because it is at least in part the downside of moving guys all around the diamond every day. There is no free lunch. Every strategy that has an upside has some downside.

  5. 1 hour ago, romad1 said:

    Did i see that Oracle is firing 30k workers?

    I have no idea what the kind of income AI is going to generate in the end, but I can pretty much guarantee you that half of the companies extending themselves with these massive capital build outs are going to end up in the toilet, unable to get a slice of the market from whichever turn out to be the most successful players. It's the chip makers like Nvidia that are still in the catbird seat, they are going to book the sales whether the data center the HW goes in makes any money or not. In fact sentiment seems to be growing that the downturn since the war has left NVidia oversold.

  6. 2 hours ago, romad1 said:

    This story is really...the Gerald Ford had a massive fire that it couldn't put out because damage control has gone to **** in the Trump/Kegbreath Navy.  Trump was bragging to the Saudi Sovereign Wealth fund that the carrier had been hit by something even though that story is not official.  

    https://www.ynetnews.com/article/h15wjjtowg

    So, lets hope the USS Abraham Lincoln and USS H.W.Bush can manage their responsibilities and stay safe.  

    they have to send the Ford home, they've gone beyond any reasonable abuse of that crew.

  7. interesting that Jensen Huang is talking up a new generation of AI  and agents running on the local machine instead of in the cloud. This should have lot of appeal for both for orgs that don't want to risk their commercial data outside their own control, and also for individuals who want build that their own customized agents based on their life profiles without risking the privacy invasion of their data being on the cloud. The ebb and flow of computing function to and from the center to local and back again continues.

  8. 8 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

     

    well it's nice to hear him make a backhanded concession to reality for once.

    Iranian rope-a-dope 1, US technoblitzkrieg 0

    If you want the terms of deal in a nutshell, my money is on this: Iran opens the strait with surcharges to recoup damages when the US agrees to sit on Israel to stop their operations.

  9. 15 minutes ago, buddha said:

    "Acquired at the trade deadline from Detroit in the Kevin Huerter deal, there were some immediate red flags around Ivey when he held an impromptu postgame sermon in February about the “Old Jaden Ivey” being dead, especially now that “Christ was in his life.”

     

    Over the last few weeks, he started taking to his social media account and preaching to people his beliefs, while condemning those that he felt weren’t “saved.” Monday was more than enough in being the final straw, as there was an ongoing opinion that Ivey’s behavior was somehow spiraling....

    ...There was noise out of Detroit that Ivey was not only very religious but a bit of a “preacher” in the locker room, so why was there not enough homework done on him by Karnisovas before the deal?"

    ***

    Apparently its been an issue for a while.

    The species hasn't evolved to be able to deal with the tech culture it has built..  Young people going head over heels for this or that idea/movement/vocation/avocation has always been pretty common, but in the past also usually pretty benign. 'Just a phase' you move past and maybe your best friend remembers and can tease you about it 20yrs later.

    Well, no more of that kind of leeway.

  10. 8 minutes ago, SoCalTiger said:

    Agree. Our arms will be very average but we should catch everything. 

    Carpenter throws pretty well, probably the best of the bunch with Perez in Toledo. Vierlings arm may still be good  but we'll have to see.

    OTOH, calling Riley's arm average is a stretch. He's firmly in the noodle category.

  11. 25 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

    I don't think Trump ever distinguishes between right and wrong.  What is right to him is whatever helps himself personally.  Sometimes those things might also be good for some of us, but what's good for us is not how he sees right or wrong.   

    well, practically speaking it's only a semantic quibble, but I think Trump actually has a very finely developed personal sense of right and wrong, which when seen from the outside basically goes: I'm right, and what I want is right, and if you don't agree, you are wrong. Of course he doesn't see it that way, to him it's just because the world is a rational place that all choices that happen to be right also redound to his benefit.

    My impression is that Trump sees the world in very black and white moral terms, it's just that his is a depraved narcissistic morality. That would be opposed to seeing him as Nietzschean sort of character who sees himself as transcending right/wrong as concepts. Opinions will vary, but that is my take if I'm going to do a little amateur pysch.

  12. the bottom line is a trade only helps if your GM actually makes you better in the trade. That means that if he gets back picks, he has to be able to hit on those picks, if gets back players, he has to somehow get more valuable players back than he sends out. Right now how much confidence do we have that Yzerman would be that GM in either circumstance? 

    There is just no free lunch, there is only one route to your team improving, and that is for your management team to outperform other management teams in scouting, drafting, trading, development. Absent that, all the moves for the sake of moves are just deck chairs on the Titanic - or waiting around for lightning to strike your lottery luck.

  13. 1 hour ago, LaceyLou said:

    His status as an 'outsider' was also too extreme. Many Democratic leaders found him to be unlikable, so they chose not to work with him. Many of these so called liberals ended up cozying up to Reagan.

    I always thought it was his handling of the hostage crisis that put the final nail in his presidency's coffin, though.

    that was the nail, but I doubt he could have survived the inflation rate even without it. He was an outsider partly because he was cocky and he and his team thought they knew better. Even when that may be true  you can't act like it! Later in his life he freely admitted that at that point in his life he wasn't prepared for the job. The contrast to Reagan was so striking. Carter was a very bright guy, but he and he team were not self aware of their weaknesses, Reagan was never the sharpest tool in drawer but he surrounded himself with a large number of the most competent people  that have served in a admin in my lifetime: Schultz, Baker, Simon, Volker, Regan et al. (of course there were a few ringers like Meese!)

  14. 3 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

    Putting this here too. Lions don’t need a LT. They can draft someone who projects to be a RT and I think they should move Sewell to the left side. 

     

    Holmes had talked about that being an obvious option in the interview. 

  15. 2 minutes ago, LaceyLou said:

    Let's not forget that he turned the thermostats in the WH down to 68 degrees and wore sweaters to keep warm. 

    I seem to remember a Playboy interview that was pretty controversial at the time, too. 

    Unfortunately Carter's economic illiteracy eventually overshadowed his other virtues. 

  16. 18 minutes ago, Deleterious said:

    The spread between WTI and Brent is $23 right now.  

    Brent is volatile this morning (there's a bad chemistry pun...). Gap has fallen back closer to $8 right now.

  17. 55 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

    Name any Democrat. Imagine if we kept up with Johnson’s Great Society, Clinton’s tax increase on the rich and assault weapon ban, Obama’s Obamacare, or Biden’s BBB. All progress from Dems is constantly wiped out by Republicans. 

    Yeah, but Carter committed a SIN against every GOD lovin' 'MURICAN ideal - worse even than having' a BLACK dude named HUSSEIN in the White House -- He was gonna make us the METRIC SYSTEM! 

  18. 33 minutes ago, monkeytargets39 said:

    It’s not like the umpire scorecards that have been around for years haven’t already been exposing Bucknor, Eddings and Laz Diaz.  The union will protect them as always.

    true, but being reversed in real time on broadcast games it a whole 'nother level of exposure to face compared to t some charts on a website somewhere.

    • Like 1
  19. 27 minutes ago, 1984Echoes said:

    That's the positive... from the US side...

    The negative I am alluding to is from the International side.

    All Iran has to do is say: "We are shutting down the Hormuz" and markets will know what that means and go through whatever crash/ correction it's in the mood for at that time.

    That is a heavy sledgehammer that Iran holds, not just against the US but the WORLD.

    I'm trying to say this in a way that you pick up on it because it seems you keep missing this particular point.

    It's not only oil. A massive amount of Nitrogen goes through Hormuz. That's farming. And it affects almost the entire world's food production. I have no idea of percentages... But it's enough to scare the rest of the world outside the US. 

    In fact, the US is one of the most insulated countries in the world against these shenanigans and yet we are STILL affected deeply, even though we have our OWN Oil & Gas and Fertilizer and oil by-products industry.

    Shutting the Hormuz means shutting off Oil, Gasoline, LNG, Diesel, grease and other oil-by-products, Nitrogen (farming fertilizer), and did I hear Helium production too?

    This is what brings the World economy, not just the US, down to its knees. And Iran has just found out how big of a sledgehammer it actually holds.

    Israel offered to develop transit pipelines to its ports... Saudi Arabia, Qatar & the Emirates & others... better find alternative pathways to get their products out to the world bypassing Hormuz... and quick.

    Kuwait may be in a screwed position.

    No - I get what you are saying. But everything has its limits. If Iran becomes intransigent enough, there will be boots on the ground to remove the mullahs, possibly Chinese if not ours! 

    Another aspect further out is that Iran can easily over play its hand to where its leverage  will turn out to be heavy but short lived. Everything that goes down the Persian Gulf can just as easily go by pipeline (or rail in the case of other products) to somewhere else, and those pipelines are pretty easy to build across the dessert. I imagine they are being sketched out even as we type.

    In general Iran has been a very bad actor, but until fairly recently not a particularly foolish one. At this point it's hard to know how much less competent the new leadership will now be for having been degraded and additionally radicalized, but in the past I would have expected Iran to have a pretty good sense of how much pressure it could exert without bringing the temple down around themselves.. Who knows if that is still true? We have certainly increased the probability that Iran will be less rational going forward.

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