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gehringer_2

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Posts posted by gehringer_2

  1. 4 hours ago, romad1 said:

    I still think this scene where Rami Malek goes off captures my mood a lot of the time

    Incidentally, listening to Thomas Rick's Churcill and Orwell (or is it the other way around) audio book and he was going over the Luftwaffe's total lack of strategic vision for the Battle of Britain and it because clear to me that having a substance abuser who was a loyal party man in charge of a battle was a bad idea. 

    I get the compromise, but I still don't like when screenwriters put 21st century dialog in he mouths of mid 20th century real people. It's good dialog but it's not terminology either of those men would have used.

  2. 10 minutes ago, ewsieg said:

    Winning over voters from another party is a home run, but disenfranchising them from their own party still puts runs on the board if you get enough of them.

    Up until Iran, I had felt that the combination of Democratic turnout energy and GOP voter disillusionment (as in "i'm not voting for anyone")  would be the bigger factor in this cycle that the number of voters that actually change sides. e.g. MB just linked a tweet from the Ohio primary claiming that participation on the GOP side of the primary was down.

    But depending on how Iran ends and how long it takes for gas prices to come down, I think the calculus on how many people do actively switch sides can change.

  3. 14 minutes ago, DTroppens said:

    Again, I don't know if they are going to win this series and advance. We'll find out in due time

    for me that's the difference for this team as opposed to Isiah's or Chauncey's, I thought those teams should win the championship, whereas I think we all have a good deal of doubt that this team, despite the regular season record, is at the same level as OKC or SAS, which does make it a little more fun in a way.

  4. 57 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    I think the Epstein thing is far worse for Trump than people believe, and that's even after people have already baked in the idea that he is a serial sexual abuser of minors.

    Do you think it's out of gas at this point though? What I mean is that they've survived the pressure to release anything more to this point, and I don't see where there is any leverage left to get past the current stonewall. So you have the possibility that like everything else with Trump, it will just recede into the rear view mirror. Fox will latch on to some story about a trans high school athlete and the RW outrage machine will back page Epstein. I have the same question about IRAN. It's done more to dent Trump's popularity than anything, but will the voters remember 30 days after if gasoline prices start back down?

  5. 3 hours ago, Motor City Sonics said:

    but McKinstry hits lefties slightly better than righties   L/R  BA .238/.229    OBP  .307/.296   OPS  .678/.676

    And I agree about Colt Keith.  He's your second-hottest hitter this year, let him play.   Colt is .250 BA vs. Lefties.  Not that bad. 

     

    yeah - I don't know what Keith has to do to get a shot to play everyday - hit a few HR I guess. Hinch does love the long ball  - not without good reason. He's had a total of 7 AB against LHP this season, 1K 1H.

  6. 49 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    Already at $7.09 for premium here in Big Shoulders.

    No good info on how much of the refinery Whiting has back up and running and they still have the employees locked out so management/engineering staff is doing operations. That might mean no maintenance is being done because even if the engineers know how to operate the plant, they don't have the skills to fix stuff that breaks, not to mention no engineering work is getting done. They are probably also double shifted so the question is how long they go before they start making mistakes. OTOH, they might already have a non-union maintenance staff. Not uncommon for operators to have gotten operations and maintenance split into union/non-union.

  7. 37 minutes ago, casimir said:

    Or maybe Flaherty starts pitching rather than throwing?

    You look at Flaherty's pitch charts and not much jumps out, velo and break on his pitches are all similar to last season, but the pitch value of his FB is way down. The only thing I noticed is that he is throwing the curve less, probably because he's landing it for strikes less, which I suppose reduces the amount of change of speed that batters are seeing. It is the only pitch he throws that gets him to a 10mph delta from his FB. Without good change of speed life is gonna be harder.

  8. 8 hours ago, TigerNation said:

    but nobody was projecting he'd hit for the power he has because he's 5'8.

    speaking of 5' 8", McGonigle's load up is pretty similar (mirror image of course) to Altuve's. He doesn't pick up his front foot quite to the same extreme but overall the step is pretty similar, maybe even a bit longer.

  9. 12 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

    Yes, every case is different and it's impossible for us to make a timeline.  I am just always pessimistic about pitching injuries.  If something can go wrong, it will.  

    If they manage to hang on and get to the playoffs this season after these pitching losses it should go down as one of the most unlikely seasons ever. The starting staff that won 87 games last season has now had injuries to Jobe, Skubal, Mize, Olson and a potential starter in Melton while adding Valdez and Verlander, with the latter being a non-factor. To that add that Flaherty has been bad. Valdez was a great add but it's still +1 against -5, which isn't good math.

  10. 50 minutes ago, SoCalTiger said:

    But does it feel like that to you ? I mean it seems far worse. Do those stats apply to close games or all games . It could be padded in blowout games or early in games which of course is still important but not like one or two run games 7th inning and later which seems real bad. But I do not have the facts like Joe Friday. 

    The offense always feels worse when you are behind and/or especially when you don't trust your bullpen so failure to add runs feels like it's courting impending doom.

  11. 2 hours ago, buddha said:

    "calf strain" might be detroit's secret weapon in the playoffs.

    i wouldnt be surprised to see harden or mitchell suddenly come down with a case of the "franz's" if it goes 6 or 7 games.

    I wouldn't bet against the explanation of the epidemic of achilles raptures in the NBA being drug induced tendinopathy.

  12. 1 hour ago, romad1 said:

    This plus a media that isn't 1000% hostile would do wonders for restoring some semblance of the rule of law. 

     

    the other thing is that the single biggest reform that could be made, which is to stop corporate campaign funding, will 100% hit the television industry-since that is where 95% of those $ are spent. So the video press, who all work for the entertainment industry,  and who might otherwise be at least somewhat positively disposed to reform, stay away from this issue like it's the plague.

  13. 1 hour ago, romad1 said:

    This plus a media that isn't 1000% hostile would do wonders for restoring some semblance of the rule of law. 

     

    maybe the Dems are learning that if you are going to be a 'reform' party, you actually have to be in favor of reform.

  14. 9 minutes ago, IdahoBert said:

    I remember when JFK was shot there was this strange hubub in the halls as all the teachers left their classrooms and they were hugging each other and crying and then our teacher Mrs. Vaughn returned from the hallway choking back the tears and told us all to leave and that the President had been shot dead and school was canceled for a few days. 

    It was such a different era. Today it would be like: "Oh- someone shot the President? Hmmm. Well, on to lesson II" 

    The other funny thing to contemplate is whether anyone would be crying in the hall if it had been Nixon. Even if you had voted for RMN, it's hard to imagine having much emotional investment in him! 🤷‍♂️

  15. 58 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    We have heard this here and there in bits and pieces, but to hear it all at one time is pretty remarkable.

    https://x.com/mtgreenee/status/2050989308815818823/video/1?s=61

     

    The only problem (OK - not the *only* problem) with MTGs epiphany is that if she were a more serious person she would have stayed in the House and kept up the opposition. But it points up  how hard it is for the blue side to actually move these people to their side. Trump is losing support among people like Green who have come to oppose him on an issue, e.g. Green on Epstein, Carlson on Iran, but who still support too much of the remaining RW agenda to ever actually vote on the blue side. A couple of generations ago, when political difference weren't so culturally conditioned, it was a lot easier to get people to change parties over policy issues. Today getting a person across the divide is tied up in personal identity issues as well as policy preferences.

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