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gehringer_2

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Posts posted by gehringer_2

  1. 4 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

    Trump is a mafia boss. He thinks if he whacks the Ayatollah it sends a message and they will play nice now. 

    He doesn't even know how the mafia works. Whack the boss and all you get is turf wars.

  2. Just now, Motown Bombers said:

    I bet there already is a new Supreme Leader in place, we just don't know their identity yet. The Ayatollah was 86. There had to be a succession plan. 

    Under normal circumstances, after the Supreme leader dies the new supreme leader is chosen by a council of top mullahs - sort of like the cardinals picking a pope. But I would be bet you are correct that there is a process for an immediate interim leader for a wartime footing.

  3. 12 minutes ago, Tigeraholic1 said:

    The oppressed people will. 

    the thing I worry about with Iran is along the lines of MB's post above. The regime has been pushed hard before by protest and absorbed the blow pretty easily. One of the things in the West is that like Iraq before the war, we see mostly the Iranians who want what we want. The western press is always looking for the protestors. But once you get outside Teheran, how deeply conservative is the rest of the population? We don't know because we don't see/hear from them. It would be tragic if it turns out the parallel to Afghanistan holds, where the real problem for all those westernized people in Kabul was less our perfidy than the fact that a huge portion of the countryside actually does want to live in the 7th century.

    I hope you are right, but with no US boots on the ground to take physical control of the levers of power and then hand them to the right people, it's still looks like a crap shoot to me. Which is definitely not saying I want US boots on the ground there.

  4. 2 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

    Iraqis celebrated the fall of Hussein. The war last another 8 years. 

    TBF, you don't have same civil war potential in Iran as in Iraq because 'liberation' in Iran will not mean an armed and previously dominant minority ethnic group is going to be deposed and is going to fight to the the death to hold on. That said, in that part of the world, anything that can go sideways usually does. How deep and hard to dislodge will the power structure of the Islamic Republic of Iran turn out to be? It is as thin as Suprme leaders clique or does it have the ability to reconstitute itself?  It's had a long time to get entrenched.  But's it's also ticked off almost all the Iranians - at least that is the impression we have in the West.

  5. 26 minutes ago, Tigeraholic1 said:

     

    Celebration is good, but someone better start figuring out how to disarm the IRG, or this could all be short lived.

    • Thanks 1
  6. 16 minutes ago, Screwball said:

    Update. This became official today as it hit the news. 3 plants total, all in Ohio, 1,011 total employees. Closing at the end of April. But it gets worse. They have been under Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection for a while. I wasn't aware of that.

    The release states (this is funny); “Company leadership has indicated there has been interest in the facility and they remain optimistic about a potential path forward prior to the April 30 date,”

    Of course, but then there is this you have to deal with;

    The worker bees tell me the union wouldn't do squat. I don't know why they list maintenance workers when they seem to not do anything, and neither did management. They wouldn't do **** after the girl I know slipped on the oil and got hurt, and didn't do **** for her either. But hey, a fish stinks from the head down. 

    What a crooked bunch of dicks. May they rot in a jail cell.

     

    the story is on Reuters now and the name are public.

    https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/first-brands-nears-bankruptcy-settlement-tees-up-business-unit-sales-2026-02-27/

    Sounds like there might be a chance Ford steps in to straighten it out. That would probably be the best outcome for the employees, but it's not like FoMoCo doesn't have enough problems of it's own either.

  7. 36 minutes ago, Betrayer said:

    He's getting a max and it's going to cap this team's ceiling. I can't deny he puts up good numbers, but big men aren't good enough at creating for themselves and others to warrant a max in my opinion (except for Joker). And his mediocre defense doesn't make up for it. It's not like Cade can sit and Duren can run the offense, he still needs someone to feed him most of the time.

    turn the question around. If they don't keep Duren, who can fill the void he leaves behind that they either have, or can get? Duren's not a perfect player but I always get a sense of 'the grass is greener' going on in the dissatisfaction level over him. Mitchell may not have been playing but Duren was making a guy that had led the league in the past in DWS look like a child.

    I get that maxing any player is a tough call, but to me that decision is more about whether the team can afford two maxes in general, less about whether Duren could be one.

    • Thanks 1
  8. 7 minutes ago, Screwball said:

    Might be a good time to be long crude oil. Some reports claim the Straight of Hormuz is not getting the usual traffic, or even closed. Crude markets are closed for the weekend, but here is the chart from yesterday for reference. 3 month daily.

    crude228.thumb.JPG.a80f4fa10db7654fd1cee721d0aa0a1a.JPG

     

    If you believe the current activity will be sustained for sure. However I'm doubtful it will be, but who knows? 

  9. 59 minutes ago, Tigerbomb13 said:

    Always a tweet

    IMG_3036.jpeg

     

    54 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

    There are so many of them out there. 

     

    Screenshot_20260228_080846_X.jpg

    someday there really must be a picture of DJT with the dictionary definition of projection. He is the most transparent individual I can ever remember reaching any kind of political power. Every accusation he has ever made about anyone else has been a predictor/admission of his own conduct.

    • Like 2
  10. 49 minutes ago, oblong said:

    I will admit to my own opinions shifting somewhat but it was also heavily influenced by the turn the party made. I always wonder where I would be today if someone like Rubio had gotten the nomination in ‘16. 

    there were lots of turning point for the GOP. If the other Bush brother had pushed his brother aside it would be a whole different history as well.

  11. 1 hour ago, Screwball said:

    Follow up on this with some data from the ground.

    I talked to one of the girls today and she told me the OEM they supply, a big 3 auto company, were there for an inspection. They told them if they didn't fix this mess in the X amount of time (I don't remember what she said was the time frame), they would pull all their orders. 

    After they left they told the worker bees if they can't sell the company by the end of March they will be done. Couple hundred worker bees, so probably 30-40 office bees. This is only one plant. They have another about 45 minutes away. That one is bigger. Probably another few hundred.

    I know this company. What was going to happen to these people was a flashing sign a long time ago. Nothing got better. This is a perfect example of how piss poor and inept our managerial talent is today.

    And it's the self fulfilling death spiral. The way they are operating they aren't making any money, so some vulture like Bain dismembers it all and walks away a little cash but the all the people are SOL. The vulture's ledger books say in the end it was all good, but society gets left with all those 'externalities' like broken towns and broken people that neither the vultures nor the big campaign contributors are obligated to do any accounting for.

  12. 41 minutes ago, chasfh said:

    The one I hear, invariably, is "have a good one." So irritating. Have a good what, exactly?

    good DAY. It's just an idiomatic abbreviation. In modern English "have a nice nice/good day" has gotten to sounding hackneyed, or worse is said satirically so often you risk people taking you wrong. I volunteer accepting donations from people, you do want to send them off with some positive good-bye, I find I tend to use every combination just to avoid sounding stale to myself. And you try to match the audience. "Have a good one" for the guys in the F150's, "Have a nice day" for the 30 something professional women, "Take care" for the oldsters....🤷‍♀️

    • Like 1
  13. 5 hours ago, Tigeraholic1 said:

    Texas is the hottest market to relocate to, why? Taxes. Cali, NY and now Virginia have said don't let the door hit ya.....

    Spent any time in Houston? I can see why business likes it, but QOL sucks. SIL is near San Antonio, seems to be a more reasonable place to actually live. No experience with the Dallas area.

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