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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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yeah- that is the thing. Not many guys with that body have survived the NBA for long careers.
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05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
shouldn't your battery figure that out after maybe two batters? This has always been the limiting factor with tendency statistics about players/teams. If I measure the output tolerance distribution of a screw machine, the results are fixed by the fact that it is a fully determinant process. It will reliably produce exactly what my measurements predict it will. In sport, almost everything you measure about an athlete has some determinate properties, but it also always has an indeterminate component as well because what an athlete does is always subject to what he decides to try to do, and he can decide to change that at any time. -
Not saying anything new here at all, but just to come back to the point that anything the Human organism doesn't keep working atrophies. I can't think of a single reason to think that won't be as true of brain function as it is of everything else.
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05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
I wonder how much teams use the fact that they know the Tigers do detailed game planning against everyone to counterplan and come out pitching against type, so the Tigers end up wasting who knows how many AB before they realize their game plan was down the drain before they started. -
05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
yup, It's a 94 loss pace now and still going down hill fast. -
05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
This is pretty much the sane offense is we already saw all through last Sept. -
05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
And WHY ARE WE EVEN PITCHING TO RAMIREZ? -
This one makes me wonder: AI can find and generate attacks on an IT system faster that a hacker can - so inevitably our IT security systems are going to be turned over AI defense bots. So that sounds like Even Steven right. But then some malicious young mind that happens to be *creative* finds a hack that no-one ever thought of before, and exactly as you note, since no-one ever thought of it before AI cannot think of it at all, so in effect, these system will be exactly vulnerable to *human* attack. Thus the current big push for Agentic AI, where at least one of the idea/hope/aspirations is actually to reach credible synthetic 'thinking' ability. It would be a hoot if they achieve without ever even understanding what it is a human brain.
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05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
sure - there is a big dilution factor. Almost every great fielder in the majors spent some time being a great fielder in the minors, but the funnel effect means he was playing along side a lot more stiffs than in the majors... -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
that wasn't what I was thinking about but if we go into next season (assuming it's played) without Skubal and Mize they are going to be a bad team again. -
I don't know about Ivanka, but Melania for sure. Can't leave her behind to start telling tales after he's gone.
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05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
This one is moving fast though. Already looking bright in A2 -
Yes - if the current regime weren't doing everything it can to stop the build-out of renewable energy supply we could be keeping up with such demand. "Energy Crisis" is an oxymoron given today's tech. We are awash in more energy than we would know what to do with if we would stop letting the oil companies and other grifters and luddites persuade us not to go collect it.
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heard a pod with an AI expert that studies it on context of how the US is approaching vs what China is doing. In the US the big push is to get there with 'super intelligent' agent. That seems to be where tons of US investment is going - racing for the biggest, baddest model. The Chinese are much less interested in that (to be fair, that's partly because we have made it difficult for them to purchase the processing HW available to play in that space). China is working pushing increasing energy and reduced computing footprint (algorithm efficiency), public domain SW, and manufacturing applications - less interest in the agent direction. Just a data point.
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05/18/2026 6:40p EDT Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
it is ironic that they actually have weathered the pitching injuries in surprising fashion. If they had just hit a little they would have able to stay above water so far. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
I think maybe you can turn it around and get more likely statement - which would be that if you are an elite hitter the majors will find a place for you even if you are a poor fielder, but if you are an elite fielder that is a poor hitter, that is much less likely. Ergo, there are probably more elite fielders that can't hit hanging around the minors that teams are hoping will eventually hit, than there are elite hitters stuck there learning to field better. But the fact there are more of one than of the other doesn't mean there are a lot of them in absolute numbers. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
Moving Josh Naylor a classic Cleveland move for example. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
yeah - I think the wish-cast on Perez was that he would be the Isaac Peredes that didn't get away, a late blooming bat that could stay on the field defensively in a utility role. Well - not so much, esp after he came down with the throwing yips as an infielder. -
just in case you wondered why Trump loves Crypto so much.... https://news.umich.edu/cryptocurrency-increases-risk-of-corruption-on-autopilot-says-u-m-expert/
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05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
no - the metaphor is midnight struck for them last year in the playoffs - they turned back into pumpkins before the ball was over (didn't get to end of playoffs/World Series win). -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
This is likely the last shot for Workman - if he doesn't produce he either needs to find a long term AAA gig or head for the real world. Same is probably true for Short, but the quality of his glove may allow him to stick at AAA as some team's emergency depth - which I guess is where he started the season. The disconnect is we have pitchers close to coming back but the pitching fill-ins have preformed betterr than the position fill-ins have. We are in more dire need of bats than arms - though it's probably an easy prediction that the level of pitching we are getting isn't sustainable for long without more of the regulars getting back soon. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
In my hard core days, I did TOSRV a few times ( a long while ago now!) which was a double century on Mother's day weekend. Columbus to Portsmouth on Sat and back on Sunday, so I had to have at least 250+ by now, which was a real a challenge given how erratic Spring weather is. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
I don't know if the back will hold up but I'll challenge you to a friendly competition. The best I've done in the last 5 or years is 875, last year was only about 650. I'll warn you I'm going to count maybe 10 miles week commuter mileage on a volunteer gig I can ride to beside the time on the road bike. You apparently have a good leg up - as I noted I'm just starting out, for the season -I'm at about 22mi -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
thank-you Mr Sunshine. -
05/17/2026 1:40p EDT Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers
gehringer_2 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
you never really know what a team is going to be. So far it looks like last season was the Cinderella at the ball season for the Tigers but midnight struck a little too soon for them. This year Fairy Godmother is apparently otherwise employed so it's back to tattered dresses and keeping the hearth warm for others ..... unless she should make another appearance.
