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Everything posted by chasfh
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2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Fair assumption, but still only probably, not absolutely. -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
I do the research so you don't have to: Javy is not in this table because he is not qualified, but if he were, his 27 OPS+ would place him sixth on the list, behind two Bill Bergens, and immediately ahead of four more Bill Bergens. Notable other qualified hitters with historically awful OPS+s are Neifi Perez (2002 KCR, 51st with a 44 OPS+), Clint Barmes (2006 COL, 69Th with a 47 OPS+), and Chris Davis (2018 BAL, 84th with a 49 OPS+). One other name that leapt out at me was Ozzie Smith, 1979 SDP, who had a 48 OPS+ in 649 PAs, but still had a 1.6 WAR that season. And check out who comes in at #40! -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Even were we to sneak into the playoffs, which is far less than 50-50 even now, we're not winning the postseason crapshoot against the Orioles-Yankees-Indians-Dodgers-Phillies-Brewers with a gimpy rotation, a bullpen without a shutdown back end, and a flaky decimated offense made up of inexperienced young guys and stopgap veterans and Javier Baez. Failing to strike while the iron is hot in exchange for a puncher's chance of sneaking into the third playoff shot would be executive malpractice. -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
@Greg Pappas -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
I would think it's Fangraphs, which uses a combination of eyeball scouting and physical data and analytics, whereas Pipeline feels like it's a combination of eyeball scouting and physical data and finger in the wind. -
I know this frustrates fans to no end, but I like it. It’s a good sign that we are still competitive even when we lose, not a bad sign that we are incapable of winning close games or anything like that,
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I really don’t think Jobe is coming up this year under any circumstances. He has only 33 innings above A-ball, he’s not even in Toledo yet, and he’s walking guys like crazy in Erie. Even on the precipice of his 22nd birthday, he’s still not ready.
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Man, Royals made it interesting bringing the trying run to the plate, but they still lost 8-6, so, yeah, not a total loss.
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Man, you and the tweet are totally burying the lede here.
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By the way, the Royals are completely falling apart tonight after a **** call from the home plate umpire on a pitch that would have ended the game on a strike ‘em out-throw ‘em out double play with a 4-3 win. Since then they’ve given up five runs and are now down 8-4. So, see, the night is not a total loss after all.
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2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Good point, I agree. Either way, I don’t think Harris is depending on either Pipeline or Fangraphs. I’m sure they have a very robust system that will give them a better picture about possible returns in trade than are available to us. -
Yes, they will definitely do so at the first opportunity. If we trade Skubal and get Holliday, Javy is definitely not coming to Lakeland in February. Even with no trade, it’s still 50/50 at best.
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That may have factored into Hinch’s decision to let Javy hit. If he pinch-hits Javy and the PH struck out, all he’s gained is an out anyway and a pissed-off player. Plus, even a manager without a psychology degree is not looking for creative ways to embarrass his players. Hinch can’t always sit Javy and he can’t always pinch-hit him. Sometimes he’s just gotta trust him to do something. Don’t worry, though, the games are low stakes anyway because we’re still rebuilding and so many of our guys are just hurt, so managing to make the playoffs isn’t a prudent way to run a team like ours in our state. Hinch has got to manage to finish the season and help the organization learn as much about what we have so they can go into October knowing what to plan for next season.
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Apropos of nothing, It drives me absolutely bonkers whenever I see a zero in front of batting average, on base, slugging, or OPS. It's not 0.997, you dipwads, it's .997. Act like you grew up with baseball, for crying out loud. </rant>
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Local blackouts must be in place to protect the local option. Personally, I wouldn't walk into the next room to see most of that network's content. Outside of the occasional decent doc and MLB Now only when Brian Kenny is on, the whole network is seat-of-the-pants boosterism, because they are just too close to the people in it to see it any other way. Most of the ex-players they have on there are just that: guys who knew enough to make the major leagues at one time, but don't know enough about the overall game in general to be interesting or informative.
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2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Since Flaherty is known to return a comp pick to Detroit when he turns down a QO, I think most teams would be inclined to offer the Tigers (value of comp pick) + $1. Although the Dodgers might offer (value of comp pick) + $1,000, because they need pitching this year. As for the Orioles, rich guys can and do pay a lot more, so their #4 and #5 would be fair comp at minimum, even of they're not top 100s. -
They would bat Javy 17th if they could get away with it.
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No chance, and we don’t want that, since it will motivate people more to wanna throw her out of office. And we want Biden to make it at least to Election Day. Setting aside the sheer human awfulness of it, if Biden died before the election, I wonder whether Kamala would get a sympathy bump. I think it helped LBJ, although obviously different circumstances. Can barely imagine how crass the Republicans would be in response.
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2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
What has Harris’ done that makes your gut think that? I can’t really think of a trade failure he’s had. -
Hall of Fame, period. All he has to do is not get hurt and he’s a lock within five years.
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I would be very surprised if we went into next season with the exact same pitching staff minus Flaherty. I would think Harris picks up at least one more starter and at least one more high-leverage pen arm.
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Nationalist jerk is definitely a thing.
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Not the worst idea, but I would rather we ration his innings early next season, then bring him up for the second half to get that experience (assuming he does not force his way north in March, of course).
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Or worse yet, go sees Dr. Andrews.