What we know:
Ukraine survived a brutal firsts few months
Russia has decided to ramp up brutalization efforts but do so in a focused way. Basically to concentrate on areas within the range of their artillery.
Ukraine has been dealing with massive casualties of its own as it fights these brutalization efforts. Its not all sunshine for them.
Both sides are dealing with morale issues because of these casualties. The heady days of March and April have slipped away as this becomes a slog.
Lots of Western volunteers came in March/April. Not all of them are staying. Lots of adrenaline junkies in the World but certain death has limited appeal.
Ukraine may have chased the Russians away from Kyiv but they have limited capability to force the Russians out of places elsewhere until they build sufficient offensive combat power.
For some reason ($$$/kompromat/idiocy) German and other powers in Europe are grinding out the release of weapons for Ukraine.
Ukraine would love for EU/NATO to actually join the war so they will spin all sorts of things to get nofly, humanitarian corridors, etc. to protect their flanks.
Prediction: Ukraine will cut a path to the Black Sea this Summer. Fall will see both sides exhausted and reverting to stalemate. Russia will have to mobilize more of its population to conduct offensives. Ukraine will need much more money and resources to survive. Inflation and elections will be need to be weathered by Western friends of Ukraine. Bitch-ass US and Western consumers will say it costs too much to fill their gas tanks so they will vote to reduce aide to Ukraine.