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Motown Bombers

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Everything posted by Motown Bombers

  1. I think he was down. I think the elbow was down, but I could see it going either way.
  2. It looks like they had the 1st if they pitch it.
  3. Democrats sending doom emails is nothing new. They do more to hurt themselves than help.
  4. Just a reminder that Clinton only lost Florida by 1.
  5. I do think Hurts is overrated but I would be intrigued by what Johnson can do with him. Hurts doesn't seem to make any pre-snap adjustments and has become more of just a runner and deep ball thrower. I would like to see Johnson do what the Lions did with Goff in making pre-snap reads and adjustments.
  6. I could see Pete Carroll resurfacing for a team that is ready to contend (Eagles perhaps?), but not a total gut job like Jacksonville. They foolishly signed Lawrence after a down year when they basically 3 more years to evaluate him.
  7. McNeil's contract has been posted, and it seems a lot more team friendly. Only $28 million is guaranteed. $55 million is guaranteed for injury. They can actually get out of this contract after 2025 if they need too.
  8. LOL rosy narrative being pushed by Democrats. The Democrats never push any rosy narrative. It's always doom and gloom. They ran Biden out over a debate. I don't think you do know how to distinguish the junk polls since there have been dozens of them. The quality polls are getting aged out in the 538 model and being replaced by these junk polls. This is exactly what they did in 2022. I called it out at the time, and people said I was falling for the rosy narrative then and would just say the fundamentals. Everyone was so quick to just ignore Dobbs and what happened in Kansas. When Dems deserted MI-10, I tried to tell anyone who would listen it was winnable. Dems lost by 0.5% with a candidate with no money. This wasn't a rosy narrative. It was all doom and gloom and bracing for the red wave that never happened. I've never said she was going to win Ohio. I've posted the occasional poll, including Trump's own internal, that showed he was only +4 in Ohio. If he is only +4 in Ohio, he isn't winning Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. I also said that bodes well for Sherrod Brown, which it does. I never at any point said she was going to win Ohio. Florida was a Trump +3 state. It has historically for the past several decades, been a swing state. Trump's margin of victory was similar to Biden's in Michigan. I don't know when Florida became Idaho. Abortion is on the ballot; marijuana is on the ballot; Dems are running a candidate in every house district. Harris has a large field operation in Florida that she just expanded yet again this past week. The DNC has invested money in Florida. Polling has shown it in low single digits. I've said over and over it is in play. I never said she would win it. I think it's 50/50 right now, and true tossup.
  9. What does Shefter mean by needing the help and cooperation of another team? Is he talking about a 3-way trade or just the team with the pass rusher? I can't see why the Lions couldn't get something done for Za'Darius Smith. Shouldn't cost a lot and he doesn't have a huge contract.
  10. This flooding of right wing polls very likely cost Dems the senate in Wisconsin. They polled funding for Barnes because they believed he was going to lose. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/31/us/politics/polling-election-2022-red-wave.html
  11. The polls aren't showing movement to Trump. All the non partisan independent polls show the race is still the same as it was before. Republicans have been flooding the zone with junk polls. There was a right wing poll of Michigan that showed Trump winning. The crosstabs had Harris actually winning the male vote, Trump winning the female vote by 8, and Harris only getting 54% of the black vote. It gets thrown into the average anyways. There have been about 70 of these junk polls in the last 30 days. They did this in 2022. Steve Bannon said this was the strategy. People were warned they were going to do it again, and Dems still wet themselves over these junk polls. Early voting has been favorable or Harris, fundraising has been favorable to Harris; She has a much better ground operation; Republicans are coming out of the woodwork to support Harris; and Republicans wouldn't be putting out all these polls if they were winning. Republican internals have not looked good. Elon Musk is paying people $1 million to vote for Trump. They are trying to create a narrative that Trump is winning and you guys are falling for it after they did the same thing in 2022.
  12. There's also the fact Trump underperformed the primaries, and polling methodologies have changed to not undercount Trump.
  13. Nate Silver runs Polymarket.
  14. Junk polls are junk polls and they did this in 2022 and the models were off even with adjusting. Nate Silver just said well Democrats should just put out more junk polls. Steve Bannon even said this was the strategy before he went to prison.
  15. I mean, I posted the Quinnipiac Georgia number like over a day ago so I’m not sure what you are cherry picking back. All those Wisconsin polls are right wing except Emerson which is just right leaning and Quinnipiac which doesn’t adjust the weight of their sample. Rasmussen literally colluded with the Trump campaign and Patriot Polling is two MAGA high schoolers.
  16. Talk about cherry-picking. Quinnipiac had Harris up 3 in North Carolina so that would debunk the hurricane theory. The Georgia one used in R+7 sample and North Carolina D+3 sample. You really think there is a 10 point difference between Georgia and North Carolina? And that Georgia has moved farther to the right than in 2016? Emerson has been a right leaning poll. They were in 2022. The models continue to use junk polls like they did in 2022. Nate Silver even created an alter ego to condescend to Democrats and it the alter ego was more accurate than he was. Why in all these states are the down ballot Dems doing well? I believe they are weighting to not under estimate Trump.
  17. Apparently this lasted less than 15 minutes.
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