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Everything posted by chasfh
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I am definitionally a boomer, but I am X-adjacent. The youngest boomers born after 1960 have nothing to do culturally with the oldest boomers born in the 40s, in almost any sense. They determined a long time ago that Baby Boomers were born 1946 through 1964, which makes sense if you look at birth rate, but culturally speaking, I think Gen X starts in 1961.
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Personally, I would like them to get dependent mental fitness tests—meaning dependent only on the interpretation of a nonpolitical, purely scientific evaluation methodology.
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I get the Tigers as part of my MLB package. Who'da thunk living outside of Michigan would be an advantage? 😏
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lol, just did this and Walt's first-ever post on the then-new MTF site was, "What, there's no political forum?"
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2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Hey, fun fact: there is no way to put a capital C and a colon back-to-back and not see it turn into a smiley face. -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
hey, Greg, welcome to the forum. Just putting pencil to paper to project our probable needs for a 2026-27 contention window: 1B: Tork? Keith? 2B: Keith? Lee? McGonigle? SS: McGonigle? 3B: Jung LF: Greene CF: Clark RF: Perez? 😄 Briceño? So, not a lot of certainty (considering how little certainty anyone in big league ball can muster). So any trade would have to effectively fill some of these holes. And if we want to fill at least two, we may have to add something to Skubal for you. I'd love to offer you Tork, and maybe you guys could fix him and make him your DH, but that's a sixth grader's fantasy trade on my part. Our top hole to fill is middle of the infield, for reasons I don't have to remind you of. So this trade has to start with Jackson Holliday. Otherwise, no dice. You haven't hung up yet? Good! In addition to Skubal, I will offer you Parker Meadows. He's a plus plus CF and his stick is starting to come around. Cedric is turning into a pumpkin for you, so you could put Parker out there right now. (Well, once he comes off the List, of course.) You say you got Beavers coming up soon to replace Cedric? That's fine, you can figure out which of Parker and Beavers takes your newly-spacious left and which takes center, then you can shift Cowser to right where his plus arm plays, and move Santander into a DH/fifth OF role. That will solve your outfield situation for most of the rest of this decade. So, for our two guys, we want Holliday; Basallo (who you really don't need with Adley and Mountcastle on your team for the next several years); one of Haskin, Fabian, or Rhodes (I'm still not sold on Wenceel here); and a pitching lottery ticket like Strowd, Gillies, McGough, Hoffman, or Armbruester. What do you say? -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
Post of the day! -
2024 Trade Deadline Rumors and Discussion
chasfh replied to LongLiveMaroth's topic in Detroit Tigers
You misspelled 248. -
You may be right, although given his embrace of data science, it would frankly shock me to learn that Harris let Willi go because a hitting coach said words. Another possibly explanation I've yet to contemplate is that the data science Harris relied on at the time was flawed.
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Or maybe Harris just ****ed up on both of them. That's a possibility, too. Maybe I should be PBO instead! 🤪
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I don't know, I'm having trouble imagining that I saw something in Willi (and Jeimer) going forward that Scott Harris didn't. That's whhy I'm thinking it must be more than a pure performance evaluation that doomed him here. I wonder whether what factored into the decision was some combination of the press relentlessly hammering the Tigers on Willi and Jeimer and ownership wanting it to stop; and that maybe Willi and Jeimer were not the right kind of clubhouse guys, since this is an characteristic Harris is explicitly seeking, for better or worse.
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I don't think that's true defensively. He was at least a slightly plus defender at more than one position. But he did obviously have the potential to be unlocked offensively, and the Twins figured that out, mostly by getting him to be patient at the plate. I know people hate everything about the Tigers' hitting coaches here, but they do practice patience at the plate, so I think Willi could have done that here, too. And of course, with the bigger bases, the Twins let Willi loose and now he's a 20-30 steals guy.
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I didn't imagine Willi being an All-Star, but I defended keeping him before he was let go last year. I'm thinking there was something more than just his evaluated potential or even his numbers at play in the decision. Same with Jeimer.
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I know I thought Trump would pull out of the debate claiming natural bias againt him, but now I'm thinking they both have to go through with it, Biden to redeem himself, and Trump to retain his honor in front of his honor-fetishizing constituency.
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That’s fine, let them, and I hope it gets traction this time. But I would be frankly surprised if it did, because if it didn’t years ago when it first came out, why would it now? There would have to be some newly-reported wrinkle to freshen it up, and I’m not sure the “boys” angle is enough. It all looks like a fantastic lie, meaning the right may well claim it proves there are underlying fantasies Democrats are projecting, since the pedophilia thing might be sticking to them with more people than it is with Republicans.
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I had no idea J.D. Vance was even gay. 😝 Seriously, I believe Trump fears J.D. Vance will upstage him. And personally, I fear J.D. Vance right now more than anyone else outside Trump. He’s famous, he’s young, he’s articulate, he’s into the fascism, and I bet mainline Republicans are just itching to vote for exactly that kind of guy.
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That’s it, I’m not voting for you anymore. 😉
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I’ve been giving more thought to the whole “it has to be Kamala Harris” thing. If Joe were to simply coronate Kamala, wouldn’t there be a huge uproar in the party and create actual factions over it, at least behind the scenes at first? I mean, yeah, black woman, yada yada, I get that. But there are a few other people in the party who would like the nomination themselves and they have vocal supporters, too. The party would go into flip flops over it. Just one more reason Joe has to stay in the race. Get him over the finish line in November, then figure out when Joe steps down if at all. Because remember, we’re not voting for just the candidate—we’re voting for all the people they bring in, too. And those people have to be there behind Kamala if/when she takes over.
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I am also not surprised that AOC and Omar are aboard. They have some far left positions but they have displayed some realpolitik as well the last few years. I would be more surprised if Cori Bush and Rashida Tlaib voice their support. I fully expect Tlaib to stay on the outside.
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I am not at all surprised. Elizabeth Warren has always been a team player. Plus, I was the guy who started the Elizabeth Warren for President thread back in 2011 or so, so I’m a fan.
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This came out years ago and it’s been buried since then. I don’t see anything about it outside of here and some random tweets I see, e.g., Rick Wilson. Besides, a distressingly high percentage of his constituency digs the idea of child brides.
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I'm not 100% certain on how to read this, but here goes—this is from Isaac Paredes's Savant page: The way it looks to me, from all the balls Isaac Paredes has put into play since the beginning of 2022, he has hit 65 actual home runs since he went to Tampa. If he hit all those same in-play balls in the exact same way—same launch angle, same exit velocity, same direction, adjusted for time of day and atmospheric conditions, I suppose—all in the Tampa ballpark, he would have gotten 70 home runs out of them. But had he hit those same fly balls at Comerica, it would have resulted in 55 home runs. I don't think this means Paredes has lost 15 home runs he would have gotten had he stayed in Detroit, but it might be fair to say that the long fly balls he did hit were -21% less likely to go out at Comerica than they would at the Trop. So, generally speaking, we can assume that he's gained several home runs more since going to Tampa than had he stayed here. Although, do we really believe these numbers on their face? I mean, look at Baltimore, for cry eye! He would have had only 26 home runs on those same balls? Do you buy that? That seems like a hard sell to me, but I'm willing to listen to anyone who can tell me why that makes sense. One thing that tells me is that a lot of his home runs are wall scrapers, which makes sense, because get a load of how much blue there is in his hard hit metrics. I had no idea. So weird.
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This is what I'm saying: Avila blocked him here. Paredes was never going to get his chance, so, as long as we're going to deal him anyway, might as well get a middle-of-the-order thumper for him. It was a big swing by Avila that I thought was at least defensible, and I acknowledged that at the time—although I also said that I was not looking forward to watching Paredes fashion an All-Star career in someone else's threads.
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"That man had charisma!"
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Is that what we're calling Baby Doc these days? 😉
