Since Dobbs, every election has favored Democrats, voter registration has favored Democrats, polls have moved in the Democrats favor, and early vote has favored Democrats. The only thing favoring Republicans so far is it's what's supposed to happen.
Imagine if Campbell was 0-2 on 4th downs including a goal line interception and calling timeout to stop the clock at the end of the half when the opponent had the ball.
The GOP is spending heavily in Ohio and North Carolina. Not states where you would expect to be spending if you were anticipating a red wave. Trump is even doing a rally in Iowa. 60 years representing Iowa and Grassley needs Trump?