I literally do not know the name of the kicker on the active roster. Do you?
They had the #1 offense in the league coming in. I think their odds of making nine yards on one play are equal or better to kicker-of-the-week making a 50+ yard attempt outdoors on a visiting field.
If he elects for the field goal and whatever kicker we picked up missed, the same people mad at Campbell for going for it would be mad at Campbell for kicking it.
Same if he punted it.
Thats on Sewell and Goff
I’m fine with going for it. If you’re going to win games, it’s going to be your offense that wins them.
But 22 players knew that Jamaal was getting that ball up the middle when the Lions lined up.
Seven-leg parlay…
Saints -5.5, Vikings -7.5, Bucs -10, Lions +3, Titans -1.5, Chargers -1.5, Eagles -5.5
$10 to win $945.78.
Book it. If you can’t tell I started drinking early today. Probably went without saying.
Ironically, an immobile Mac Jones may be a better matchup for us than Bailey Zappe. The defense in the first three games did a good job creating pressure, and Glenn loves to blitz. It just didn't make a difference with Geno Smith because he was getting rid of the ball so quickly on those bootlegs, and wasn't afraid to tuck it and run when the interior of the line spread. To Geno Smith's credit, a few of those deep passes were made as he was getting hit or facing pressure. He was able to avoid all but one sack to my memory (the intentional grounding).
If Mac Jones cannot - or struggles to - run, dip, dive, duck, or dodge to avoid pressure because of his ankle, I'd prefer to have him in there. The pocket will collapse on him and he'll have nowhere to go.
If the bootlegs are going to kill us again, it won't matter who's in there. Both Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe should be able to throw ten yard outs without problem.
In pro ball, I think the defer rate should be near 100%. Both teams have an offensive script to start the game, so you won’t be able to change much by sending yours out first. Adjust at the half and start the second half on your terms. There are rare exceptions where I would receive, but these are exceptionally rare. The first instance that came to mind is a white-out blizzard expected to arrive 20 minutes after kickoff.
In youth ball and to an extent in college ball, I think there is more value in receiving. Those games are much more determined by momentum and crowd energy, and if you think you can get it on your side early, you can ride that for quite some time.
All that said, I think the difference between deferring and receiving is so minuscule, that it actually affects probably less than 1% of game outcomes in any given season. The amount of mental energy that was expended to the topic last year in these threads was entirely disproportionate.