MichiganCardinal

I want Alim to smoke Love on the first snap of the game.

Commanders will be 7-2 after today, but haven't beat anyone good. After today, they'll have wins over the Bengals, Cardinals, Browns, Panthers, Bears, and Giants x2. Would love to have that schedule. Losses to the Ravens and Bucs.

Inactives Green Bay Packers 18 WR Malik Heath 23 CB Jaire Alexander 33 S Evan Williams 57 DL Brenton Cox Jr. 71 C Josh Myers 79 T Travis Glover

Michael Thomas is having a fun time watching the Saints game.

It may have been that Florio was told "if the Browns lose today they're officially all in as sellers." I don't expect that the Lions will give up much for Smith. 2024 5th, maybe a 4th if a 6th or a 7th comes back with Smith.

My girlfriend told me today that her (Massachusetts liberal) parents have a new favorite phrase when they are stressing that Trump is going to win: "(MichiganCardinal) says everything is going to be okay." She says they think I'm just the token Midwest white dude so I probably know what's up. If I didn't hope I was correct in my predictions before I sure do now!!

FOX is reporting that Love will start, but they are going to monitor his mobility throughout the game. Sounds like he'll have a quick hook if he looks bad.

Semi-bold prediction: Musk will be indicted on federal charges by 2028, if Harris is elected. He's on the same trajectory as Rudy. Once revered, he's selling his soul to the devil, and thinks he's untouchable. It might be tax fraud, might be more SEC violations, might be related to this election. But he's dirty, and this DOJ has shown they aren't afraid to go after big names doing illegal ****.

Kudos to you for door knocking.

I've made several remarks about how she is running a flawless campaign. This continues that trajectory. She doesn't do much here, but it's endearing, nice, and feels real. In a comparison to Trump, people will just like that she's smiling. It's a winning appearance. I

Updated forecast. Good conditions for Montgomery and Gibbs to run all over the Packers. They rank 26th against the run in the last four weeks. I'm sure they'll stuff the box, but Goff should be able to make throws underneath to Gibbs, ASB, and LaPorta. On the other side, I'm hoping we get a hobbled and immobile Love. We will stuff the run like we always do, but Willis will probably find holes in coverage and then run for long distances. The "Goff plays poorly outdoors" trope is overplayed and stupid, but I do worry some for Bates in his first outdoor NFL game.

I'll post it now, subject to change before Tuesday.

I drafted my presumptive final draft map prediction yesterday and it included a blue Iowa. I'm salty Selzer beat me to the punch.

I think he would call it trolling, think it’s hilarious, and say our dumb liberal reactions is why he did it. … and then whatabout around it.

The nature of text message campaigns is obscene and needs to be regulated, but these are the ones that are really getting under my skin. This is clearly a Trump group posing as a Harris group to rile up the progressives and get them to flip or stay home. It’s false advertising. I’ve gotten three just like it in the two days.

I think the Texans were caught on a quick turnaround Thursday Night game looking ahead to the Lions. They'll be better than this next week.

Do you think tens of thousands less people will vote for Harris than voted for Biden, or that tens of thousands more people who enjoy being openly racist exist now than existed in 2020? I know Trump supporters too. The ones I know have quieted down their passion since 2020, and certainly since 2016. They'll still likely vote for Trump as far as I know. But elections are won across a populace, not by the people me or you know personally.

But to that point, Trump is the one who has led two ballots before, and been President. Contrary to what he may tell you, America wasn't great between 2017-2021. I think he'll get as much incumbent hate as Harris will for being attached to Biden.

There is not one logical reason Trump will win this election. Breaking away from the eyes glued to the polls that are seemingly changing by the hour, a couple notes: 1. Harris has run a nearly flawless campaign. Better than Biden's in 2020, and head and shoulders above Clinton's in 2016. She has raised millions more than Trump, has inspired the youth vote from the second she became the candidate, and from the very beginning has had the infrastructure, the political operatives, and the political chops on her side to win a major American election. From a political standpoint, she does everything right. The only error I have seen as I became a more active engager in the last month was Biden's boneheaded comment calling Trump supporters garbage. Stupid comment on the same vein as "deplorables" was, but hardly James Comey level October surprise. Lucky for Harris nonetheless, she's on the ticket and not Biden. 2. On the other hand, Trump is a absolute dumpster fire. He's in New Mexico five days before the election. There is no rhyme or reason to anything he's done. Compared to Biden's "garbage" gaffe, Trump's Puerto Rico fiasco was 10x worse. He doesn't know what he's doing, and those around him are either too incompetent or too afraid to speak up and tell him. 3. By every standard that has mattered in modern day elections, Trump is the worst major party political candidate of all time. He doesn't add voters to his base. He doesn't even try. He just relies on his base. The same base of which its most fervent supporters - who traveled to DC and stormed the Capital - are now imprisoned. Can you imagine Trump compromising, or reaching across the aisle, or doing anything other than fear mongering? 4. In a continuation of the above, while I understand that Trump's candidacy has always defied logic, whatever magic he possessed in 2016 has run out. In 2016, it was novel. His schtick, a "successful" businessman with a catchy MAGA phrase who was going to "drain the swamp" and treat the US Government like a business, it all appealed to a lot of everyday people who were disenfranchised with the Democratic Party (particularly the so-called "establishment" that they saw of Hillary Clinton), and who had been told for eight years by the Republican Party that the Democrats were coming for their children and that Obama was a Muslim. In 2020, there was a redemption tour. He was an incumbent president who sold himself as a war time president (COVID) in a time when it was hard for Democrats to vote because of an ongoing pandemic. And he still lost. And then he led an attack on democracy the likes of which have never been seen domestically. In 2024, it's old. People are tired. People want him to go away. 5. People may not like Harris, but they don't hate her. Outside the never growing base of Trump supporters, people legitimately hate Trump. The general public might prefer Biden, or Buttigieg, or Warren, or Obama, or even Haley. But Harris is not Trump and so she is getting votes for that alone. When you talk about motivating the vote, hate for Trump is an easy one in 2024. 6. Turnout is going to be an all time high. There's no pandemic, while early voting and mail-in voting is more accessible than ever before. Turnout has always favored the Democratic party. I can point at polls and fear monger, but the polls don't make sense. There were warning signs in 2016. There are none now. Trump is old, washed up, a disgrace, a felon. He lost in 2020 and has only gotten worse, while the Dems candidate has gotten better. Trump is running only to keep himself out of prison. He won't win.

I am this confident for the exact opposite result. Republicans have won ONE popular vote since 1988. Why is the third Trump ballot going to be different? People don’t like him. If enough people in the right states vote, Harris will win. And unless people are living under a rock, they’ll be voting. They already are. There are a ton of other more sophisticated reasons why I think she’ll win, but that’s the most basic and fundamental.

Regarding extending Jamo, there are so many factors at play that it’s going to be a really difficult negotiation, even if we do want to keep him. You’re talking about a guy who’s played 24 games in three years, effectively a red shirt his first year and not a huge contributor his second. Been suspended six games with more possible down the line. Significant injury history, PED history, gambling history, now personal conduct history. Each of these is more risk added to the equation. I’m sure his side is going to want something like $25 million APY over 4-5 years. How do you justify that when you’ve seen how he acts getting $4 million a year? But he might get it on the open market. It’s not as relatively simple as negotiating with ASB where it’s just “let’s find the number and get this done.” I don’t think you can fault BH if he says, “we aren’t willing to give you more than a two year extension at market value,” because we just don’t know what’s next. Obviously there’s still a lot of time between now and then, especially in Jamo’s world where he averages bad press every few weeks.

I strongly disagree with blaming a reporter for writing a story. Jamo is a public figure, not a 13yo kid. There’s no right to privacy when you break the law as an adult public figure. And there sure isn’t as police making judgement calls. Worthy’s office gets murders, rapes, and Armed Robbery on a daily basis. A news story about a celebrity getting a CCW is not a blip on their radar. He either will or won’t get charged, and it will be pursuant to their policy. And yes, it’s possible that decision will be impacted by the police handing their only piece of evidence right back to the subject. I don’t buy for a second that the next young black man not named Jameson Williams will be impacted by this story though. They’re not name dropping to get discretion like Jamo was. And it sure looks like it worked. Blaming the story is goalpost shifting, plain and simple. Jamo is incredibly immature, and he needs to figure it out, or he’s not going to get a second contract in Detroit.

In Michigan at least, a voter can spoil an unreceived absentee ballot (but not an Early Vote) up until 4pm the Monday before Election Day. So if there are num nuts like this in Michigan who have already mailed it their ballot, but it has not been received, it's not too late to call their clerk, sign a paper, spoil it, and get a new ballot (or vote in person). Of course, if they early voted, or if their vote has been received and counted, it's locked in stone.