mtutiger

Really nice outing from Mize overall.... considering how long it's been since he's pitched

People still hate on Monroe, but Benetti makes him far more listenable to my ear.

Camera man was making me think homer there lol

You can blame me, everybody lol

Casey looks like a whole different pitcher than pre-injury

I didn't bother looking at it.... but how on earth is that news?

It goes back to the Wayne Gretzky quote.... where the puck is going, not where it's been.

The memory of Trump coming with a point in 2016 looms large in how people approach talking about the state. But part of why he managed to (and part of how he managed to win MI/PA/WI in 2016) was that he managed to retain just enough support in suburban areas to go along with the significant gains he made in the rural areas of the Midwest. I think it's one of the most politically misunderstood states in the country, tbh... it often gets lumped in with MI/PA/WI, but given how much more suburbanized it is versus those states, it's much different and the shift that happened in 2020 in Minnesota shouldn't have been that surprising to anyone.

Outside of maybe Illinois, Minnesota's population is probably the most suburban of any of Midwestern state.... and something like 65% of it's population lives in and around the Twin Cities. It's much more inhospitable ground for the GOP than it is generally given credit for.

MB is speaking specifically to Florida here, but the blue wall states are all above average in terms of age as well.

They should also be recieving more pressure on social media as well

It's also, by significant margin, the most covered issue in political media today. One can disagree with the approach, but I don't think it's even possible to ignore the issue given how much coverage it gets relative to every other issue facing the electorate.

It's going to be a close election, and I wouldn't put money down on either candidate.

Honestly, it's a lot of what you are saying. Where we disagree is that, IMO, the administration probably understands and internalizes these same things but has the added weight of having to worry about how these actions would influence broader stability in the ME. For instance, do these actions creater further tension or embolden Iran, for instance? It's easy for Jon Favreau and the PodBros to lob grenades on this stuff because it isn't their responsibility to have to worry about the consequences.... it's a lot harder when you are the Principal and have to piece it together.

The border is undoubtedly an area of weakness for Biden, but the idea that it's the only thing that will matter when voters make a choice on Election Day is not grounded in reality.

Have people considered the possibility that Biden could still reverse course? Because if Coons is saying something like this, it wouldn't surprise me

What's your plan?

I'm fine with Axelrod, I think he is more of an honest broker than the Biden people give him credit for, but he pretty clearly doesn't like Biden and the feeling is clearly mutual on the other side as well.

David Axelrod worked in The White House while Biden was VP and it is commonly accepted that Axelrod doesn't like Joe Biden. It's not that hard to figure out that, while staffers and politicians may share parties or even administrations together, there can be rivalries, disagreements, distrust or even outright hatred among them.

This all makes sense to me.

It's also not a secret that a bunch of Obama's people have never exactly been huge fans of Joe Biden... and Favreau and the PodBros all come from Obama's orbit. Merits aside, the "even ____ said ____" line doesn't exactly apply here IMO.

Jon Favreau isn't a former Biden staffer.

The two most provocative quotes to me from the piece.... The second one is really interesting to me and it's completely plausible that the WSJ/Morning Consult types that field six swing state polls at a time are likely to miss the nuance of the electorate in each of these states.

In light of the Biden +10 poll that dropped today from an in-state pollster... Susquehanna had him +5 as well, both of which tell a much different story than national outlets polling PA. Interesting piece

For sure, there's still time until November and the aggregate has generally been moving in the correct direction. Whether it works out or not is to be seen, but Biden's theory of the campaign could be summed up by the old Wayne Gretzky quote, "I skate to where the puck is going, not to where it has been".... Polls and betting markets favor Trump now, but that may not always be the case.