mtutiger

I think they are playing a bit of a longer game, but the history is what it is.... President's typically lose seats in a midterm, sometimes quite a few. What I would suggest is that because, for better or worse, there's so little daylight these days between a President's JA and voting intention for Congress (because of polarization), that could redound to the D's benefit in the event that Biden were to go up from the 42-43 that he's at now up to around 49-51. But that's gonna require changes to the status quo in terms of inflationary pressure on things like gas prices or food costs (ie. things people notice)... not to mention on COVID I will say that the tendency of political pundits to look at everything going on right this moment through a midterm lens despite the fact that we are a over 11 months away from the midterm probably undersells the possibility that we may be debating an entirely different set of issues in October 2022.

Meeting the requisite money/years is always gonna be the biggest factor in his decision, but I still think one thing that Detroit gives him that he didn't have in Houston (and wouldn't have most other places) is the chance to be *the* guy. Like, he'll probably be batting somewhere in the 2-4 slot and, at least for the first couple of years, he'd get to be the face of the franchise. That may or my not matter much, but it seems like a nice benefit

I get it. I've never been of the view that the Dems were favored to hold in 2022. But its also a year away... let's see what happens going forward and see how it impacts Biden's JA. We're already seeing some stories about the logjam at SoCal ports easing and, IIRC, Goldman is now suggesting that inflation could be back down to 3-4% IN Q2 of 2022. Obviously, if they held the elections today, they'd lose a lot of seats. Just making the point that the things affecting us today may not be the same things affecting us next year.

Poor Kevin... even if (or when) the GOP regains the House, he'll never be voted speaker The screed tonight projects weakness big time.

I tend to think that a lot of his troubles are tied up with supply chain/inflation issues. And the good news is that is something that will likely alleviate some in 2Q 2022. Whether that would result in better numbers remains to be seen. But yeah, if the election were held today, it wouldn't be great... it wouldn't be as bad as 2010 just due to how many reach seats the Ds held at that time, but you could easily see 30-40 gone.

Pretty much. Not there yet, but there's a lot of smoke.

I'll continue to stay with my "believe it when I see it" stance. Although I definitely will not be as surprised if it happens tho.

So dumb it hurts

The brunch heard round the world lol

I would imagine that getting those numbers right is hard, but it seems crucial to get them correct the first time given the outsized importance in media coverage labor statistics get.

Al Franken's existence basically undermined Kevin McCarthy entire case (ie. "Rules for thee, not for me"). Along with Katie Hill for that matter. We can all debate the degree to which each side polices their own and whether it's enough but, objectively, the two parties are not the same on this question at this point in time.

Politics is a form of entertainment for most Americans, for better or worse.

The thing about the Paul Gosar video is that, if you're standard is "if I did this thing at work I'd be fired", well, it meets that standard. Meanwhile, in the great halls of our government, 47% of the House apparently thinks that's ok.

Overall I'm ok with the result here. I love JV, but he's still a risk and I don't blame the team for going with ERod as their established starter signing over the Verlander reunion. A team like the Astros, who have a 90-win pedigree, makes more sense to take that risk than the Tigers.

I would say consider the source, but it is his brother lol

Will Johnny Kane get an invite onto the SS Caesar?

The conventional wisdom (at least locally) is that Story is gonna be the prodigal son who returns home to DFW. I'll believe it when I see it though.... they have a lot of prospects in the pipeline, but the Rangers still don't seem like the most attractive destination spot, at least with the roster as currently built.

Oh no, anyway

Heyman seems like the Lynn Henning of Jeff Passans.... lol

I was in Illinois last week for family reasons (W/SW Burbs). People mostly still following indoors, but there were some places where enforcement of the mandate was pretty lax. (Which, honestly, not sure how necessary the mask mandate really is at this point, so 🤷‍♂️)

Including two E. Rodrigai

In terms of reclamation project, I'd like them to consider Michael Wacha perhaps....

Uhh, legit journalists probably shouldn't be doing this kinda smoke and mirrors stuff