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I’m going in the other direction: I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt until he proves to be incompetent.

We got an anti-Harris skeptic here. We need the balance.

Some definitely do see it as a problem. What they don’t see it as is a problem with guns.

We have never had a major geopolitical front in South America, but this may well be the beginning of that.

I’m not so sure that China is so First World that they will be able to avoid the temptation to use bound labor. I’m even not so sure they’re avoiding that option right now.

I’ll be fine letting Jeimer go if Harris can replace him with a third baseman who will be at least as good. People think that should be a piece of cake and that really, Candy sucks anyway so just about anyone will do, but I don’t think it will be as easy as all that. But, if Harris can pull it off, in whatever manner he can manage to, then Jeimer who.

ft …

You know he is!

Except there’s a chance there a fascist coup over the election can succeed right now. Brazil is not a banana republic. It’s a $2 trillion economy, the ninth-largest in the world, with a population of well over 200 million people. If they fall to fascism, it will be a big hairy deal. Fingers crossed.

Youre right, substitutions are fewer and farther between now. With the new 26/13 roster rule, which gives us four subs on the bench versus three or even two, we might start to see subbing pick up once teams figure out how to optimize staffing for it. Even so, I think it might be less about options for substitution and more about flexibility with the starting lineup.

They want the flexibility of left/right matchups by position.

Jeimer’s OPS in 2021 was .795. League OPS was .731. Jeimer’s OPS was well above average. He was good.

I guess one other possibility with Jeimer, if he’s not hurt and he’s a decent bounceback candidate, might be that he’s not a good clubhouse guy. Maybe one of the things they really want to clean up is the team culture and Jeimer is a net negative when it comes to that? I know nothing about it one way or another, this is just a possibility I just now considered.

Incipient retirement? Mazel tov! 🎉

Because Trump.

"Change of scenery" usually means change of people, coaching, system. We've changed people, coaching, and system here, but not soon enough to try to salvage Jeimer for ourselves, I guess. I kind of hope he does come back for cheaper, unless Harris gets a better 3B in trade or something, in which case, happy trails, Jeimer.

Jeimer’s hard hit tool took a big dip this past season, but even with his below average EV, his max EV and barrel percent numbers were both above average. That tells me his issue was probably a swing that just got out of sorts, and there was no one knowledgeable around to help him fix it. You may remember that during the All-Star break, Jeimer went for some swing instruction and had a good little stretch for maybe a week coming out of the break, only to go back into a funk that, once more, no one around the Tigers could help him with. I think if he ends up in a system with good batting coaching, he’ll get back closer to his old self and smack the ball around pretty good this year.

If that’s the case, the only remaining explanation is that they believe Jeimer is 2022 or worse, and nowhere near 2021, which is worth more than $7 million; and furthermore, they were fine with another 2022 from him, as long as he was cheap. Maybe as a trade chip, maybe as a placeholder for the unhatched chicken.

Of course, but the underlying conversation is less about his expected contract value—even I knew he was more likely to be cut than get $7 million in arb—and whether his career is basically done. I don't think it is, unless, again, there is some chronic health problem we don't know about that will prevent his bounceback.

I would be OK with Mitch Haniger for 2/24.

Past performance is one of the factors that leads to projections for the future. It's not the only one. If Candelario has the kind of chronic injury that makes any performance better than last year really unlikely, then I agree the Tigers made the right move. I'm coming around to thinking that might be the case. Otherwise, it makes no sense, to me anyway, that a 28-year-old has a bad season after two good ones, and the conclusion is he's done done at 29. That's not the typical outcome.

The performance Candelario provided this past season was not worth $7 million. The performance he provided in both 2020 and 2021 were each worth way more than $7 million. The question is what performance is he likely to provide next year, and whether that will be worth $7 million. If he provides what projections say he will, it will be worth it. The one thing I think we can all agree on is that he won’t make anywhere close to that. But I believe that unless he is done done, which is possible if improbable, he will overdeliver handily on next year’s salary.

Repeat that countless thousands of times and no wonder pitchers’ arms get shredded.

That’s true. The injury explanation could make sense in the case of the one guy.

This entire era is all about concentrated power.