It probably won't be 50% given all the team in the hunt. It could be somewhere between the current 15 or so percent and 50%, but I'm not sure how meaningful thoses percentages are anyway. I think it also depends on how the pitching staff looks at the deadline. Is Olson good? Does the bullpen bounce back? If the pitching staff looks strong and healthy, I they would be more likely to go for the wildcard.