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Everything posted by MichiganCardinal
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One pattern that could be emerging... We have lost to two great coaches this year in Carroll and Harbaugh, and split with a good one in LaFleur, while beating one great coach in Reid and beating up on mediocre to bad coaching in Arthur Smith, Todd Bowles, Frank Reich, Josh McDaniels, and Brandon Staley. Certainly there is some element of chicken-and-egg here, good coaches tend to have good teams, but Dennis Allen would definitely be the worst coach we have lost to this season, and be the first loss to a team with a clearly worse coach than Campbell. I think I like the Lions here. They have the better roster top to bottom and seem too talented to not bounce back.
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vs. Setting: 12/03/2023, 1:00pm on FOX Site: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA Weather: Climate Controlled Opening Spread: Lions -3 All-Time Series Record: Saints lead, 14-12-1 Last Meeting: 10/04/2020, Saints won 35-29 New Orleans Saints (5-6) Head Coach: Dennis Allen (5th Season: 20-44) Projected Starting QB: Derek Carr (10th Season: 68-85) Last Game: 24-15 L @ Atlanta Falcons (5-6) Looking Ahead to Week #14: Sunday v. Carolina Panthers (1-10) Your Detroit Lions (8-3) Head Coach: Dan Campbell (3rd Season: 20-24-1) Projected Starting QB: Jared Goff (8th Season: 62-48-1) Last Week: 29-22 L v. Green Bay Packers (5-6) Looking Ahead to Week #14: Sunday @ Chicago Bears (3-8)* Elsewhere in the NFL Primetime: Seahawks @ Cowboys (TNF), Chiefs @ Packers (SNF), Bengals @ Jaguars (MNF) 1:00pm: Chargers @ Patriots, Falcons @ Jets, Cardinals @ Steelers, Colts @ Titans, Dolphins @ Commanders, Broncos @ Texans 4:05/4:25pm: Panthers @ Buccaneers, Browns @ Rams, 49ers @ Eagles BYE: Ravens, Bills, Bears, Raiders, Vikings, Giants
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Also imagine having Riley Patterson instead of Jake Elliot and having to go for it on 4th and 17 there because you never addressed the position.
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I thought Buffalo’s offensive problems were Ken Dorsey? Why are we taking a knee with Josh Allen and a timeout with 20 seconds left. I want them to win, but losing the coin toss and not getting the ball is more fitting here. Let your last offensive play in a loss be taking a knee.
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Why wouldn’t both make it? I think Texas gets the short end of the Power 5 stick if FSU wins.
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I do think it would mean the infrastructure surrounding the program would stay largely intact, notwithstanding Harbaugh taking some of his people with him. In the same way Meyer left Day on third base, Harbaugh would leave Sherrone Moore incredibly well setup for continued success. Does that mean he is guaranteed to have Harbaugh’s success, of course not (see: Day). If you bring in someone new like Mark Stoops or Jonathan Smith or Mike Elko, they’re going to want to bring in their own staff and reinvent the wheel to some extent. Which, if you’re Michigan State, you desperately want and welcome with open arms. When the wheel looks well on its way to a third consecutive B1G Championship though, maintaining as much as you can is probably preferred.
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I think that's what made this year so much more important. It was the last of the traditional games. There are very real scenarios under next year's format where they play three times in the span of a month. Week 13 as normal, B1G Championship the following week, one team gets a bye and one team plays a home game in the 5v12 round, followed by yet another rematch in the CFP Quarterfinals.
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On that note who would we most like to play in the semi? Granted, last year it was probably TCU and we know how that worked out. It's likely we will return to the Rose Bowl for the game, given that Georgia will request the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans if they are the #1 seed. I would think playing Florida State without their starting QB would be best for us. They've played a mediocre ACC schedule (plus one OOC win against LSU) and they looked pretty pedestrian against a bad Florida team last night. It's never easy to go 12-0, so you know they're a good team, but alongside Georgia/Alabama/Texas/Oregon/Washington, they're probably the most favorable matchup. If Georgia, Michigan, FSU, and Oregon win, it would be interesting to see if they put Florida State at #3 or have Oregon jump them to setup an easier perceived semi for Georgia. I maintain that Georgia isn't going to three-peat. They're more flawed than either of the last two years. I think either Oregon or Michigan could beat them on any given Saturday... or Monday... And that one of them will finish what Ohio State came so close to doing last year.
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Meanwhile, A&M leaks that they're hiring Mark Stoops before he signs a contract and he backs out at (literally) the 11th hour, leading to mostly embarrassment for the program and knowledge that whoever they do hire was at least their 2nd choice.
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vs. Setting: 12/02/2023 8:00pm EST on FOX Site: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN Weather: Climate Controlled Opening Spread: Michigan -22 All-Time Series Record: Michigan leads, 44-15-4 Last Meeting: 10/01/2022, Michigan won 27-14 #16 Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz (25th Season: 196-117) Projected Starting QB: Deacon Hill (Redshirt Sophomore: 6-1) Last Week: 13-10 W @ Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-7) #2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0) Head Coach: Jim Harbaugh (16th Season: 141-52) Projected Starting QB: JJ McCarthy (Junior: 24-1) Last Week: 30-24 W vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) B1G Championship Game History
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I remember the immediacy of that Michigan-MSU game from 2021. We should have won that game too. People were pissed we didn't, and pretty much everyone thought we were well on the way to a James Franklin classic 10-2 season and another NY6 game. I think everyone would be pretty okay with where we are at now instead.
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I think the conference champions will always have priority, and I think the best one-loss 12-game team(s) have a hefty burden to overcome any one-loss team that plays 13 games. Right now, we have undefeated teams in the B1G, SEC, Pac-12, and ACC, and a one-loss team in the Big 12. I don't think we will see chalk into the semis, but last year Ohio State only needed USC to lose to Utah. They need more this year. Going with the presumption that Georgia beats Georgia Tech tonight, if they lose the SECCG, Alabama replaces them in the CFP. If anything, an Alabama win probably hurts Ohio State because Georgia's one-loss resume would be better than Ohio State's. If Michigan loses, one-loss Ohio State won't get in before one-loss Michigan. If Washington loses, Oregon is in as the one-loss PAC champion. One-loss Washington versus one-loss Ohio State for #4 would be very tight and could go either way. Washington, playing an extra game, would have split with (then #3) Oregon and beat Arizona and Oregon State. Ohio State would have lost once to #2 Michigan, along with wins over Notre Dame and Penn State. If Florida State loses, it opens the door to the Big 12 and a one-loss Texas. A one-loss FSU versus a one-loss Ohio State will generate controversy, but this is probably a discussion Ohio State wins, if only because FSU has lost their QB for the year. The way I see it, Ohio State needs Georgia to beat Alabama, Michigan to beat Iowa, Washington to beat Oregon (probably), FSU to lose (preferably tonight to a lesser opponent), and Texas to lose to Oklahoma State. If each of those happen you're looking at (1) Georgia, (2) Michigan, (3) Washington, (4) Ohio State... It's not impossible, but it's definitely more than expecting USC to lose to Utah again.
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After conference championships, my predictions are for the semis. Next week’s rankings are as useful as preseason rankings. 🙂
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Auburn has too much to worry about on defense to even think about OPI. Why aren’t they bringing pressure there when it has worked the whole drive? And if you’re not going to bring pressure, what the hell is that IDL/MLB doing? Might as well have had ten players on the defense the way he just hangs out in no man’s land, at least the edge rushers were trying to get home. And how does that end up in one-on-one coverage in the corner? You have eight DBs, they have five going deep and that pass had to travel 40 yards. Someone else needs to be nearby to help in coverage. They have no one but themselves to blame for that getting converted.
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Auburn should have beat Alabama and Wazzu should have beat Washington. I’ll believe it when the clock hits zero, because I think FSU will beat Louisville next week regardless. Though if I have to revise it without FSU, it would be 1- Georgia 2- Michigan 3- Oregon 4- Texas
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Prediction 1 Georgia 2 Michigan 3 Florida State 4 Oregon
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It would take both of those though, which I don’t think is a given.
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Alabama is VERY beatable. I hope they knock out Georgia
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Auburn had a chance to put the game away and muffed the punt