gehringer_2

The 10yr is yield is still running below everything shorter than 4M, so the bond market still hasn't pulled out of it's yield curve inversion. If the fed actually thinks they are getting near their so-called 'equilibrium' short term rate, long term rates are destined to go up more. Short term rates would have to fall to something like ~3.5% to support where the 10yr rate is now and they aren't getting there for while.

They are stuck in purgatory with a bunch of forwards who can't play a high level game and a defense that is too old and slow across it's bottom half. So Seider/Edvinnson and Raymond are good players - Cossa might be a good goalie. That's not nearly enough from the system in 4yrs. At this rate Larkin will be collecting his pension before they ever fill out a 20 main roster around him.

Balance is not needed, a 'balanced budget' straight jacket would leave the government unable to do counter cyclical spending in the face of recession, in fact it would cause recessions to bottom much deeper than they other might. The Covid economic crash would have been twice the disaster if the Fed had not been able to open the taps. The problem with Federal spending in recent years is that a 'good' economy is never 'good enough' anymore. If you look at the State of Michigan, they put money in a 'rainy day' fund when the economy is good, spend it when it's bad. It is not possible for the Federal government to actually save money, its ledger can never go all the way to positive. it has to act on the below zero/debt side - spend a little more when things are down. spend less and let the debt close when times are good. But it's all been on one side for too long. For instance the last 3 yrs of Obama's admin the economy was good enough they should have been paying down, but they didn't. The economy is good enough now we should be paying down - we aren't. But another reason it doesn't happen is the GOP's "starve the government and drown in the bathtub" philosophy because that depends on pushing a constant debt crisis, which means they will never agree to raise taxes as part of a balanced plan to close the debt when the economy is good enough to support it.

Not even to mention that 3 games in 4 days shouldn't even be a scheduling option in the NHL.

I'm not sure I agree. I think it may be the opposite - they are below critical mass of quality players to allow a great (or even very good) player to show up - well make that particularly centers. They have a few decent wings all competing to play with the one center who can make offense go. We complain about Raymond - dollars to donut you put him back with Larkin and his goal scoring an impact on the ice starts climbing again. I think scoring sucks more because they have no centers after Larkin that are even average, than because they need a superstar per se, or maybe by definition any center that came in and played at anything close to Larkins level would be one definition of a star, though people constantly tell us Larkin is not in that class.....

A perfectly rational decision - until it turns out to be wrong. But thereby maybe also hangs a tale. If the roofing had a known limited lifetime then replacement was envisioned, and if replacement was envisioned for a ball park that meant there was a way to get it done in an off-season. So what's stopping them now? Obviously it's still throwing good money after bad, but TBF, even if they were willing lead time probably makes it impossible. If the panels were going to be replaced they probably needed ordered in months ago.

I don't know how much difference it would make in the end when you don't have a QB that can make basic throws. On one play late in the game, Warren looked at Loveland, who was breaking open, looked away, got pressured and tried to go back to him once he was covered. If he'd just make the initial throw it's 1st down. Not really his fault - he just doesn't see the field.

LOL - they get the ball back with all the momentum and the O lays an egg with Warren missing a wide open throw to cap a three and out.

at least in '84 they started with a QB and only ended up in a bad situation because of injury.

should have just run the TD play again for the conversion. Throwing the ball with this offense has to be your last option.

He made such a poor throw on the last screen that it cost the receiver a step and half having to reach for it and the play got very little. All Warren has is an arm (hardware), the vision, anticipation, processing are not there (no software).

and Loveland was wide open on the flea flicker but Warren didn't get the ball off until the Defense had had time to close and then didn't make a very good throw anyway.

Warren it terrible, Orji is terrible. M has had some marginal QB play over the years but this is about the lowest point I can remember since maybe Ricky Leach with a broken wing.

and such bad use of the portal. At the least they should have sent Orji into it.....

well, this game against IU is certainly generating intense interest........ The scoring opens with Michgan settling for 3 after being 1st and goal on the 6 and then fumbling the ball for 20yd loss. Indiana quickly drives the field to go 7-3.

They might be able to work something out where the Rays play in the Tarpons stadium and the Tarpons play some at USF (3K capacity) to resolve conflicts. My guess is that MLB will exhaust every possibility to keep the games somewhere in the Tampa area.

energy - got to more loose pucks. I didn't see the 1st, but by the 2nd the Wings were pretty out of sync. The whole team was having trouble finding the touch on their passing -- a lot of missed passes and passes jumping sticks. Maybe they were keyed up to play Toronto, or as as noted previously, maybe some help from a poor ice sheet last night. Leafs generally had more energy - got to more loose pucks -- but that said giving up two goals to the Leafs is not a bad defensive effort, they just couldn't do anything with the puck themselves. Not to mention they gave up the game winner on a TMMOTI penalty - which is always inexcusable.

You can certainly engineer a structure with various levels of fault tolerance, but I think it would have been unusual for them to have designed interior drainage into a covered stadium. There are good questions out there for the failure analysis though: Did the roof fail at less than the design performance? If not, is FLA going to institute higher wind tolerance stds? If it did, what did they get wrong in the materials or construction?

well that was absurd. Wings don't pull Talbot when they had control, then give up the empty netter before Talbot even gets to the bench on on sloppy play by Seider. Wings were a step behind the leafs the whole 3rd.

IDK, nobody can make a pass tonight - but the Leafs aren't doing much better. Pretty choppy play

puck bouncing all over the place - bad ice maybe?

IDK, but at a minimum the CSA army wasn't defending their home turf at Gettysburg.

At one point there was a report that Parker still talks to him everyday. I hope that's true. "I developed a condition that prevents me from playing baseball but allows me an otherwise fairly normal life" is a lot better than "I developed a condition that continues to get worse and will destroy my normal life." I don't know that anyone has ever said which he's dealing with, which is their right of course......

And the Met have a zillion bucks coming off the books this off-season.

Petry is just sad to watch. He knows what to do but just fails. He sets up on a guy, the guy goes right past him, he goes into the corner, the other player comes out with the puck, he tries to pass, it doesn't get there, he's near the man in front of the net, the man makes the play anyway. I can understand why a coach likes him, the instincts are there, but at some point execution has to matter.