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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. Re:McCosky story: You notice that the success he pointed to was Fulmer - a pitcher. It's a whole different mental approach for a pitcher than a hitter. A pitcher is an initiator. He controls the action - he has time to deliberate - to bring his thoughts about what he wants to do to some kind of closure, then make his pitch. Hitting is purely reactive, once a pitch is coming you have to be 100% on pure reaction and the 'mental/muscle memory' of what your body knows how to do. Any thought process a hitter attemps once a pitch is released dooms him. Hitters are going to be far more affected by potential mental overloading than pitchers and if teams don't recognize that difference and tailor their approach for hitting and pitching differently, they are going to fail.
  2. I would say the difference is that economic decay in rural areas while real, is less politically 'deliberate'. Its part of a much more inevitable historical trend. Increasing urbanization has been a constant ever since the first tractor was invented, but in the immediate post WWII era in the US you had a couple of big factors that temporarily held back the trend - the interstate freeway system and incredibly cheap gasoline. That allowed a lot of light and medium manufacturing to move out into the country side and boosted rural economies. But China, higher fuel prices and 'just in time' production systems have pretty much put an end to the influence of those factors. And as a matter of fact - a lot of Biden's re-industrialization initiatives are being pushed out to the country side to try to ameliorate those declines - Why? Because rural areas have gerrymandered fortified (small d) democratic influence that insure their concerns are eventually heard, while the black urban poor have managed to neuter the strength of their democratic leverage by for falling for the illusory "progress" of super majority minority districting.
  3. Harbaugh threatening to walk might be higher leverage than Brady Hoke threatening to walk - no doubt, but that leverage is still pretty limited to the athletic dept and possibly what ever Regents are sympathetic to sports (and this is probablty the biggest key to what and how much happens). Beyond that the AthleticDept at UM is pretty completely siloed from the rest of the Unversity and you could re-incarnate a composite of Knute Rockne and Bo and the rest of the University would probably give you a big shrug about it.
  4. I think the cleverness of today's American institutional forms of racism is that they operate mostly at the economic level so it's relatively easy to defend American social outcomes as strictly class based and not specificially race based. But the truth is that by segregating blacks geographically and then reducing resources to urban black areas, you effectively segregate a larger portion of the black community into lower economic status. So American society has reached a condition where people don't need to be racists in their personal conduct, the hidden hands of majority rule, private investment and government resource distribution maintain their priviledged status while we can remain 'pure' and 'colorblind' in our everyday personal conduct.
  5. This is absolutely correct. The urban poor realize that crime prevents economic redevelopment in their areas, prevents appreciation of property valules that allows people in other places to build family economic equity etc.. But they want *better* policing, not just more violently aggressive policing. At one time the assumption was that if police depts better reflected the make-up of the community that would happen organically, but we are finding that police culture becomes an entity all of its own, regardless of who makes up the force so that hope is not necessarily realized in too many places.
  6. I think what would be instructive would be to look at the percentage of the black population that lives in economically depressed urban areas as compared to whites. That is going to explain part of that 2.5 disparity. I would say if whatever residual percentage difference remaining after normalizing for the prevalence of urban poverty, that can be more clearly assigned to endemic/institutional racism factors.
  7. so if you put a piece of meat on rack in a convection oven at 425 would it come out any differently than air 'fryer' would do it?
  8. If I had to guess he'd be good at everything execpt making trades - and that just because his up tight personality might make make him a poor negotiator -- but IDK. He seemed like a decent guy - just wasn't cut out for the job when he was here.
  9. Yeah -glide angle is a big deal for the pilots. Over the years designers have tended to design planes of all kinds with very similar landing glide angles and when you take an experienced pilot and give him airframe that basically lands like a rock, they really have to fight years of 'muscle' memory to keep their 'experience' from messing them up. When Boeing introduced the 727 tri-jet, it had a slightly steeper landing glide angle and there were several early accidents when experienced pilots put them down short of the runway.
  10. I think people tend to overestimate how much a pitch moves while it's over the plate. even a 65mph 'Epheus' pitch has enough linear velocity to be moving mostly straight across the plate so I don't think the instrumentation should have any trouble with that. To give the extreme case, when I was playing slow pitch softball , we had people who firmly believed a pitch could hit the back of the plate and still be a strike. I put it into a simulator once to show some folks that even in slow-pitch that's nearly impossible.
  11. Harbaugh can stay or go, it doesn't solve the U's bigger problem of how to position itself wrt and manage NIL. Harbaugh is simply the catalyst forcing the issue, but any other coach in his place would undoubtedly be trying to pull all the same levers of his institutional clout in the same ways to get the same things.
  12. if you can't trade a D at a profit, just waive Hagg or Lindstrom...
  13. If he's not in Det on March 4 I'm going to be deeply disappointed. 😠
  14. It was so bad one the Bengals on the side lines could see it coming and practically tried to step in front of the guy.
  15. When I watched the film I said to a buddy that it looked like the cockpit survived the conflagration intact. I don't think NASA admitted that was true till years later.
  16. Well that one pretty much made up for what a snoozer the NFC game was.
  17. Yuo, - An NFL game with only one team playing a QB is definitely not going to win any viewing prizes.
  18. From what I've seen most sets still come with some kind of feet or leg stands, but they are removable. When you start getting wider than about 50" it does get more convenient to hang it on the wall just because you may not have any kind of furniture wide enough to stand it on if you wanted to.
  19. No, the State fans were only interested enough to blow up the college forums a few years back. Once that was done they all left.
  20. yes - you definitely want to keep a sense of the ranges given there in mind when trying to decide if you need to believe what you are seeing.
  21. Agree. I think this is also an underrated aspect. The old saw about hitting being 'contagious' has a certain kernel of truth to it. It's a lot easier to face pitchers that are stressed, have thrown a lot of pitches in an inning, and are working out of the stretch with men on base. The tigers O managed to fall to a point so low it became synergistically worse for everyone on the team collectively.
  22. which is the wierd part. Watching him he just looked late, but I don't think it's because he doesn't have the bat speed, my guess is it's between his ears - you wonder if it isn't just a matter of reaching a comfort level where he can relax, grip it and rip it. Other's have commented that Tork seems to have to adjust at each level and for whatever reason he got out of sync out of the gate in Det in April and it didn't happen. It was notable it only took him a couple of weeks at Toledo to pick it up again. And one of the yhings that left me a little puzzled with Hinch. At one point his comment about Tork was "there are too many people in his ear." Well isn't it one of a manager's jobs to try to manage who is in his ear? I suppose he could have been talking about advice coming from outside the org, but in any case I thought it was odd at the time.
  23. Part of Torkelson's bad luck was he didn't get enough elevation on a lot of the balls he hit the hardest. That always makes me wonder if a guy is trying too hard to lift the ball and as a result is chronically missing a bit and hitting the bottom half. His swing path gave him plenty of elevation on the way up through college and the minors so I hope he didn't feel he needed to start overdoing it.
  24. Warde has at least a 50/50 on being right there. We shall see. I tend to see NIL as basically a legalization of booster money. The schools that are going to excel at it are schools with a deep tradition of booster networks, especially those that have always skirted the rules to funnel money though them illicitly. UM has a lot of 'donors', but the question is how much different is the psycological profile of a 'donor' from a 'booster'? Do people who love to give money to the institution and to have their names on things in it and the be remembered in it really want to give that same money to make an 18yr rich who won't be bothered to give him the time of day in 4yrs? The other question is does the University as a *whole* even want them to? Will we see the development staffs of other units within the University fundraising the same sources in direct competition with the AD's NIL fund raisers? People assume a lot of things are a lot simpler than they may really be.
  25. The Freep is now owned by Gannett, even if their reporting is factual its credibility is going to suffer because UM is the closest target of opportunity for another RW US media company to own the libs and newspapers have to skew right because that is the demo that still reads them. Joe Stroud is probably rolling over in his grave. Most of the Freep's reporting about UM in recent years has been all squeaky wheel journalism, because it's always pretty easy to find someone on campus dramatically (and being UM, articulately) unhappy about something that makes a good 'look at those silly academics' story. And of course, there is always enough of that going on for real.
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