gehringer_2

Well, in a sense, the decks are now cleared. The GOP has put two of the most theoretically energizing issues in front the left/middle left if could have. The GOP is still tied to the worst leadership in it's history. If the Dems can't sweep 2022, then we can forget about the left/center-left building any kind of winning coalition for at least a couple more cycles. 2018 provided a teaser, but that coalition didn't grow and ground was lost in 2020. Employment is still high, COVID worries have dissipated, gas prices will be falling by fall, and Presidents are blamed for inflation more than Congresses and he isn't running. This year or never.

that was one of the reasons the Supreme Court wrote Roe in the 1st place - you had wide discrepancies in the law around the country and no prospect of clear or consistent Federal law guidance. But the idea among Justices that the SCOTUS was actually there to try and make thing work better in the US, instead as a beachhead for revanchist conservative social policy has long been lost.

True, but it probably won't be quite like buying garage lab Fentanyl. More like a grey market than a. black one. These are pill preps already in standard use around the world and probably in many US states where abortion will remain legal. I imagine they will be available for order via internet and shipped by suppliers like generics manufacturers in India that are fully certified for export by the FDA but beyond the reach of any US state law.

it's all good. The court has increased our 'right' to be gunned down in public places to the point where we won't have much else we need to worry about.

Once you let the 12th Century back into your politics, it's the kind of shit that follows.

well, let's just say it's an experiment that should have been run.

end up? always has been. that's been cooked into the cultural genes of patriarchy since Java man.

IDK. I don't disagree with anything in your post. In truth I find the position of conservative women in America perplexing, but then again, at this point I see the position of all conservatives in America as perplexing.

No kidding. Since the Garden of Eden.

Right. Throughout history there has been law, and there has been practical enforcement capacity. Pharmaceutical abortion will be at least as hard to effectively control as any other illicit drug, and we see how much success we have with that.

that's not my point - see subsequent post.

My larger point would be that in absolute truth, abortion is not a 'womens' issue in the US. It remains a conservative/liberal issue. Conservative women vote GOP just as strongly as conservative men; abortion is not an issue that peels them away from the GOP as women. It is an issue that brings them to the GOP because conservative women oppose abortion, just like the woman on the SCOTUS that just voted to end access to it. Just arguing for clarity of thought here. It's been a political miscalculation that "women" should potentially be a political swing force on the issue. The disconnect is that the 'women's' movement as understood in the US and MSM, is really the 'liberal women's' movement and it does not actually represent many women beyond the Venn diagram of the existing Democratic party, thus is not particularly politically relevant beyond its power within the Democratic party. That is not nothing, but it does mean that it is not an independent source of political weight beyond that of the existing Democratic party.

Apparently just about as dense as Susan Collins.

of course if women in America had any kind of solidarity on the issue there wouldn't be a GOP office holder anywhere in the country, so there's that.

that's the problem, Americans 'pride themselves' on being a lot of things they are not.

It may energize the D base, but I'm pessimistic it does much to energize voters in the middle, so I'm not sure it is actually going to create much anti-conservative backlash where it would matter.

TBH, looking at the org's recent hires, they have gotten some positive reviews, I don't think we necessarily need to be pessimistic a priori. Al has shown an ability to hire good people.

The 'security' of Crypto is illusory. The tech does make it secure against one kind of attack - man-in-the-middle attack of transmitted data. But there are many other kinds of attack on assets and for those it's often worse than a conventional bank account. One of the issues with Crypto is that it actually offers no identity based security. IOW, if I go to the bank tomorrow and the bank says I am not me, I have some recourse to prove my identity to the bank, or ultimately to a judge who can rule that I am who I say I am. Crypto accounts are like numbered Swiss accounts, only the number(well -a crypto key) of the account # is recognized by the system, - you have no other provable identity. Thus any fraud against that number - which is prone to all the kinds of fraud and theft any other piece of information is, is absolute and there is generally no recourse, because there is no identity backstop in the system.

education in the US is pretty bad and we don't actually teach much history of any kind so I doubt it's anything being taught positively. Certainly more like things not taught at all. Furthermore, I'm all for STEM ed, being an engineer myself, but I have to wonder how much that's just been one more excuse to avoid teaching more language/writing based curricula (which of course is hard). But to my mind, that is the only place you really can be forced to think - to present an idea and defend a conclusion. And the other, probably bigger issue is that all these behaviors overlay the distribution of certain kinds of religious belief. Now it's a fair question which is chicken and which is egg? Do people who are already prone to those modes of (un)thinking gravitate to that kind of religiosity, or does acculturation in those religious milieus create minds that don't think critically? Probably goes both ways, but you can argue based on the geographic distribution of Trump's support that the thinking follows the religious acculturation. But that is only a symptomatic answer. What makes that style of religion persistent in those places? The US - Canada comparison should tell us something there as on many grounds there is a lot of similarity between US and Canadian Western culture - Montana and Saskatchewan no doubt should have more in common that Sask. does with Toronto or Montana does with Chicago. Understanding the disconnect between the politics/religion in those places might be instructive.

so bottom line - very impressive the way Weaver got what he wanted. It was a complex plan and he pulled it all together. So he gets an A+ as GM in terms of working the knobs and switches. The answer to the "second" question is unknown for now, which is whether the strategy he has been successful at is a winning strategy or not.

Champlain towers building had an emergency warning system. Security Guard didn't know how to use it. 7 minutes elapsed between the call to 911 and the building's collapse. Do the math.. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/23/us/surfside-condo-collapse-alarm.html

Teams also get unlucky and have bad years. FOs are no more, or less responsible for ether. You hope to be able to see past that at the longer term organizational direciton.

well, everyone prepare yourselves for the fact that it will likely be Al that hires his own successor.

Duren could be maybe 3-5yr from whatever his final product is going to be? Big men normally take a while.

Add free throw shooting to the improvement wish list. Would like to see a top level guard shoot more than 74%.