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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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Hinch will probably be mad at him and bench him for bunting with one out just now.
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man, don't blink while the Tigers are hitting, you'll miss the half - inning.
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Red Wings looking for a Head Coach
gehringer_2 replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Red Wings
I thought Trotz has already quit one job because they wanted to move him to management and he wanted to coach? Maybe he's changed his mind over time. Not to mention "some believe....". Really? Taking lessons from Lynn Henning -
I can only surmise that the pressure of losing is scrambling their brains.
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another HR off a change-up. I remember JV had to stop throwing his because he couldn't stop tipping it. I wonder if it's the nature of the change that it's harder to deliver without tipping, guys seem to hunt them against the Tigers.
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hopefully it will just go away as it really serves very nearly no purpose, but I doubt it. From an investment standpoint it's basically now in the same category as art. It's going to be worth whatever the next guy will pay for it, except you can't hang it on your wall and look at it in the meantime. I guess if you buy a digital art NFT, which is essentially also buying crypto, you can leave it up as the screensaver on your TV!
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I think what he's trying to get out at the public level is that the Russian infiltration of the party has been more longstanding and endemic through it's consultants and lobbyists than just the Trump episode. But that is superimposed on a private feud with Meagan I haven't followed at all and don't care about either. She obviously want to keep dad on a pedestal to she can bath in the reflected light so she hasn't liked Schmidt putting the blame for things like Palin back on McCain.
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It was a lot more sensical as an essay than a bunch of tweets. Twitter sucks at at least as many things as it is actually good for.
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teehee. that's also 44563 to you.
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it seems there is always some player over a given perioid they just refuse to give up on. Christin Stewart, Sizemore, Michado, all kinds of guys get way more run than they merit. Ever since his one hot streak it's been W. Castro. I understand you really don't want to miss a guy that may turn into something when your position player pool sucks, but I'm sorry, I just don't see it with Willi. Last yr was his opportunity to turn it around but he finished the season the same player he started it and still is.
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g..o..t....t..o....d..o..u..b..l..e....D..O..W..N
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I guess people can argue what 'better' means, but if it had been Ras in that clip above he would have been rubbed of the puck in at least two places that Elmer played past.
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Right. Back in the day a white woman could call a large white uncouth male a knuckledragger and there was no racial connotation- it was an accusation of being 'un-evolved.' But exactly since the central tenet of white supremacy is that the white race is somehow 'more evolved' than the others, the term takes on a ton more loading when used outside an all white context.
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its the ultimate irony. For millennia we used things like gold that were hard to get and yet quite easy to keep (very physically stable and reworkable) to stand for the value of other stuff we wanted to trade so we didn't have to carry bushels of wheat around. But it never worked all that well because the price of the gold or silver or whatever, kept changing its intrinsic value (e.g. every time a gold find flooded the market with cheaper gold) and when that happened it screwed up everybody's economy. And there was no way for money supply growth to match economic growth so growth was often inhibited. But that's the way it stayed, right up until the 20th century. Then finally some clever people figured out that you can just print dollars, and as long as you control the supply, it's value won't bounce around everyplace. The economy saw that it was good, and that was the creation of 'fiat' money. Now, sometimes the people trying to control the supply didn't do the best job and the economy ping ponged from inflation to recession, but decade by decade they tried to learn to get better. How much better is an open question but the point being there is group of people out there trying to keep the dollar as stable as they know how. (and getting a lot of flak for being too slow to have caught the current inflation before it got off the ground.) But all was not joyous in paradise. Some people thought that the government was controlling the value of money to evil purposes and pined to go back to some material standard like gold, despite all the problems inherent in that. And some people just couldn't accept the idea of money with no backing. But they never got much traction. Then came 2009 and the crash. And a bunch of programmers decided that the crash was caused by the fact that the banks 'controlled money.' Now this was a misdiagnosis because the problem in the crash was not instability in the value or origin of money, but in its use (reckless credit and derivativization) but be that as it may they decided that what the world needed was money created by computers under some kind computational distributed model were no-one had control. They would free 'fiat' currency from it's oppression by government and bankers and somehow market magic would take care of everything. But it turns out that fiat currency only works exactly when there is someone, like the Federal Reserve or Euro Bank, actively trying to manage the value of a currency. In it's absence it's value becomes a pure speculation and just goes anywhere, and that is what crypto now is. On top of that, the programmers' dreams of block chain tech have also crashed because the 'ledger' (the bitcoin or other cypto database) quickly became too big for transactions to be executed at reasonable cost (which has to be damn near zero in the everyday economy). The cost to clear a single bitcoin transaction today is in the 10s to 100s of dollars depending on too many variables for anyone to contemplate when they are in the line at Krogers. So it has failed both functionally as a medium of exchange and theoretically as a stable store of value. And Bitcoin even fails as an environmental scourge because mining bitcoin is pointlessly generating untold tons of CO2 the world doesn't need as computers churn recalculating the encryption of the ledger. However, the market loves a good speculation - especially with a high tech gloss and a story so complicated it can keep people confused and worried about FOLO, so onward it goes. And Etherium thinks it can transition to a new gig by adding NFTs to its blockchain to keep it going for them. All the while the power to control these 'currencies' is concentrated into smaller and smaller circles as the cost and resource requirements of mining goes up, failing even their initial theology of a system too distributed to be manipulated. The system insures each crypto quickly and effectively generates its own oligarchy. Moral of the story, the nerds are no better at saving the world than anyone else, but clever people can always find another way to get rich.
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true enough, but when it come to the anti-abortion forces it's a crusade to them, so I'm not sure a more level headed analytical view is the one that would necessarily hold.
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right, but that why some guys are going to get lucky and be thought of as great strategists and some will suffer bad luck and be dinged unfairly for it! >how many wins is that going to amount to in a season? And that is one of the properties of baseball - 5 wins is a lot in the standings even after 162 games because so many teams cluster so near 500. I've posted before that I believe it's the high level of randomizing inputs that keep baseball that way and I do think it's possible that in the general drive toward never letting 'mistakes' happen, whether calls in the field or ball and strikes, we might end up losing enough the that property to change things in a direction I don't know if will I like in the end.' Hopefully the basic nature of the bat, the ball and the weather is enough, though we are losing the last one some as well.
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right - he'd almost certainly be worse.
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it more than more a matter of detailed, it's a matter of unavailable. I guess I am more over sensitized to this issue, but I spent most of my career in a particular engineering field that is full of 'one-offs' being grilled by management types that had been through 6-sigma classes taught by mass production manufacturing engineers bitching at us about why we couldn't give then certainty about what was going to happen in their particular process that didn't even exist anywhere else in the world or had never been in the particular state it was in. You can't do that kind of analysis when the data don't exist and in baseball there are enough situations that don't happen often enough to gather reliable statistics, and that is always going to be the case.
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you don't think Mitch would wave the filibuster for abortion? He'd do it in a New York minute. You are really in a different world on the GOP.
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Red Wings looking for a Head Coach
gehringer_2 replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Red Wings
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Red Wings looking for a Head Coach
gehringer_2 replied to Motor City Sonics's topic in Detroit Red Wings
Will Yzerman's call be the first? -
What's fun is that a manager has to consider not only stats, but game theory and risk analysis as well. (of course none of them do that explicitly, that's the part they are talking about when they say they 'had a feeling'). You don't get to repeat a game 10,000 times in a monte carlo simulation where eventually the average outcome converges to mean statistics. The game is played once and whatever happens is what happens - outliers and all. So you are actually faced with not only what might happen on average, but how much risk you want to take that a lower probability result that has a higher severity rears its head like a badly played OF ball that leads to multiple bases and an extended inning for a rookie pitcher who may already be at the edge of his mental endurance. That kind of complexity is one of many reasons why I don't think we will ever reduce managing a baseball game to just reading the analytics.
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IDK, I was really surprised to see either Castro even on the roster this season. I figured with Reyes, Cameron and Hill available as reserve OFs and Clemen, Short, Krieidler available they would have cut bait on both of them. You can put me down as unhappy with whichever half the Avila/Hinch brain trust is responsible for those choices. Willi is a disaster waiting to happen every time he steps on the field. To me Harold is the classic fool's gold ballplayer. The BA sucks you in but everything else about his game ends up hurting you. They keep hunting for the reincarnation of Donny Kelly, but there can be only one!
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Price of computer video cards has fallen about 30% in three months. Some supply chain kinks are resolving, though Chinese lock downs remain a problem.
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and Rod didn't appear to work very hard - did very little research beyond his infamous strolls past the batting cage and so had precious little interesting to add. I'm sure that is what wore on Mario after a while.