Jump to content

mtutiger

Members
  • Posts

    9,411
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    52

Everything posted by mtutiger

  1. Man, Skubal versus this lineup isn't a fair fight.
  2. I would have drafted Mayer, if all else were equal, but one can acknowledge logic behind what were doing and that there were extenuating factors (ie. slot bonus considerations). The point is that the Riger types aren't really capable of that level of nuance.
  3. I'm gonna guess that Riger also used to name drop Marcelo Mayer a lot at one time lol
  4. I don't know that it's 90-100%. I suspect a large majority who rate the issue highly are MAGA, but not everyone. So the concern is legitimate. Regardless, with issue polling, it's important to keep in mind that they aren't polling just swing voters, they are polling everyone.
  5. In general, I agree, although the partisan composition of the 20% matters quite a bit.... and I suspect, at least to an extent, that as perceptions of the economy improve, some Trump partisans are shifting their #1 issue away from that and toward immigration.
  6. 'Democrats for Border Security' task force seeks to redefine the party on immigration This is a pretty good example of how border security isn't just being ignored by the Democratic Party, fwiw.
  7. I don't really buy the premise that immigration, literally the most discussed political issue of the moment, is being slept on or downplayed here or anywhere.
  8. You would be correct.... that gaffe likely had a far bigger impact on the election than Fetterman's performance did. Despite the overwhelming media attention given to Fetterman's performance at the time.
  9. An anecdote that I think applies here: the 2022 Pennsylvania Senate Election. John Fetterman had a stroke during the campaign which visibly impacted him and, subsequently, caused his opponent and supporters of his opponent (Dr. Oz) to make a significant issue of his health. Surveys that were done of the election showed that while Fetterman generally maintained a lead throughout, voters had significant concerns about his health. In the debate held between the two candidates, Fetterman was perceived to be DOA by many people (including in the mainstream media) due to a shaky debate performance that was undoubtedly influenced by the after effects of his stroke. Fast forward to election day.... I'm watching CNN and the panel received exit poll data. One of the questions asked was whether Fetterman's health or Dr. Oz being a longtime resident of NJ was a bigger issue.... voters said Oz's residency questions were a bigger issue by a 55-45 margin. The panel was stunned by the result (though they shouldn't have been). Fetterman ended up going on to win by 5 points, and it's likely his stroke didn't have much impact at all on Pennsylvanians when they entered the voting booth. This is a good example of why we need to be careful in declaring how elections are going to turn on one thing or another, especially this far out.
  10. Reasonable people can disagree on a message board.
  11. According to the poll, it's the number one issue for 20% of voters. Which, if my math is correct, means that 80% of voters prioritize other issues higher. Just think we need a little perspective here.... it's a big issue, but other issues matter to the electorate as well.
  12. Javy will never live up to the contract, but he's one Pete Alonso homer away from helping them win two games 1-0 in this young season.
  13. Part of what makes April the worst month of the baseball season (aside from the weather) is that there isn't enough of a sample size to go along with the hot takes that get fired off about players when they get off to slow starts. Yes, that goes for Torkelson too... he's not the only person in this league who's off to a slow start FFS
  14. Maybe if (when?) the Jerk Sox move to Nashville, they'll update accordingly
  15. Sarah Longwell made a point on a podcast recently that while abortion isn't always listed as a top issue for voters in surveys, at least in the focus group setting, when you peel back the layers of the onion a bit, people end up displaying a lot of passion and intensity around it. I suspect that's a little of what's at play here.... when the rubber meets the road and when people step into the ballot box, it's something that manfiests.
  16. I have to go back and look at the Derek Law game from a couple of years ago, but I'm pretty sure Law committed an error in his game too lol
  17. At least Michael Tonkin's ERA went up after this outing (he achieved Derek Law status in the last game - 5 runs, 0 earned)
  18. Fun fact: Miller has pitched in each of their extra inning games, and even with the runner on 2nd rule, still has a 0.00 ERA.
×
×
  • Create New...