mtutiger

What we've seen so far has been base consolidation, which seems like it could be lasting. The next test is gonna be with independent and swing voters. Reasons for optimism there, especially with the convention coming up. But the fall will be important too

I honestly don't know, but I think Biden's issues with aging have overshadowed... this. This isn't new. His schedule has been light this entire time, his rallies have been even more insane and incoherent, he flubs more than he used to, etc. And for as much as him and "Substitute Pence" talk about Kamala not having a press conference, outside of that disaster-class NABJ debacle, he hasn't had one of those in months either. He spends all his time in safe spaces (like Fox and with other right wing media outlets/figures) It just didn't get noticed until now more broadly when people are sizing him up against a more youthful candidate. That's what we are seeing here IMO

He did get that weird-ass cyber truck from the Adin Ross guy Just not serious

He's 78 years old and in poor health. And has poor judgment. It's been the same thing the entire damn campaign... But the conditions have changed such that it is much more stark and much more noticeable

Incredible

Maybe he needs to call Dr. Ronny Johnson and get one of those cognitive screenings? He seems confused

Another swing and a miss at a high 80s heater...

Ironic given that Glenn Close was in his biopic... but getting real "Fatal Attraction" vibes here...

Does this make JD the Spencer Torkelson of VP candidates?

Texas' movement has tended to be somewhat untethered by national margins (similar to Georgia), so it wouldnt surprise me if landed closer than 2020. Though I agree she won't win it Ethan's point does matter though if you believe there will be a gap between Trump and Cruz tho... A close Trump win could end up being a close Cruz loss if there is a gap.

This clip really sums him up well

I don't think it gets discussed enough, but in all likelihood, this is going to be the first campaign out of his three where he will clearly be outworked by his opposition. And that will likely matter one way or another. Sending JD to cover (as he's doing this week) isn't going to be adequate.

The couch line is getting a lot of attention, but Tim dropped napalm with "Like all regular people I knew growing up in the heartland, JD studied at Yale..." He should keep deploying that line...

Punching at air

It's amazing how often you see the top-left type post these days.... "Hey, get a load of those freaks! [insert picture of normal looking family]"

Yeah, we can talk all we want about home state advantages, but I don't know that there was a match on a more fundamental level here

I see Vance made a comment about how Walz' burned Minneapolis to the ground.... which is weird, because it was, umm, still there and standing and all the last time I was there (about a year ago)?

The guy has a Bachelors from Chadron State ffs lol

Wow

This makes a lot of sense as the bear case for Shapiro... And Fetterman, given his stance on I/P, gives it more weight IMO

This is ultimately right IMO

In terms of oppo, I expect them to focus a lot on Minneapolis post-George Floyd. Not even clear whether Walz handled it poorly (my recollection was that it was a **** hand and he played it about as well as he could). The counter to that though: if you are Trump's campaign or a supporter of Trump, why would you want to remind anyone of anything that happened in 2020?

Random observation, but I've already seen "party of the workin' man" supporters online talk disparagingly on Walz' educational background (Chadron State University, Minnesota State)... Second ticket in a row for Ds with no Ivy's represented... Cannot say the same for the GOP

I really like Tim Walz, have liked him long before this process... But I do sort of have a bad taste in my mouth that the process that led to him being picked led to a lot of impugning of Josh Shapiro and his faith. People can skewer me for that, but that's how I feel.