Against elite teams, I bet that 4th down % would be lower. But I also won't second guess the gamble, it's what gotten them there in the 1st place. And more importantly, any FG attempt would have been Badgley's longest of the year. And his % over 40 yards is really low. So you wanna give them 7 more yards by missing a kick? I've seen teams with terrible kickers punt in that situation. Would people like that better?