recall the movie Galaxy Quest where the poor naive aliens were under the mis-impression that TV show they saw Tim Allen and his crew were in were "Historical Records" and you can believe people fooling themselves with bad data. Plenty of honorable people fall prey to this and many bad ones manipulate them.
My dreams for an immediate post election/post inaugural period for Harris:
Trump sentenced
Peaceful transfer of office from Biden to Harris with a joyful ceremony
Putin/Zelensky peace deal that allows Ukraine into EU and some sort of less-than-awesome status quo agreement on the borders
Some sort of agreement on territorial integrity of Taiwan that encourages China opening up and relaxing their hike toward Stalinist isolation
Brexit reversed and the UK reintegrated into the EU (not Harris' job obviously but probably best for the West).
But all that requires that item 2 occur.
So, I think you are doing fine work here MTB. I'm convinced by a couple things i've seen in the final week that the aggregate will be a good night for Harris (and America and Democracy).
We should be worried still that Trump's team are using polls-as-propaganda because the gunstrokers and lightly-educated will see them as reason for another Jan 6 or whatever other escalation of their fascist program they organize.
One good thing is that many of these people were put in prison over the last 4 years and they lost a core of organizers but Mike Flynn and his brother are still free. Steve Bannon just got out of prison and probably was organizing while in jail. I hope the counter-planning has been as robust. I think perhaps it has.
Literally calling for Liz Cheney's death by firing squad should have been a decisive moment. We have to break this movement. To quote Daniel Day Lewis in Lincoln: "the moment is NOW!"
People want to be nervous. I do think there is a strong possibility of violence if team crybaby doesn't get its way but the overall trends (well outlined above). The only trend you don't mention is the huge, already polled and captured in early voting trends gender gap.
This Jets Texans football game is a manifestation of what an RFK Jr. oversight of the FDA and HHS would be like.
I can see the logic of not having vaccines because we need to rapidly depopulate the planet to allow the billionaires more freedom of action.
If that happens it will because he suddenly became popular for all the asinine things he does and women forgot it was election day.
Statistically, women will outvote men by a good margin and unless they don’t, he can’t win.
Listening to George Conway just now on the bulwark thing...says the "I am your protector if you like it or not" thing was likely a conversation with the campaign consultants who told him that was the overall aura he was trying to project but captain dumbass went ahead and said it because he lacks self control. He basically dove straight into a H.W. Bush style "Message: I care" statement.