I think it's worth noting in Michigan it used to be you worked in the factories during the week and went up north on the weekend. After 30 years, you retired and moved up north. Northern Michigan has a lot of retirees from the Detroit area with a strong union legacy. With that said, Republicans are losing ground in Traverse City which is the largest area in the lower peninsula north of Bay City. They are getting close to losing Emmett as well. I just don't see rural Michigan becoming Appalachia any time soon.