Motown Bombers

North Carolina is looking good. Georgia is looking at worst heading to a runoff but I think Warnock can hit 50.

Looks like Dems are doing well with Hispanics in Texas. The collapse with Hispanics may just be Florida.

I'm coming around to the idea that a lot of Republicans left Michigan for Florida.

First results out of Oakland County looking good for Whitmer.

AP already calling it for DeSantis. New Hampshire and Georgia looking good. Texas not so good. Looks like lean red states are leaning red.

Florida is a complete cesspool but New Hampshire is looking good.

The district was Biden +1 and this was not looking like a good year for Democrats so I can see them passing, The Dobbs decision changed things but by then Levin and Stevens were already committed to 11.

Florida is looking like a disaster.

Ok

Right so how are you gathering from this board that Dems would have 60 seats and 7 years of Hillary?

Marlinga was under funded, and Stevens decided to carpetbag in MI-11 and Levin chose not to run in MI-10. Democrats punted MI-10 and James swooped in.

Except a lot of people have been saying Republicans are going to win the house.

No, I don't. It's got to be the most opposite pair of senators from a single state in the country.

Not sure the reliability but this would be good news.

I'm on team Kornacki.

Got back from voting. Good turnout it seems. A few Muslims, which is not unusual for this precinct, a couple blacks and some youngish women. The woman ahead of me was under 21 as I could tell by her ID. Woman behind me looked late 20's with another one who looked 30's and appeared to be with their mother. Outside as I was leaving, they were hugging as if they had just done something memorable. Looked kind of too old to be first time voting so probably voting yes on the abortion proposal. There was a white guy who looked Gen X about late 40's with sunglasses and a goatee. Looked like a real douchebag so he was the only one I could peg as a true Republican.

Election day turnout hasn't been great in Nevada for Democrats. The funny thing is everyone went and flipped Pennsylvania to Oz since Ralston called Nevada for CCM just so they could have Dems lose the senate.

In 2018 Scott Walker lost re-election and Baldwin won by double digits. I don't know how Johnson wins if young vote, black vote, and female vote all turnout at those numbers unless there is also a crazy high turnout in white boomer vote.

Not sure which is why I'm framing it as if it holds up. I just don't see how Johnson can win with that kind of turnout.