duren is shooting 70% from the line this year and ausar is at 68%. in his last 6 games (since coming back from injury) he's 17-19. in fairness, ausar is 7-10 in his last 6 games.
duren is 67% true shooting and ausar is 50% (!!!).
ausar is older than duren.
ausar is a better defender. both are good rebounders. ausar is probably a better natural rebounder but duren is much bigger and will get to more rebounds just because.
lets see if ausar gets better at shooting next year. duren has gotten better from year one to year two. however, duren's form is much better. ausar has no form. it changes every time he goes to shoot because he is a bad shooter. monumentally bad, actually.
if the question over long term value is positional, then ausar has an advantage because he plays a more valuable position in today's nba. if the question is "duren is going to get overpaid because he'll never be good enough to earn $25-$30m" then that's an organizational issue, not a duren issue.
if duren can develop a mid range jumper he'll be valuable. judging only by his shooting form, i think he might be able to. if not, he'll be clint capela.
ausar HAS to develop some shooting to be worth anything long term just because of the position he plays. unless youre fine with tony allen as the #5 pick in the draft. cause that's all he is now. a poor man's tony allen. but he's young and athletic so there's hope. i guess.