sabretooth

Interestingly, Baez's fielding pct is right at his career norm this year. His advanced defensive metrics are considerably worse than his norm, but his errors are so far typical for him.

He sure looks the part of a big-league starter.....but boy his numbers and his projections are yawners. ZIPs has him as a sub-2 WAR guy for the next three years, with poor swing/miss stuff and far less than elite command.

If he were more consistent, and had a little more HR power, yes. Benintendi is underwhelming for a 7th overall pick. Hardly a bust, but not what I would call a success, at least not yet.

Yeah, Brady Singer is currently looking like an upgrade over Mize even if Mize comes back healthy.

I am not sure that we disagree. If you are saying that you'd rather have Paredes at this point, I agree, primarily due to Meadows' health. If you are saying that at the time of the trade, that it should have been apparent that Paredes was probably going to perform better on-field than Meadows up to this point or beyond this point, or that Avila should have known that Meadows' was a major injury risk, then I would disagree with that, very much so. Meadows is a career 120 OPS+ guy, which is very good, especially over 1600 PAs, he's only 27, and Paredes projections both before and after the hot-streak show him to be capable of matching Meadows' demonstrated performance level, but nothing has indicated that Paredes is clearly a better hitter or player yet. Like I said, at this point, I'd rather have Paredes, simply because he's not struggling with so many injuries, and he's younger and cheaper.....but it remains to be seen who will get the better of this deal. And in any case, I really think Meadows' health problems are an example of very bad and unforeseeable luck.

Great at bat by Haase.

And now Bichette with the silly error to offset our big-name SS. I'd much rather have theirs by a long long shot of course.

Yeah, Paredes had a super-hot 126 PA from May 18 - July 5th, has utterly sucked otherwise this year, Meadows has had a set of freak injuries, and that = the Tigers got fleeced. It's a super-lazy analysis. I think Avila sucks but the Meadows trade is not at all an indication of that. The trade was a good one that still has a long way to go evaluation-wise. Meadows could be done due to unforeseen health issues, but Paredes might be the next Chris Shelton.

Candy has an OPS of over 1000 since July 8.

Seems as sensible a reason as any.

I don't understand why Kerry Carpenter isn't being given a shot at this point.

Grossman hits LHP better than anybody else on the team.

I noticed that when Candy had the identical bad season in 2019, before his two good "seasons" (2020 and 2021), his Launch Angle was 15.8. For 2020 and 2021, when he raked with LD % in the 25-26% range, his Launch Angle was in the 12-13 range. In 2022, it's been back up around 15 again, and LDs are down to 18%. He had a career average 22% LDs in 2019, but his batting average and OPS on LDs was very low compared to his average for LD and the league average, making me think that a lot of his LDs in 2019 were soft-hits. His Hard-Hit % in 2019 and 2022 are both in the 33% range, compared to 38-39 in the 2020-21 period. His barrel pct in 2019 was a meager 5%, compared to 9, 10, and 9 in 2020-22. The point is I wonder if he's just angling the swing plane too much. A degree or two in the wrong direction (up or down) can seem to wreak havoc on guys. Soler and Sano are examples of guys who can go too steep or too flat with bad overall effects on their hitting.

Yeah, relievers are up one year and down the next....then sometimes they disappear altogether. If you can get any value out of them you definitely trade them.

I looked it up the other day and Schoop and Baez have very similar numbers from the age of 25 when they both broke out to the age of 29. Baez has a couple more Hrs/year. Given that Schoop has been an elite defender according to the numbers, it seems to make sense to keep him around for another year and expect his bat to bounce back to something reasonable.

Our team doctor must be Frankenstein

Serious question: what is the argument against bringing him up and giving him a shot? Does he have huge holes in his swing or game? Are they afraid of rushing him? He seems like kind of a marginal prospect who's really hot right now and he might just be able to rake a little bit. He cant be much worse than Miggy has been for the last 6 weeks.

Javy is not the problem with the Tigers right now. He has had an OPS+ over 125 for the last month. He is fielding his position well. The problem with the offense is that only Javy and Haase are hitting for any power at all. For the last month, while the offense has been better-than-completely awful (team OPS+ of 95), Grossman has had an ISO of .150. Everybody else has hanging around or below 100. Schoop and Candy have to get it going for this offense to do anything. Nice to see that Daz Cameron has started to hit a little at AAA in his last 5 games, 7-18, 3 2b, 1 Hr, 2 BB. Since Reyes has basically stopped hitting again for the last month, Daz could be a nice option.

Yeah.

I didnt say there was

Just to clarify, I have zero concern about Miggy squeezing someone out of a roster spot. I simply don't want to see him or anybody at DH whose only skill is hitting soft singles the other way. If he was a young player who excelled at running the bases and fielding a position, and could leg out doubles, stolen bases and what-not, that would be something. The last time he added value to the team was 2016. He played out the string and hit his milestones. If they have the kind of roster where he's coming off the bench that's OK, but everyday at DH in the heart of the order is just a sign that the FO is failing at their basic job.

Yeah, I had hoped that Avilas moves and the professional projections of 80 wins this year would be enough to position the team to compete for a playoff slot this year if lucky, or by next year, and Chris would feel validated and spend at least average payroll $$ to move the team into competitive mode for a few years. Chris has never hired any major FO personnel, right? He would need to "nail it" on his first try, after misjudging Avila's talent level for 5+ years....it seems improbable that Chris would land "the kid", but that may be our only hope at this point.

My expectations were that they would win around 80 games, based on the projections of professional projection systems, and have a chance to pick up some guys mid-season and maybe win 85 games if they were lucky. That wasn't based on any of the starry-eyed stuff that you are indicating above, but was based on available professional projection data.

To be fair, I am suggesting that they give him his $$$ and ask him to be a special advisor or something while he goes and does whatever he does when he's not playing baseball. I know that's not going to happen. It would be a great sign that this team is expecting better than soft line drive singles to right field from their DH every 3rd at bat.

I know, but it still sucks IMO.