I sincerely hope you're right. I've been disappointed in the change in a lot of GOP sentiment since Jan 7th on the Jan 6 stuff. It seems like they've shifted quite remarkably from being correctly outraged to now trying to downplay it.
But I agree with the notion that on the scoreboard overall, when Trump was president he himself lost, and they also lost the House and Senate. That's obviously not a good record but I also think the battlefield could be quite different now in important ways.
If he runs, I think it will be a very close election and I definitely definitely think he could win. I don't remember the actual breakdown but building off 2020 he'd only have to swing a handful of states by a couple hundred thousand votes total. It's not the 7million vote blowout.