gehringer_2

Baier's aggressiveness is going to score her huge points with women. Men and all the male talking heads will watch and completely miss the significance in the subtext. Women will not.

US strike on the Houthis tonight. B2s. Probably some bunker busters https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/16/politics/us-strikes-iran-backed-houthis-yemen/index.html

the Tariff thing also has to be hurting him with a lot of old school green eye-shade mainstreet types who have always been Republican for economic reasons who know it's economic lunacy. They are not a huge cohort but neither side can afford to lose anyone.

I saw a couple of clips - the one where Baier ran Trump's sanitized response and she pushed back hard with what he has actually been saying about attacking his enemies I thought was very effective - the "you know as well as I do"s to Baier that he didn't contradict were exactly what she needed - not even to get MAGA's to vote for her, but to make them think that Trump was guy they didn't really need to spend the energy to vote for.

YAY!

As of now I'm looking at Jace as the first developmental move the Tigers have made that I think is not going to work out. Not that Jace may not hit in the majors, but because he doesn't strike me as adequate or likely to become adequate at 3B. Now I can hope I'm wrong and they see something I don't, but that is where I would put my wager today if forced to. Supposedly, he was a good 2B before they moved him, but I have only what the org has said in that regard so we can judge how much we believe that or not. I'm not sure how you unlock his potential value as a 2B with Keith in front of him, and he apparently has no shot at working out as a SS (which seems odd if can play 2B but has the arm for 3B. Of course the arm he has shown so far is one reason I'm skeptical about him at 3rd and that would carry over at SS) . Not sure where I would go with Jace. I'd be tempted to send him back to Toledo to verify he can be a good 2B, and if he does, then cross the bridge of whether you trade him or try moving Keith to 3B to make room for him there. Or start him on super Util training at AAA.

Will they cut cell/wireless service in the suites as well?

I'm more optimistic. Bottom line is they did win 86 whether did it in a highly nonlinear fashion or not. Not pushing for Bregman in particular but if you add a 4 WAR player to 3B where they got very little value other than the 42 games Vierling started there and a 3 WAR starter (the possibility of which is good whether internally or externally) and consider that you don't really have a single player on the downside of his career other than Javy, I think I'm looking at a 90+ win team. That would put me solidly into win mode management.

they don't even need to care about the after market. The mark-up on the metal value is so large they're basically charging for a air. Trump will have have banked 90% profit before any coins go to aftermarket.

Yup. And the biggest potential for a solution miss is ego in the leadership of both Israel and Iran preventing any win-win from getting off the ground. I'm also a little tired of the talking head view that this is so dangerously increasing the odds of a wider war. It's not. If Iran was willing to do more for its proxies than it has, it would have already done so before both were already so damaged. These operations by Israel are about making Iran's support of proxies more expensive than it is worth to them - a task that many argue the US could have been doing more effectively for the last 20 years but largely punted on. And of course, the other irony is that with the exception of Palestinians (and even some of them), the whole Sunni world wants to see Israel (and the US) succeed in causing Iran to pull back despite whatever lip service they offer in public.

I'm going to guess that black men are skewing poll results and that a lot fewer of them will actually vote for Trump than are enjoying the social rush of claiming they will.

at least good enough to fool 538 anyway (it's showing up there)

at any rate, he's trying to argue for deflation, which is economic suicide for any economy. Again, either he is just ignorant, or pandering (of course, why not both?) doesn't much matter, but you see the appeal of someone who tells people what they want to hear when any responsible person has to tell them they can't have what they'd like. Obviously there is a limit to how much you can do that (as Jimmy Carter found out), but the leader's job is to be enough of an educator in the public sphere to make people understand what their real choices are vs adderall or dementia (or whatever) fueled political fantasy. The irony is in less than 5 minutes you can explain to any lay person why deflation can easily turn into an economic crisis but it seem all candidates have so little faith in the electorate they'd rather finesse economic questions than spend the time - which in turn leaves things wide open for the idiots.. Bill Clinton was probably the last Pres we had who actually liked to lay out options and explain them.

Maybe a neural net where somebody forgot to tie the knots.... (sorry, engineering joke.....)

Regular season seats behind home plate at Yankee stadium run min-max of $400-$5,000(!) per ticket. No clue how much for a playoff.

Hard to know anymore. Last night my Twitter feed went totally bonkers. All RW trash, smut, and posts in Malay (I kid you not!). I muted about two hundred accounts and restarted several times and it finally started to straighten out but it's still pretty goofy.

MBN knows Wings will probably keep him in GR way longer than he'll ever want to be there once he gets there, so why be in a hurry?

He's a young man compared to Arenado or Goldschmidt though. 😉

Hmm. There is nothing at this link. Did Elon kill it already or is it suspect?

While I think history argues that as many FA signings are busts as are winners, the one thing I have come around on is don't try to scrimp. It's the 2nd tier guys like Zimmermann and Baez where you get burned trying to save money. IOW when looking at FA's I think the downside risk is far more important than the contract cost in the value equation. You are better off paying higher dollar for the player that is most likely to produce than hedging on the cost side and ending up having to write it all off. TL,DR version - if you are going, go after Bregman.

And the other side of the same equation is that to the degree that Covid deaths occurred in older populations that like your GM had already dropped out of active voting, any political effect is proportionately reduced.

I can believe there is a lot more back channel contact between Israel and Iran than might be assumed.

IDK - Journalism freed from commercial constraints used to work for the television networks. Newspapers have pretty much always needed to make a profit so I don't know if we conclude that alone is the issue. Maybe it's more that ownership has become more politically monolithic along with more concentrated so there is just less divergence of world view among the publishers?

You'd think that if there was a state where it might have had an effect, it would be FLA, but the effect may be drowned out by volatility in the Hispanic vote.

Coincidentally enough - I just heard Steve Schmidt talking to a long time Dem pollster and his numbers really do have it reversed. Among those that have voted in all 4 of the last federal elections, Harris is at 55%. Among occasional voters, Trump is up by 5% (49-44 IIRC)