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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. It's good to fear, complacency kills. But this election is not too much like 2016. Clinton and Trump were unknowns as leaders. More people thought Hillary would be worse than the she probably would have been, and many, many more people had no idea Trump could be anywhere near as bad as he was/is/could be again. Biden has the advantage that he doesn't need to change anyone's mind, he only has to remind people that have already voted for him that they need to do it again. Things can always to wrong (See Tigers, 2022). The Dems should not lose this election unless they can't get out of their own way. That risk is always real enough.
  2. They aren't as good as they looked on the hot streak, they do need more leadership in the room than just Larkin. Yzerman has done a good job of raising the general talent level to where the team is much more competitive, but he's got to do something in the way of swinging for the fences to increase the number of players on the team with top level will to win, which right now is pretty much just Larkin and Seider. I don't know if Kane was a player that used to supply some of that for the Hawks, if so maybe his role in the regard will grow.
  3. The public health impact of removing lead pipes from well operated systems where it was properly deployed in the 1st place may be speculative. There is a reason those lead pipes are mostly over 100 yrs old, in proper service they never corrode, meaning the lead is staying put, thus no-one is being poisoned. The problem is that you do get situations like Flint where a system was under invested, undermaintained and then terribly mis-managed and when that happens there is no speculation about the impact and once out of control it's very hard to put the toothpaste back in the tube. So you can take a reasonable green-eye shade arg and say there are better places to spend the marginal public health dollar than removing every lead pipe regardless of its engineering context. But given the generally poor approach to infrastructure care in the US, I think it's just something you do to eliminate an unnecessy overhanging risk.
  4. Not to mention a checking line like the Grind. Yzerman probably gets it from Scotty, who generally hated young defensemen. Wings did always bring in a lot of older Dmen back in the day, they could just get better ones - Murphy, Fetisov, Samuelson, Schneider, Coffey.....
  5. This is where I part a bit with the conventional wisdom about voter motivation. Just my read based on nothing but my own intuition, but I don't see that anyone who was motivated to get Trump out of office is going to be any less motivated to keep hm out of office. To me the difference is that people are quieter about it so maybe it seems the energy is lower, but I think that is the way it works in life. Once you are really resolved about something, when it becomes one of your bottom lines in life, you don't have to talk about it any more, you don't care about justifying yourselves to others, but you aren't walking away from it either. And in this particular time, people who oppose Trump have largely given up trying to persuade the other side anymore. So for me I don't read the lower apparent energy as necessarily indicating any less resolve to keep Trump out of the WH.
  6. TTBDNS getting a work out early today. Team is rounding into mid-season form!
  7. The bigger (to me) surprise is that once he decided he wasn't buying he didn't sell either.
  8. 5 months since I've had to say "I hate the contact play"
  9. not surprising
  10. Loonspudery of a high order
  11. The tweeter is of course wrong. mRNA tech was originally intended as a possible cancer treatment vector and that work has progressed.
  12. This is one worth the time to do a little digging into how this plays in Israeli media.
  13. She figured she'd talk you into it. The recruiter knew that plenty of people are nutty enough to regularly commute hrs each way. Heck - I did an hour each way for a number of years - but that was about my limit, but I was working with a guy that was doing >1 1/2 everyday, and it didn't seem to bother him....
  14. only one thing really mattered tonight - Biden was able to stand there and talk, and in fact shout at us, even with the regular Biden syntax assaults, until the rest of us were past being tired. It was political speech as treadmill cardiac stress test, and it was meant to attack his single biggest political liability in the most indirect, almost subliminally designed way
  15. Carlos has already vaulted himself into a solid #2 behind Dirks in the whole list of people that have been through the role.
  16. ESPN did a piece on NHL centers, he didn't even get a mention, but he drives this team every bit as much as McDavid drives his. It goes to the difference between a player's personal achievements (stats etc) and his importance to his team.
  17. I already like Carlos Pena. Calm, unhurried rhythm with Benetti..
  18. I'll await a second look on this before I get too excited. A lot of sophisticated and expensive equipment like this has communication equipment built in to notify operators or owners, or even the manufacturer's tech service dept if the on board diagnostics detects something while the equipment is unattended. It might be a little ambiguous where the line really is between service ware and spy ware and probably has as much to do with the SW on board as the hardware installed.
  19. Yup. Porter's problem was just that there was a *much* stronger candidate in the race. Nothing was going to change that. You go up against a heavy weight, it's not the corner men that are going to determine the outcome.
  20. and yet....managers have always believed this at one level - because almost all managers prefer to alternate L and R hand batters. Why does that work? Specifically to keep the pitcher having to change approaches. If it works on batter at a time why wouldn't it work a game at a time?
  21. Even if errors were potentially a useful measure, the fact is that scoring in the game has become so bad and so inconsistent in the last 15-20 yrs that errors as scored are meaningless today even if they might have some intrinsic value if they were measured with any kind of integrity. Introduce yourself to statcast, have a cookie, you'll feel right as rain.
  22. No I think I still held what he said was goofy, just a little more nuanced goofy than the responses on twix would have it.
  23. in the full quote he's not actually against suffrage, but it's still a terrible statement in toto. He's basically saying the GOP was better when they were fighting for people's rights (e.g suffrage) in the days before people had them. Thus go back to the GOP that existed before people had rights but he didn't say go back that party, he said go back to that time, which was probably just sloppy formulation, but still ended up a bizarre statement of an argument. And it's completely divorced from current reality because there is no way Trump's GOP is going there (becoming the party of expanding rights) regardless of what this guys wants to believe..
  24. Yup. Well noted. That is exactly what makes you wonder. Hinch will tell you that the results are getting worse because as he gets older his approach is getting less tenable=more reason to change. The Tigers are paying the bill, they get the choice about which to believe.
  25. If you want to go back to the comparison with Malone - in his first two years in the league he was a worse FT shooter than Duren, but Basketball reference doesn't have shooting % by distance breakdowns for the 1st several years of Malone's career. He was about 50% on long twos by the time BR has the records, but that was about 10yrs in for him.
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