gehringer_2

I understand what you mean here, but you don't want to overstate it either. Kaline didn't keep a 300 over 20 years just because he was a luckier guy than his buddy Jim Price. 🤣 BA may be more flawed than other stats, but it still correlates with other measures of good hitting. And probably, in the pre-HR era - when the ISO component of everyone's OPS was lower and nobody struck out 100 times in a season, it probably correlated better!

This is really the best argument for a swing at the fences right now instead of staying on 'the plan.' And it goes back to the same debate that goes on endlessly about team sports - how much to you value one championship vs long term competitiveness? Everybody has their own answer to that question. It could go either way with anyone. But the discussion has so far left out one important person. I can easily imagine that SHF, after so many decades of Lion futility, could think that bringing her team back to respectability as an upper echelon team over a long term is as important to her to prove her ownership credentials as any single Championship - ergo you stick with the plan that got you where you are. Or not. 😉 But the decision to stand pat sort of speaks for itself.

the other question is "what is the marginal value?' If you are a GM or manager game or trade planning, that is one thing, but if you are watching a game and you want the PBP to give you some idea how good the hitter at the plate is, how much real marginal value would you get from being given the guy's RC24? Especially considering the highly random nature of the outcome of any individual AB. The PBP situation doesn't really merit that much precision of analysis. Once you get to OPS, the strength of correlation between all stats for hitters is pretty high. Plus, in truth, even a relatively sophisticated fan may be just as interested in counting stats - what has the guy accomplished in the season - even knowing they may be highly flawed indicators of his theoretical quality as a player - because the old adage still applies in the end - "you are what you did".

Maybe. Removing ISIL from Iraq was a bloody mess too, but the situation there is now better than it was and Iraqi's don't seem to be pining for its return. Hamas has to go and the Palestinians themselves either would not or more likely could not do it. Sure it possible and maybe even likely that in the end they will resent the fact that an non-Arab intervention did it more than they will be glad Hamas is gone, but you never know. The biggest problem I see is that Netanyahu will almost certainly bungle the aftermath of this war even worse than Rumsfeld did in his.

speak of the devil....

I suppose BA is more meaningful with 2 out and man on second. A walk is nowhere near as valuable as a hit in that particular situation unless you have a really good hitter on deck.

actually, as a real time/in game stat, while watching I'd rather see OBP than OPS. The only value to me of a stat when a guy comes to the plate is seeing the probability of him making an out vs extending the inning - thus OBP. If I'm a PBP guy I'd talk about a guy's OPS, but I don't care in the moment about how he keeps a rally going, only if he will or won't. The other thing I think would be an actually addition would be more use of real trend stats. Here is a guy's OPS, and this is his dOPS/dt over the last month say. This would clearly take a lot of fan training of course! But now you have some idea if he's trending hot or cold or holding steady. They sort of approach that when they talk give streak stats, but saying a guy OPS's 895 in the last month still doesn't tell you which way he's trending. Maybe he's a career 900 OPS hitter......

yeah - this is becoming more and more a pain. >Don't trust ChatGPT yet. There are structural reasons that kind of AI may not be capable of being trustworthy. It's a regression in a sense. Before the internet, you generally wanted printed matter when you wanted to know something for certain, as opposed to asking a person, who might well be intelligent but give you the wrong answer without even knowing their own knowledge was flawed, whereas depending on the source, your confidence in what had been committed to print (say the encyclopedia) had been vetted to your satisfaction. AI is like your intelligent but untrustworthy friend, it doesn't and in current systems can't, know when it's wrong either.

from whatever. just that while whatever sanction Harbaugh might face will depend on whether he knew what was going on or not, whatever sanction if any, the U is hit with, likely won't. The institution can be penalized for lack of control even if no-one at a pay grade above Stalion is held responsible for him individually.

I don't mind hearing "we like out team" from a GM as long as his team is better than it was last year. When it's getting worse each for several in a row, not so much.

Don't hate Buck but he would be deep into the bottom third of my 'like to listen to' rankings. I guess I'd turn it around, what does he bring to a broadcast? Obviously he works for a lot of people or he couldn't have kept his gig but for me he's just not a very engaging guy to listen to.

that may help Harbaugh survive but won't spare the program.

I don't care if it's not the whole loaf - half a loaf would still be a big improvement.

Either Manuel knows a lot more about the parameters of the Stalion situation and knows its full scope it limited, or they are whistling past the graveyard - or maybe they will build in an escape clause if it turns out he was more involved in this mess. Or else Ward will have to find his version of Branda Tracy....

A few of those I saw were sloppiness, but some were because has to give up the ball sooner before he's triple/quadruple teamed. So the combination of Cade passing sooner and his teammates getting somewhere that they are reasonable targets to pass to.

Weird game for Sieder, some good plays, some bad ones. He was beat like a drum on short handed goal, Ozzie said you can’t blame him because he was gassed. If that was the case then put it on Lalonde for pushing his shifts too far. You can’t have d men out there less than one rush from being spent.

Team looks like a lot less than the some of its parts so far. I guess that's so not unexpected with sometimes 4 guys on the court that could still be in college but it makes for some unentertaining games.

Sieder looking very flatfooted tonight. Nursing an injury?

This has nothing to do with what does or doesn't happen to Harbaugh and UM, but in general all I can say is if Stalion was the reason the D was getting the results it has, then there are a lot of coaches out there that should be fired for being too stupid to change up their signs!

Harbaugh doesn't seem the type to out and out cheat, but he's eccentric enough he may have persuaded himself that since scouting was a long held practice that hadn't been illegal in his era, there is nothing wrong with it today, or the alternative is that he was oblivious to what Stalion had going. Until I see something that shows Harbaugh knew what was going on, I think that is most probably the case. But from the enforcement standpoint, that doesn't matter because if he didn't know then you get the 'lack of institutional control' hammer, which can be one of the heavier ones.

I think the connection is that since there has been an increased political alignment between liberals and more pro-palestinian groups, which inevitably contain antisemetic factions/connections, that those factions feel they have achieved some level of standing or 'cover' or license to express the antisemitism present in their orgs. There is a certain parallel to the way US conservatism has increased the license felt by American racists.

Agree- don't really see the Weber comp outside of the passing either.

Antisemitism is one thing, but Israel has also lost a lot of left wing political sympathy apart from that based on their treatment of the Palestinians under Likud. I don't know any liberal person who has been to Israel in recent years that doesn't come back with increased sympathy for the Palestinians' cause. Hamas' barbarity now forces people to make another re-calibration in their assessments.

Jalen Duren could hit a free throw at 19. That puts his development 8 yrs ahead of Drummond.

yeah - the relaxation in the strict MtoM defense rules and 3 point shooting mean we're not likely to see a come back in that style of center play so those comparisons to players from that era aren't very apt anymore. Even if a guys comes up that looks like Ewing physically, he's not like to play the same kind of game. A star at that size today is going to have to play more like Embiid.