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gehringer_2

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Everything posted by gehringer_2

  1. That's OK, you still want to get the last dance just for the experience.
  2. yup. and LOL at myself - I reversed the player numbers in my post....Don't give me any stripped shirts...🤣
  3. Yup. Just in terms of trying to figure out what passed in the ref's mind - in the film you see Skipper running on to the field when Decker is already talking to the ref. You can guess the perceptual short circuit was that the ref then remembered being told by the guy he saw running in because that is what he expected, that the player signing in would be running on to the field - so his brain re-arranged the pieces of the memory to match the experience pattern already in his memory. This kind of thing happens a lot and most people just deny that they are prone to error but everyone is. That's one reason referees shouldn't work alone - to guard against the single brain short circuit, but this was a single point of failure case - only one ref involved.
  4. right, but if one were to go looking for drivers/correlates, like matching to weather etc, you would want to use un-smoothed data.
  5. one could do a deep dive on this - weather is big driving factor - but it should show up as similar regional groupings, e.g Cleve/Chi/Det and/or NY/Phil etc., moving in concert and should also correlate to heating/cooling degree day data that utility Cos. generate. In any case, COPAs numbers have moved through such a large differential it's hard to say much about the park from them. I am curious if other parks have that much noise in their results. I do remember we were in Minneapolis the year Target opened the factors were low and everyone was really worried about how big the park was playing and turned out to just be a cold summer in that part of the country.
  6. CoPa Park factors are weird though. They are supposed to be independent of the team, but look at the CoPA HR factors over the last 20 yrs. When the team hit well, they were generally good or neutral (08-16), when the team is terrible (21-23, 00-02) they are very low. I don't have the answer to that but it's weird and an unmistakable correlation. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/statcast-venue?venueId=2394 I can hypothesize that what is happening is that a good team which hits more HR is ahead at home more and its pitchers thus are challenging the opposition hitters more and giving up more solo shots thus the HR park factor goes up. But that is a pure swag and you'd have to go through every team to see if their factors even track their team results the way Copa's seem to before you could put any credence to it.
  7. yeah - if you've been to any pro sporting event in the last 10-15 yrs you know the 1st thing you do even as a fan is tune out the stadium PA as it's 99% garbage noise. I would never expect a coach to be listening to the PA. He's listening to his headset and/or the people next to him.
  8. yup. this is exactly it. but it's just as much having Knox, Burks and Bogan on the court - all of whom shoot the ball a little and pull defenders to the arc. You can have Thompson and Killian out there without the big men and the lane will be largely closed off because teams don't bother to defend either of them. Even Bogan was taking it to the rim once they got some spacing. Ausar needs to go to the gleague until he has some kind of offensive game, and Killian just needs to go. In 4 yrs he is not one step closer to being an NBA player than he was when he was drafted.
  9. do you think that would make much difference? If a kid intends to leave, he still won't want to play.
  10. Vierling had no platoon split last season and his OPS when at 3rd was >800. If he could sustain that it's definitely your answer. But SSS applies. It was only 111 PA
  11. It's just amazing how ignorant people can be and how deep their lack of basic curiosity can be. Motivated to go to rallies but not enough to even read the document they claim to hold so dear.
  12. it will limit the opt outs for the playoff bowls, not for the garbage...I mean non-playoff bowls.
  13. Good way to put it.
  14. so he had a 140 OPB points in walks (110 in 600 PA). I don't know if I'd call it 'worst case' but I wouldn't be surprised to see that cut roughly in half against MLB pitchers. If his average drops from 280 to 250 on promotion and he loses half the walks, that will pull his OBP down to 320. Not bad but a player you are less willing to work around position issues for. Granted this reading may be on the pessimistic side, but most years less than half a dozen of the league's best hitters reach 90 BB. Maybe more than 55 BB for Malloy but more than 80 would be a lot to ask.
  15. i was going to say Hinch should be used to having a single DH but it's easy to forget that Cabrera was only playing every other day last season.
  16. Winning puck battles is a skill that has been in short supply on this team for a long time, but the breakaways they are giving up is just poor discipline: making bad passes and/or letting letting the opposition get up ice from them and that should be fixable. All they can do on the goaltending is hope Lyon or Husso start playing better. Maybe time to look for a goalie-whisperer to add to the staff.
  17. Cade and Ivey with 19 points at the line. They have to play that game more.
  18. Duren apparently can't find the basket without a GPS.
  19. Norvell looks like someone attempted a clone of Urban Meyer.
  20. Yeah - most of us could work really hard - still shouldn't get us on an NBA court either!
  21. Boban would give you size.... The Piston FO problem in a nutshell. Would be nice if someone in the org would start looking at players for what they can actually do instead of what kind of wishcasting you can do based on their body conformation.
  22. 👻Ghost bowls. These games mean so close to nothing with all the guys sitting out. They put up a graphic of the FSU defensive players sitting out and it was 6 or 7 starters. Not sure why FSU bothered to show up at all (well, yes I am: $$$) Add those guys to Travis and you've got maybe a MAC team?
  23. not a good look
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