gehringer_2

from interview with head of Ukrainian Military Intelligence

IIRC, I had some CD's paying in XS of 10% in the late 70's. Not sure what the highest were but they were 2 digits.

the bond repurchases are supposed to be about a trillion/yr rate. If they doubled that it would probably have a big effect, but probably also drive long term rate up a lot - which I'm sure they don't want to do but which is always the ultimate answer.

this is very silly. If you know you need to/plan to go up 1.5%, go up 1.5%. It amounts to putting out a fire by opening the valve on the water hose one 1/2 turn per hour. The only justification for not going faster is that they are going start cuttin their bond holdings faster, which is also deflationary.

You are pretty consistently more optimistic about this court than I think is merited, but if it's not a flat out full reversal I'll be glad to give you your props. and not that it will matter to the price of tea in China but I'll be curious where the Chief ends up.

i'm less concerned about the slumping regulars than Harold's terrible glove so far. No matter where they put him in the field the ball is finding him and the Tigers are suffering for it. I just want another player playing where they are playing Harold. They are fixated on carrying so many pitchers that they insist on carrying only (supposedly) IF/OF guys like Willi and Harold. But WIlli can't really play the OF and Harold can't really play SS (or 1B). Give it up and just carry Zach Short AND Cameron till Reyes is back.

Definitely a bit weird so far. Haase's number don't make much sense altogether. SSS warning apply all around but he's not striking out near his normal rate and his contact rate is way up. If those numbers persisted you might think he's backing off to try and make more contact and that he needs to get back to swinging away. But while that may be the implication from the numbers, it doesn't look much like he's backed off his swing effort.

Inf A is apparently also rampant currently. I'm told there is now a single rapid test you can do for both.

I hope Joe does well. He should, he is a talented guy, plus draft evaluation of 7 ft Serbians does not appear to be part of the job description.

So I can finish this story today. The check from Westinghouse did arrive, after which I ordered the part. The part arrived today. I paid not the $320 the service firm had quoted on their work estimate, but $150 - for a factory certified new part. It took about 20 min to install the board, test function, and re-assemble the door. No more dead dishwasher! All in all, considering Westinghouse effectively paid me > $200/hr to fix their dishwasher - NOT a peeve.

*IF* they want a QB next year - and I still think that is an open question, they have to hope that enough other guys float up to top 10 rankings so that it looks more like 2021 and you might be able to package both 1sts and get one of the top guys, or another Mac Jones falls to mid-round. I don't see any easy way for them to get into play for Stroud or Young if those are only two ranked 1st round. Or maybe Goff breaks a leg.

right - that's the $64 question. It's an odd circumstance that they've gone from having about 6 utility SS to just Harold and Zach Short. IDK, maybe Harold has just had a bad streak with the glove and isn't doomed to be as bad as he has been every time he has gone out there so far this season, but he has not played an acceptable SS this season in my view, so I don't look as him playing SS as virtue of his compared to anyone else right now. (and the injury to Kreidler figures big also)

LOL - For me there was as sweet spot - as you note - maybe Rubber Soul and leading up to AbbyRoad (though the 'white' album was very uneven) when they did their best stuff, and there is some stuff I really like. But the thing for me is that it is more in retrospect. By the time the Beatles did their best stuff I was listening mostly to FM rock album sides and discovering classical music so it had less impact to me. Things were evolving really fast in that period. I love hearing "I Feel Fine" today, but that's not what I was listening to that much when it came out so the attachment isn't there with the Beatles to me.

well, that's kind of the question isn't it? You might take the view that being a MLB starter has already passed Kody by. If his future is as a utility player (EDIT: which Lee just beat me to) then 26-31 are the years he's most likely to be able to spend getting paid major league money.

I understand that Putin is certainly a master of lies and double speak who does Orwell proud, and there is plenty of reason to believe he has undertaken false flags in the past, even terrible ones like the apartment bombing that bootstrapped Russia into the Chechen war, but I would think there is some difference today. At this point this is 'Putin's Russia' - he has reached "L'Etat c'est a moi" status in his own mind. So more than in the past false flag accidents/attacks inside Russia reflect on his leadership a lot more than they did back in the Chechen war period when he hadn't been in power so long. So from a vanity argument, I would have a little more doubt that Putin would be as enthused about damaging FF operations inside Russia. But surely, he is so off the reservation now that who knows?

If Stroud has good year he and Young go 1/2 just like the 1,2,3 QB sweep last year. So that would be the Lions finishing badly and still missing a top QB.

Patraeus?

the discussion is the article was interesting. The idea of the link between racing and sales is at this point old school. Of course if it makes sense for anyone it would be for nameplates like Porsche and Audi, but much car buying is becoming very commoditized across the rest of the market - with people not even test driving cars before they order them delivered from the internet. VW is much more likely to find itself more in that latter class so not hard to understand why some corporate board directors were more skeptical. I also thought the idea needing a rule change to jump was sort of a pessimistic view of their own engineering capabilities, but maybe after the diesel fiasco and the fact that the Germans are not exactly leading in either hybrid or electric tech their confidence is down.

Winning football is also having depth to deal with attrition so I wouldn't dismiss the need for numbers of those moderately successful picks as well as the game changers. Of course we won't know if they ended up wasting those other picks on washouts for a year or two, but at least there were no head-scratcher picks where there is already be a lot of opinion that the guy has no shot to succeed (i.e. Tavai). Even though they were aggressive in getting Williams, I would still call their drafting style 'conservative', as there doesn't seem to be any tendency to fall in love with guys for reasons other than that they've produced on the field.

If Garneau ends up leaving the org, they have Lavarnway on a minor league contract at Toledo who could be the next Garneau going forward.

You kinda hope that guys with careers like that walk away first, but to each his own. Hell of a player.

No question why the Right in the US is so unbothered by the idea of banning books, it pretty clear that none of them read any.

IDK - fair question. I don't know much about Kody's D, but if he has the arm to have played 3rd and can play second, then even if he's not very good at SS he's probably better than Harold at this point, who doesn't seem to be able to make any plays at all. Baez is going to get 95% of the reps there anyway. In any case I'm not so much a fan of Clemens as hoping for any way they get themselves off the addiction to H. Castro. 🦃🦃

I don't know if we will ever find out exactly what is going on but pretty high stakes stuff. Do you suppose the Ukrainians have been able to plant networks all over Russia? Seems far fetched, but then again if the intelligence services are as inept as the army, who knows? Or maybe an indigenous network of Russian revolutionaries taking form? Or maybe also just increasing accidents are the evidence of an imploding society. The explosion at the power plant out in the Pacific East is a particular head scratcher. Even if the Ukrainians had the reach, it would a pointless application of resources. But that's also the kind of thing where brain drain could easily lead to explosive incompetence. Utility boilers are actually quite easy to blow up once you have enough people around them that don't know what they are doing. Something as superficially trivial as lack of routine attention to the feedwater system will do it every time. Just the kind of 'who cares about the maintenance' thing that appears to have become endemic in the Russian state.

I do think you either have to let Baddoo play through it, which is tough unless others start to hit so you can carry him, or you have to send him down. Dropping him to the 4th OF role is counterproductive, he needs ABs. I'd also like to see Clemens in place of Harold. I know he's got a great OBP for now, but zero power, he doesn't field, he's not even a decent 1b (i.e. didn't know when to just get off the bag and stop a bad throw) and when he gets on base he doesn't run well. I have nothing personal against the guy - I just think he does too many things poorly for the OBP to make up for it.