mtutiger

Holy hell

It hasn't been called, but she made up significantly more ground in RCV during her Special Election race a few months ago versus where she sits at 47.2% (in a race involving the same candidates), so it's fair to assume she's in a solid spot.

Sure, but it was evident in the polling that he'd be in that range. Not a surprise. My issue is that a lot of really smart people didn't look at the fundamentals and went completely off their gut on this race. And look silly a day later.

In retrospect, there was a ton of irresponsibility by the political press this cycle in how certain races were covered. But for my money, the PA Senate Race takes the cake. When you get right down to it, the fundamentals really were never there for Oz, and the analysis throughout was buttressed by very little data. And it starts with the candidate himself - they spent a lot of time highlighting Fetterman's flaws (particularly after his stroke), but never considered that a candidate with 50+% disapproval numbers was gonna have an extremely difficult time beating a candidate with a positive approval rating. It should cause introspection, but I'm sure it won't.

Short answer is no. It simply takes a majority vote. Thats where something like a 1 or even 3 vote majority becomes really precarious and where you could see some sort of coalition building or R speaker candidates needing D votes for House. (Happens a lot here in Texas as well - House Speakers tend to be relatively moderate because Ds will throw votes to them to prevent harder right votes). IOW, If the majority ends up that narrow, Kevin M. is gonna need to invest in some kneepads

Grand Traverse is likely headed toward blue county status going forward

Dems may be closing in on a trifecta in MI! unbelievable

Good night for the non-partisan pollsters generally, terrible for the fly-by-night GOP ones (and RCP)

OMG

Ya think?

Guys, he has a path

This seems like a good sign in Nevada...

One of the more embarrasing results for the pundit class

Early returns from NV

Someone needs to get to a majority in the vote.

Outside chance, like 2020 it will come down to Brown Co and Milwaukee

Lol, my hopes aren't up, don't worry

CNN just went over Georgia and what is out, and Warnock may still pull it off without a runoff

Does Trafalgar go out of business after tonight?

RCP showing their *** tonight

🤣

That would be ideal...

I hate to give it to CNN, but of their panels did bring up what DeSantis did versus what some of Trump's acolytes have done so far tonight. Probably wishcasting, but it's an offramp if they want to take it