mtutiger

If Colorado is like Ohio for Ds, then *Washington State* (which also was taken seriously in some circles) is like Ds trying to flip Kentucky or something lol

A lot of folks on the right were really critical of how he allocated SuperPAC money down the stretch, wanting him to start pouring money into places like New Hampshire and Colorado. Can't stand the dude, but he knows what he's doing.... the fact that he wasn't spending in Arizona was kind of a tell that things weren't necessarily as close as the public polls were indicating as well.

Masters would have to win over 25% of the remaining ballots, which doesn't seem likely given that he's underperformed Trump 2020 in every county in the state (including ones already completed). Dave is on solid ground calling it IMO

Excellent. Cortez Masto should soon join him as well.

Chances of a majority for Ds now slim without Boebert's seat. But it could narrow more still depending on how the votes are counted

Leftover Pueblo Co votes were not slanted as expected.

Boobert likely to pull it out by a whisker... Damn

Jesus

Still measuring those drapes when the Chamber hasn't even been called yet. It would be on brand for this to blow up on him lol

Definitely gives off cult leader vibes and seems like one who wants to control her image

Victor was a bit of a surprise lol

Huge implications, especially for the Gov race. Hobbs may still have a chance

Unbelievable we are even talking about this.

Having Allan West on to do a political autopsy is like hiring Dr. Nick from The Simpsons to do an actual autopsy

In part due to their relative electoral success on Tuesday, particularly in Gov races, I am actually encouraged and feel that they have some compelling candidates to go along with Harris (who I assume would be the front runner). Whitmer, Shapiro, Jared Polis (who basically was the Ron DeSantis of Colorado on Tuesday) all would be strong candidates. And honestly, I'd prefer that they start elevating Governors to run in these elections.... having executive experience matters. The difficulty with the Democratic Party, as always, is who can turn out the largest percentage part of the base, which is African Americans... it's a big piece of why Biden won the nomination in 2020 and anyone wishing to succeed him will need to make inroads with that community.

Especially RCP, given that they purport to be a serious outfit and have (despite having conservative political leanings) purportedly serious people running it. Even in this cycle I would look at them based on their track record. But I said it before the election: some of the decisions that they made, about which polls they would include, but also in how they rated races (ie. tossup, leaning states, etc.), how they deducted poll margin based on previous cycle misses, how they made projections that didn't even match their average (Michigan Gov for example).... these were all decisions that were, sooner or later, bound to backfire. The polling industry in and of itself has, and continues to have, problems.... but elaborately unskewing polls doesn't work either. It didn't in 2012, nor did it this cycle.

One story from this election Another one as well... Have to wait for the west coast to come in, but it would appear that the Ds sort of defied political gravity with how they performed in this cycle. And that, given some Rs running unopposed in Congressional races as well as poor performances in specific states (ie. a "red wave" in Florida and New York and few other places), the gap between the popular vote and House outcome is probably gonna be a lot more narrow than we've been accustomed to in the Trump years.

There are a few people who deserve some mea culpas.... Moore, but also Tom Bonier and Simon Rosenburg as well, who were kinda validated in this cycle (albeit after having issues last cycle)

Isn't that... what politicians are supposed to do??? Deliver on policy?

Listening in on CNN for a bit, they still remain surprised that Oz's residency issue actually mattered. lol

Fun fact: Whitmer has close to double the margin as Kathy Hochul does in New York. NY shaping up to be the mini-FL of the night. Relatively low turnout

Yeah, she's done. Surprise of the night

Will be interesting to see whether it's 50-49 or 49-50 going into it and what the various dynamics will be. If you're an R, you're hoping Laxalt can pull it off in Nevada, because I can't imagine a 50-49 field going into a runoff is gonna do wonders for inspiring voters to turn out for ol' Herschel

My guess is that Lake probably pulls it out, but it'll only be her and not the crazy SoS candidate, whose race is currently tracking closely with Kelly. Kari Lake is still as dangerous as I said she was a few days ago, but if she's one of (if not the only) one that slips through among state races, I think that does defang her a bit.