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mtutiger

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Everything posted by mtutiger

  1. Without a doubt the most bizarre poll of the cycle....
  2. Thanks. Time will tell, but I do think the results of special elections recently as well as the KS Amendment election shouldn't necessarily be dismissed either. Similar to the opinion that Oblong shared, it's possible to reconcile the idea that the environment has improved some for Ds due to external circumstances while still recognizing that the fundamentals remain in favor of the GOP in this cycle.
  3. The article is behind the NYT Paywall so I don't know his exact argument, I do trust him a lot more than the average data guy though and agree with his caution. The bigger problem that I have with the larger discourse on polling this time around is that it is frequently stated and implied that the pollsters haven't done anything to fix their issues from 2020. Generally people say this while, as evidence, pointing to the discrepancy between their expectations (and conventional wisdom) and what the polling is showing. Does that suggest reason to be wary or skeptical? Sure. But I kinda think people are now going beyond that into "the polls don't matter, they are wrong because they aren't confirming my priors." So much of the punditry is backward looking and fighting the last fight, and it loses sight of the fact that no two elections are the same. Even 2016 and 2020, often compared, were much different elections and fell on much different lines.
  4. That neck stinger issue took him out for a while..... he could use a little more work.
  5. The big thing is that they have more holes than they can possibly fill in one offseason... we can sit and talk about how we need to get a second starter or a catcher or address other holes, but they kind of have to triage and address the biggest holes first. The uncertainty at third is the biggest problem on the roster IMO... Kreidler stepping up is helpful, but I dont think they can rely on him alone going into next year. Whether that means bringing back Candy or going to the outside, we shall see.
  6. Must be more of that "cozying up to China" stuff that Archie used to talk about....
  7. Dallas has a pretty good defense and will compete tonight, but I would be concerned if I were a Cowboy fan offensively. Particularly with the question marks in the wide receiving corps and at offensive line.
  8. It's close, I don't think Dallas is bad but I would be concerned about keeping Dak protected. Not sure the O-Line will be up to the task. I suspect Tampa will win tonight
  9. For sure. I just think the thing that killed them today was having three uncompetitive offensive drives in a row in the first half. Obviously different, but Alabama had four of those in a row yesterday and were lucky to win yesterday. Unless you have a great defense, teams generally dont survive that.
  10. As someone who follows them by default, I agree.
  11. The defense wasnt great by any means, but they looked worse in the first half when they were being overexposed by the shitty offense. They did a lot better in the second half
  12. They aren't SOL, that's my takeaway. The fact that Mark Schlereth took the kneel down time to talk about the Lions instead of Philly was eye opening
  13. They are pretty good, I'd put them over Dallas when it is all written
  14. Wow... Beautiful throw by Goff there
  15. It's modest, but TORK! has himself a six game hitting streak
  16. Another nice drive... Had they not taken three drives off in the first half, they could be in this game right now, if not winning
  17. Good Lord Hock, gotta catch that cleanly
  18. Brad Holmes was part of taking a franchise as dysfunctional as the Lions and turning it into a perennial contender. I'm open to what they are doing here
  19. Its understandable, but folks always seem clear eyed about this being a multiple year project when it isn't gameday, while wanting to fire the coaching staff into the sun on Gameday. This team is a work in progress. As bad as this game has been, they do look better than last year. But growth takes time and often isn't linear
  20. Yes and yes. The only real disappointment was the lack of offense in the first half, but Philly is gonna be a division winner when this season is said and done. They aren't chumps
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