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"Change of scenery" usually means change of people, coaching, system. We've changed people, coaching, and system here, but not soon enough to try to salvage Jeimer for ourselves, I guess. I kind of hope he does come back for cheaper, unless Harris gets a better 3B in trade or something, in which case, happy trails, Jeimer.

Jeimer’s hard hit tool took a big dip this past season, but even with his below average EV, his max EV and barrel percent numbers were both above average. That tells me his issue was probably a swing that just got out of sorts, and there was no one knowledgeable around to help him fix it. You may remember that during the All-Star break, Jeimer went for some swing instruction and had a good little stretch for maybe a week coming out of the break, only to go back into a funk that, once more, no one around the Tigers could help him with. I think if he ends up in a system with good batting coaching, he’ll get back closer to his old self and smack the ball around pretty good this year.

If that’s the case, the only remaining explanation is that they believe Jeimer is 2022 or worse, and nowhere near 2021, which is worth more than $7 million; and furthermore, they were fine with another 2022 from him, as long as he was cheap. Maybe as a trade chip, maybe as a placeholder for the unhatched chicken.

Of course, but the underlying conversation is less about his expected contract value—even I knew he was more likely to be cut than get $7 million in arb—and whether his career is basically done. I don't think it is, unless, again, there is some chronic health problem we don't know about that will prevent his bounceback.

I would be OK with Mitch Haniger for 2/24.

Past performance is one of the factors that leads to projections for the future. It's not the only one. If Candelario has the kind of chronic injury that makes any performance better than last year really unlikely, then I agree the Tigers made the right move. I'm coming around to thinking that might be the case. Otherwise, it makes no sense, to me anyway, that a 28-year-old has a bad season after two good ones, and the conclusion is he's done done at 29. That's not the typical outcome.

The performance Candelario provided this past season was not worth $7 million. The performance he provided in both 2020 and 2021 were each worth way more than $7 million. The question is what performance is he likely to provide next year, and whether that will be worth $7 million. If he provides what projections say he will, it will be worth it. The one thing I think we can all agree on is that he won’t make anywhere close to that. But I believe that unless he is done done, which is possible if improbable, he will overdeliver handily on next year’s salary.

Repeat that countless thousands of times and no wonder pitchers’ arms get shredded.

That’s true. The injury explanation could make sense in the case of the one guy.

This entire era is all about concentrated power.

Sure, this is a possibility, too. Maybe Candelario is chronically hurt in a way only they know. That would be a logical explanation for falling off the cliff. FWIW, I don’t think anyone here believes Candelario is a 4 WAR player right now.

A good guy without a gun. Richard Fierro might go down in history as a well-remembered American hero. Just a remarkable story.

We can quibble about whether Jeimer is the 4-win player he was in 2020-21, or whether he's worth the 3 wins he is projected for next year by ZIPs. But if we think Jeimer is worth at least 2 wins, which I believe, then he would definitely be worth the $7 million or so he'd've made through arb. And if he's not worth at least two wins, then why would we want him out there at any price? Why bother handing him the job if only he takes the pay cut? Might as well just boot him, change the locks behind him, and hold a waiver wire sweepstakes. The only way I could accept a justification for their lowball offer to Jeimer is if the Tigers decided they simply don't care what they get out of third base next season, because they don't expect to win in any event, and whoever ends up there is just a placeholder for the chicken that hasn't hatched yet anyway. If that's the explicit strategy, OK, fine, I get it. Then any warm body at third will do in 2023. However, if they were thinking of taking a real shot at recovering whatever the post-May-8-2021 magic was, which is not a crazy unthinkable idea, then they need at least a 2-win guy at third, which is worth more than $7 million, and my opinion is that Jeimer has at least a 50-50 shot of exceeding that with whoever he ends up playing for.

I’m pretty sure Rosenthal was not in on the Athletic gambling deals. If he were, he wouldn’t be whacking his own kneecaps sharing anti-gambling stories. I’m pretty sure he’s just a hired hand, the way he was with MLB Network.

This is exactly my problem with this move. If the Tigers think 2022 is really what Jeimer is, then fine, kick him to the curb and don’t look back. If Jeimer truly is done done, as everyone who called for his head on a spike seems to think, then this is definitely the right move. Instead, it looks like the Tigers would be happy to run Jeimer out there at 3B for another year, as long as a few more million dollars stay in Baby Doc’s pocket. In other words, it’s not about the performance, since this proves they would be perfectly fine with whatever Jeimer’s performance will be. Instead, it’s about the money. They just wanted to play chicken with him to drive his price down. OMMV on this, but I think that’s horseshit, man.

I’d be surprised if someone else didn’t pick him up.

Mere coincidence, I’m sure. The shooter couldn’t possibly have been groomed by grandpa. He was mentally ill. Now—let the schoolbook burnings continue apace.

Interesting. Any idea how this compares with other teams?

If we do that, Campbell’s going to get his Sox years no matter what happens the next four seasons.

OK, now I see what the issue is. The mistaken use of “dominate” in place of “dominant” is a Motownsports running joke going back to the old board. My “correction” literally had nothing to do with you and everything to do with a callback to that running joke.

Hutch!

Are you insulted?

I have heard that it was so disorganized there, no one could produce a complete list of employees.