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How long before the Warrior Jesus jerks crow about how God is punishing him for going after Trump?

Just did a quick correlation for FIP, 2022 vs 2021, minimum 50 innings each season, n=218. Correlation is 0.42, significantly less than K% or BB% alone. HR/9 correlation is 0.35. Take from this what you will, but in terms of whether we need the three different measures when FIP contemplates all of them together, personally, I like knowing how components of an all-in-one number break down. I think it helps give me better understanding of the player involved. I think of OPS the same way. Player A—let's call him "Jesse"—has a .344 on base and .344 slugging; Player B—let's call him "Marcell"—has a .274 on base and a .413 slugging. OPS would tell you they are practically the exact same type of hitter, but if you break it down to the components, you can see they arrived at their OPS in very different ways, and because of that, they are very different types of hitters.

I remember him from his time with the Cubs. His walk-up song was December 1963 (Oh What a Night). It must have been dad's favorite or something. Tommy was good in his role, but he's never gotten much more than 300 plate appearances in a single season, and it would seem unwise to give him his first-ever full-time starting job at age 34. I also remembering citing him as Exhibit A for just how crazy the juiced ball was in 2019, as in, if Tommy Fucking La Stella can jack 30 bombs in a year, something is seriously off. (He ended up with 16 that year because he got hurt.) I know I said so on the old site—I'd be linking that post here right were it available. Tommy is owed $11.5 million by the Giants in 2023, as the tail-end of a 3/18.75. Talk about irrational exuberance!

OK, so bottom line this for me: does it mean anything? Is it worthless? Can anything or nothing be taken away from this? Is there any point to any of this? Is the universe simply a series of random events? What is the meaning of life?

This struck me especially because it reminded me that tens of millions of people are descended of a region that believed that they were entitled to a specific kind of workforce, and by the grace of and with blessings from God. See Genesis 9;24-27; Genesis 21:9-10; Exodus 20:10, 17; Ephesians 6:5-8; and Philemon 1:12.

I wonder whether it’s typical to spend 30% of political campaign funds raised on additional fundraising?

You are right, to the degree that his owning the car is preventing someone else from owning the same car and who would intend to drive the car more than he.

That’s cool, I can appreciate that.

Oh, I didn’t miss you … 😁

Are these guys wrong? https://www.socscistatistics.com/pvalues/pearsondistribution.aspx

I don't like being pigeon-holed into a "side". It's reductive and serves to diminish the perception of my agency. That puts me on the defensive, and I don't like the results when I reply while feeling on the defensive.

Finally got around to doing this, and the result is more surprising than I imagined it could be. Not because I guessed wrong correlations on the wrong attributes, but that correlations were stronger for those attributes I probably thought would be pretty weak. I looked at the correlations of each of the 14 attributes on the Statcast cards of those pitchers who had values reported for both 2021 and 2022. As a reminder, Statcast card values are reported as a percentile versus the league—if you have the greatest strikeout percentage in the league, your percentile will be 100; if you have the worst, it will be 1; if you're dead balls average, you're a 50. Rinse and repeat thirteen more times. Here are the results: xwoba/xera 0.47 xba 0.57 xslg 0.52 xiso 0.49 xobp 0.42 brl_percent 0.38 exit_velocity 0.48 hard_hit_percent 0.37 k_percent 0.70 bb_percent 0.63 whiff_percent 0.73 fb_velocity 0.90 fb_spin 0.90 curve_spin 0.93 We could have guessed that the correlations are highest for attributes completely physically controlled by the pitcher: velocity and spin. We could also guess that outcomes more closely related to those physical attributes would also be pretty high: K%, BB%, Whiff %. What I didn't expect to see were correlations so high for the attributes related to outcomes that are influenced by luck, which is basically everything else. Particularly xba and xiso, which you would think is a strong residue of BABIP. I didn't think the correlation would be zero or anything, but I imagined they would come out more in the 0.10 to 0.20 range than they would in the 0.37 to 0.57 range. I guess I underestimated the effect that a pitcher's stuff would have on outcomes, specifically on overcoming oppositional force, and the luck of that force on as regular a basis as it does.

I stopped reading here.

How can this be? I have been repeatedly assured here that nobody on this forum liked Al Avila.

Why do you keep focusing on numbers and ignoring the cruelty to people?

Not only do they contribute to the economy by buying stuff, they also contribute to the tax base with their income and their spending.

Maybe Mike Pence should name Dan Quayle as a running mate. Indiana bland.

Yeah, right, I'm the one feeding into the hate for re-grounding the discussion by highlighting the cruelty that you yourself labeled "performative". I'm the problem here. It's my fault. Yeah, sure. Whatever, sport.

That same TheHill article says Abbott is claiming he wasn't even involved in it. That was also implied when the article said the volunteers had "received word that Gov. Greg Abbott ...", not "received word from Gov. Greg Abbott ..." I couldn't give less of a shit that the press knew beforehand and was there. We know, we know, the mainstream fake media blah blah blah. Believe it or not, it's not about them. None of this helps the case you're apparently trying to make that Greg Abbott is a good guy doing everything by the book so he can do right by these poor people. He's obviously not, and no amount of gaslighting can convince reasonable people that he is. If nothing else, this demonstrates how much too many people in this country have come to accept this kind of cruelty as a basic American value that's reflective of Christian morals. It's sick. Merry Christmas, indeed.

He already did try! I'm talking about before the fact versus attempts after the fact. I don't mean merely manipulating ordinances and whatnot to suppress turnout, which is already happening without Trump. I mean machine tampering, on-premise vote flipping and multiplication, falsifying counts after the fact, paying off courts to find in your favor in lawsuits—you know, all the things they accuse Democrats of doing.

I started at the beginning, listening to each a couple of time at least, and am up to Get Behind Me Satan, but I have that on hold while I obsess over Elephant.

There is no way Trump wins without stealing the election, since the people have repeatedly demonstrated that they don't want him. So yes, let Trump win the nom in as crowded a field as it will take.

This excuse would make more sense if Abbott was working with governors of other states to safely transfer and onboard the immigrants. Instead, Abbott is planning it all in secret in an apparent effort to spring these poor people on these other states and catch them flat-footed for maximum effect. It's practically the very definition of "political stunt". So, please, let's not pretend this is diplomacy as usual here.

Is he of that ilk? I really don't know anything else about him. Is he going to join the Kookoo Kaukus?

I am unofficially obsessed with White Stripes' Elephant.