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Everything posted by MichiganCardinal
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Meanwhile, A&M leaks that they're hiring Mark Stoops before he signs a contract and he backs out at (literally) the 11th hour, leading to mostly embarrassment for the program and knowledge that whoever they do hire was at least their 2nd choice.
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vs. Setting: 12/02/2023 8:00pm EST on FOX Site: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN Weather: Climate Controlled Opening Spread: Michigan -22 All-Time Series Record: Michigan leads, 44-15-4 Last Meeting: 10/01/2022, Michigan won 27-14 #16 Iowa Hawkeyes (10-2) Head Coach: Kirk Ferentz (25th Season: 196-117) Projected Starting QB: Deacon Hill (Redshirt Sophomore: 6-1) Last Week: 13-10 W @ Nebraska Cornhuskers (5-7) #2 Michigan Wolverines (12-0) Head Coach: Jim Harbaugh (16th Season: 141-52) Projected Starting QB: JJ McCarthy (Junior: 24-1) Last Week: 30-24 W vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) B1G Championship Game History
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I remember the immediacy of that Michigan-MSU game from 2021. We should have won that game too. People were pissed we didn't, and pretty much everyone thought we were well on the way to a James Franklin classic 10-2 season and another NY6 game. I think everyone would be pretty okay with where we are at now instead.
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I think the conference champions will always have priority, and I think the best one-loss 12-game team(s) have a hefty burden to overcome any one-loss team that plays 13 games. Right now, we have undefeated teams in the B1G, SEC, Pac-12, and ACC, and a one-loss team in the Big 12. I don't think we will see chalk into the semis, but last year Ohio State only needed USC to lose to Utah. They need more this year. Going with the presumption that Georgia beats Georgia Tech tonight, if they lose the SECCG, Alabama replaces them in the CFP. If anything, an Alabama win probably hurts Ohio State because Georgia's one-loss resume would be better than Ohio State's. If Michigan loses, one-loss Ohio State won't get in before one-loss Michigan. If Washington loses, Oregon is in as the one-loss PAC champion. One-loss Washington versus one-loss Ohio State for #4 would be very tight and could go either way. Washington, playing an extra game, would have split with (then #3) Oregon and beat Arizona and Oregon State. Ohio State would have lost once to #2 Michigan, along with wins over Notre Dame and Penn State. If Florida State loses, it opens the door to the Big 12 and a one-loss Texas. A one-loss FSU versus a one-loss Ohio State will generate controversy, but this is probably a discussion Ohio State wins, if only because FSU has lost their QB for the year. The way I see it, Ohio State needs Georgia to beat Alabama, Michigan to beat Iowa, Washington to beat Oregon (probably), FSU to lose (preferably tonight to a lesser opponent), and Texas to lose to Oklahoma State. If each of those happen you're looking at (1) Georgia, (2) Michigan, (3) Washington, (4) Ohio State... It's not impossible, but it's definitely more than expecting USC to lose to Utah again.
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After conference championships, my predictions are for the semis. Next week’s rankings are as useful as preseason rankings. 🙂
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Auburn has too much to worry about on defense to even think about OPI. Why aren’t they bringing pressure there when it has worked the whole drive? And if you’re not going to bring pressure, what the hell is that IDL/MLB doing? Might as well have had ten players on the defense the way he just hangs out in no man’s land, at least the edge rushers were trying to get home. And how does that end up in one-on-one coverage in the corner? You have eight DBs, they have five going deep and that pass had to travel 40 yards. Someone else needs to be nearby to help in coverage. They have no one but themselves to blame for that getting converted.
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Auburn should have beat Alabama and Wazzu should have beat Washington. I’ll believe it when the clock hits zero, because I think FSU will beat Louisville next week regardless. Though if I have to revise it without FSU, it would be 1- Georgia 2- Michigan 3- Oregon 4- Texas
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Prediction 1 Georgia 2 Michigan 3 Florida State 4 Oregon
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It would take both of those though, which I don’t think is a given.
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Alabama is VERY beatable. I hope they knock out Georgia
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Auburn had a chance to put the game away and muffed the punt
