Tork will figure it out, or he won’t, it has nothing to do with the evaluation and drafting of the best available talent. No need to psychoanalyze situations like this. Drafting a first-basemen, or any position, in no way signals anyones days are numbered because things rapidly change and work themselves out, as we have seen time and again.
Likely every other team in baseball would have taken Tork 1-1 also, and if he was hitting and fielding like he appeared capable, you’d be fine with it.
It’s contextual, some hitters, like Nick Maton for example, have a flaw in their approach that will be exploited by big league pitchers, but will still allow them to put up superior numbers in the minors. Those hitters need to stay down until they correct their approach to cover that flaw. Other hitters have a more well rounded approach, but just need experience.
You don’t push players up to see if they can compete, or “let them sink or swim”. You know at each stage what their flaws and strengths and weaknesses are, you don’t use stats to justify a move, leave them at an appropriate level until they acquire enough skills to compete. At some point they will be ready and will require the challenge, but there is no point in rushing it.
There seems to be a clear top tier of ten, Tigers draft at 11. Seldom does the draft proceed as projected, so hopefully one of the top hitters drops to them, if not then Caminiti would be an okay consolation.
If you want to evaluate a pitcher, you want to identify elements he can control. Walks, strikeouts, contact rate, etc. are things under a pitchers control, hits, runs, etc. are dependent on other factors.
Players aren’t generally very involved in the negotiations, agents have their parameters and cut the best deal possible. I believe this is all on the agent.
There is only one possibility with this deal that makes sense, and that’s Erod’s agent agreed to terms for the deal and then reneged at the last minute. Nothing else seems at all likely.
Chapman is a pretty good ball player, but he has some real holes in his offense to where he doesn’t fit the profile of the hitter Harris covets. He is going to wait and get the player he wants, not the one you think is an upgrade.
If you had a veteran, championship caliber club, and this was the last piece of the puzzle, maybe you’d make that trade, but for the tigers at this point, it would be an exercise in futility.
I think the best question to ask, regarding any sports regime, is are they moving in the right direction? In this case, I believe the answer is yes. Good trades are generally made when you trade your surplus for a weakness, anything else is just rearranging furniture.
No one with any sense would use whip to evaluate the potential of pitching prospects. It may give you an inkling regarding readiness to compete, but it says nothing about potential or ceiling.