gehringer_2

two observations: -regardless of whether it's likely that proposals end up enacted, it's still useful to know in which directions a candidates aspirations lie. -many things that are too big a lift to institute in whole can be started in-part or pilot to find out what costs and logistics will be. ACA would never have been passed if RomneyCare in MA hadn't provided the small working model. Communication in a campaign takes many forms and a lot gets said for the sake of their symbolism or attitude value.

I don't know if he needs to make swing changes to do it or just pitch selection change, but Torks's biggest issue in my reading was that he was only doing damage on cookies - his hot zone just a tiny middle middle spec.

right now apparently Vest and Brieske are better choices in Hinch's view. 9th inning guys don't so much win jobs as move into them as managers lose confidence in the guy they've been using.

In the full write up in NYT Cohn defends the result as possibly the result if an influx of more conservative voters into FL - lured by DeSantis' positioning of FLA as the place to be happy if you are a reactionary. Some of the comments on the article see a silver lining if that's true in that if those people left places like MI MN and WI (typical states where snowbird retirees exile themselves to FLA) than those states are swinging bluer!

indeed - investigations and all kinds of noise. IIRC Christie aide(s?) was even convicted but in the end Christie was never indicted.

So when was the last time the PLA was in a live fire conflict with an enemy? IIRC the recent dust up with India was a sticks and clubs affair because they have some kind of weird dis-armament treaty at the border.

Meanwhile the same poll showed Harris increasing her lead nationally. The two things are contradictory. She can't be backsliding massively in FLA while increasing her lead elsewhere by that kind of divergence. Can't happen. Shouldn't pass anyone's smell test.

and that's the thing with CLE, they don't hit for much average outside Ramirez, but they don't strike out, so they are on the high side for putting balls in play. Taking a look at Foley's season results on FG, things that jump out compared to last season are that his walk rate is up and GB rate is down, and HR/FB is up. If you look at his pitch mix, what you see is that after dropping it last year, he has added a 4 seam fastball back to his mix. Amateur observer sleuth here says he added the 4 seamer to try to up his K rate (because that's what closers do, right?). The problem is that Ks are not up and instead the effectiveness of his sinker has dropped off. I've heard some pitchers say they cannot throw both the sinker and 4 seamer without one messing up their delivery of the other. Maybe Foley is one. And of course, not easy to retool at this point.

the way I would interpret the rule that shouldn't be possible. It should not have have mattered if a few degrees of Kwan's glove was under the ball because if *any* part of the ball contacted the ground, it's not a catch. I think too many people lost the forest for the trees there trying to decide if some part of the ball was on Kwan's glove. That shouldn't have been the question - it should have been did any part of the ball touch the ground, and to me it clearly did.

As of now, Brieske and Vest are the leverage guys. Interesting question if Hinch's growing confidence in Brieske late mean we won't see him open again?

Foley has faced 14 Cle batters across 4 games this season, 4H IBB, 2B HR for a 973 OPS.

I think Olson is effectively the #2 starter now. Even if they open with Holton, the expectation for Olson is at 5IP +

I predict a falling out before 11/5. Trump can't stand anyone else in his limelight and Elon can't stand the dark.

Funny you should mention this as for the last two days the SO has been getting somebody's itinerary texts about airport arrivals etc, all from a wrong number. I hope there isn't a guy somewhere still waiting to be picked up! 🤷‍♀️

the 2.2 BB/9 is sort of the tell. It's what made me think of the Porcello comp because in RP's CY year he also put up an outlier to his usual walk rate. Take a pitcher with great stuff and give him an outlier low walk rate and you are going to get a great year. Now interestingly enough Gooden did hit that walk rate once again in '88 but clearly his stuff was down some from '85 judging by hits and Ks, so it was not as dominant a year - though still a pretty good one. on a related note, an incredibly low walk rate is a big piece of Skubal's dominance since last season, and to be honest, I don't expect him to be able to stay below 2 on a regular basis in the future either. Of course if we get some form of ABS all future BB/9 comparisons go out the window anyway.

If Milton ends up half a bad as predicted, will Johnson bring the House back, or might Biden call a special session over his objection? If even half the FLA GOP reps (there are 20) want a FEMA supplemental passed, that's enough to flip the House on the issue.

and he had Naylor struck out before he got his double.

still not as bad a replay miss as against KC.

Do or die for Berggren then?

This is true.

basically they are all adjusting their data to get the results they are willing to believe. This is close to the exact opposite of real data driven statisics! So bottom line the polls are just just the best guess of the pollsters as compared to the best guess of anyone else. That a survey was taken is reduced to just for show.

People in middle Europe had many relatively positive pre-nazi cultural antecedents they could claim re-connection to. I don't know much about the emergence of Japan from feudalism but I would guess in Japan there were fewer just by virtue of how closed Japan was for so long.

Bankrupting the Federal government to create a crisis that would result in reduction of entitlements that are too unpopular to pass by other means has been a keystone GOP objective for 40 years. It just is. It's just silly or some kind of fantasy to ignore it. The party has been perfectly clear about it. You raised concern about the deficit, that is the fact of the deficit. You can call it partisan if you like, but that's reality and reality is what it is.

here is your answer. Every time I start to think the NHL might be growing up, I see something like this that confirms they still have one skate firmly planted in the Neanderthal era. https://www.mlive.com/redwings/2024/10/red-wings-pleased-with-physical-response-to-roughhouse-tactics.html

strapping the bat to his left upper arm so he can't extend has to be an uncomfortable drill.