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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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ESPN has them at 42%. TBH, if I were a bettor, I would rate the odds of the Tigers winning one more game of the last 9 than the Twins as better than 50% based on their current lineups.
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85 might do it. More likely 86 though. 6 of 9 requires them to stay on the their current high for another 10 days. I think they can drop one game each series and still have a decent chance.
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I like that the Orioles have pretty much lost any chance of catching the Yankees for 1st place. That's the kind of thing that can take the wind out of a team's sails.
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well, I suppose that since the Tsar already had his own terrorist secret police, it was/is sort of endemic in Russian history!
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OK grant in a way but I'll defend a more specific syntax. As leaders, Hilter and Stalin were using terror as a lever of state power, which by definition I'll grant is a form of terrorism, but in conventional parlance I think most people would take 'terrorism' to mean the program of non-state actors and that is certainly what I meant to refer to. Terror by established government terror is more conventional tyranny? Now before they came to power? There was Krystallnacht and few other events IIRC, but TBF Hilter rose to power primarily by the conventional political process and the Bolsheviks fought an actual armed revolution so terror maybe a piece there also but to a larger 'conventional' movement.
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Would Toronto accept this offer for Guerrero and Bichette?
gehringer_2 replied to sergioalpert66's topic in Detroit Tigers
Harris is building his team out of his pieces. I don't see him trading any core present or future player. I could see Sweeney being moved but none of the others (if they regard him as purely stop gap) -
He's completely the wrong profile, but I would love to see Torkelson go play winter ball. Just work on technique in a zero pressure environment.
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there just isn't any bottom
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3BB in 5PA is a 600 OBP for the night. He just improved his OPS on the night. EDIIT: I see this has already been noted.....) We were talking earlier in the day about guys brought up too soon - I'd say Spencer is a worse example than any of the pitchers. He never established good contact skill before he was brought up and when he put some balls in the seats last season nobody cared, but his weaknesses as a hitter were still there. 267 BA since he's come back up is his best stretch of contact since his one decent month (May) last season.
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I like 9ths without drama
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3BB and 2K. Weird night for Tork
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Miller's problem is that he giving up an EV out of proportion to his other stats led with a 4% HR rate. He's not hit so much, but he's been hit hard.
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only 24, doesn't K too much, walks some. Definitely possible upside yet.
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And Johnson just lost his vote to continue government funding with the voting poison pill attached with something like 14 GOP members defecting. Odds of Jeffries being Speaker by election time just ratcheted up.
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IDK - Terrorism is already irrational. Has any terrorist organization ever achieved it ambitions?
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I'd argue it's a false distinction. You can either do a windfall profits tax, which has been done in many places and times and works well enough in a way, but it doesn't give the customer any direct relief per se, or you are telling the seller what they can charge. That's establishing a price. I don't where the formulation "surgical regulation" meets the road in any way beside a price control, or an anti-trust enforcement - but I'm already on board for that! But even anti-trust action doesn't produce short term price impacts for the consumer .
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I don't know where the Pelfrey comp came from - not me! Bottom line is if Fetter can't succeed in teaching him to throw hard, then I guess the conclusion has to be they botched the pick. At this point I have no idea what made them project him as a power pitcher as a prep, but my best recollection is that is what they thought - or at least that was the PR, at the time. I wouldn't say it's a terrible assumption to have looked at Manning at 18 and throwing whatever he was at the time - say mid/lower 90's - that he could grow into an upper 90's guy, but it's fair enough to say you have to have more than that kind of projection to justify a top ten pick.
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I think you have a fair argument with Mize - because as I posted - I don't think his stuff was ready, he certainly was not all that dominant in what time he did spend in the minors. OTOH, TBF, you normally don't expect a college 1/1 to spend much time in the minors either - though the COVD yr sort of messes with all assumptions. Manning was strong 2019 at AA, then missed 20 - well spent the year in the development camp I believe.. I would fault them less for assuming he was as ready as he would ever be in 21. And to correct myself, I guess 21 was his 4th year, not fifth.
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well, let's take them in turn. Manning? He certainly wasn't rushed - he was in the system 5 yrs before his first call up. The kid has had a ton of injuries, did management have him on a bad conditioning program? Certainly possible. At this point he doesn't have much of a fastball. I think there was an assumption with Manning that with his build he would develop as a power pitcher. Didn't really happen. Coaching? The series of injuries? IDK. Maybe it was never there in the 1st place? At any rate, to me it's purely achieving consistent velo that caps Manning's potential at this point. What are your thoughts? Mize? I know people will claim I am ret-conning but I was never enthused about Mize's MLB potential going back to his draft. I don't care what the media consensus was. He was a trick pitch collegiate who came to the majors without a major league swing and miss fastball, depending on a off-speed pitch that didn't fool ML hitters. Then he blew his UCL and has taken way longer than normal for recovery, then lost more starts to a bad hammy. As far as I can tell, Fetter/et al have helped him improve his 4 seamer and build his velo to where he has a shot at becoming a real power pitcher. Maybe the old staff should have done that to begin with before bringing him up? In any case at this point he does not have ML caliber command. Does he just need more innings to get there because of the surgery, or is he just not what everyone hoped? I absolutely don't know at this point. I think all you can do is let him pitch enough to find out and hope he can stay healthy enough to pitch that much. What do you see as the prior management's contribution to his problems?
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but the only way Dems can do this more broadly is with successful grass roots fund raising. Neither party will undertake serious corporate governance and business reform as long as they need corporate and business money to get elected. I don't know if it will/is changing with gen X/Y/Z but the Boomers were so used to somebody doing everything for them in life that they thought it was beneath their dignity to ever make a political contribution. But as the saying goes, you don't bring a knife to a gun fight. Corporate political money is entrenched and we aren't ever going to displace it by wishing.
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also a very good point. Adding the tools of the industrial revolution to Imperialism does make the more toxic mix.
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Looking for parallels, Verlander spent little time in the minors but he was a college guy who was done developing physically. Porcello maybe a more relevant comparison - he was a prep pitcher who was in the Majors at 20 after only one A ball season. I don't know if there is an argument to made Porcello would have been any better than he was for spending another year in the minors. But I don't think pitchers are like hitters in terms of coming up and being 'overmatched'. Once a guy has velo and spin he is basically a finished product in terms of being physically ready. At that point it's all about command/strike throwing. If I'm the Tigers I'm looking at his long bone images to see if his body is ready and his walk rate to see if his command is ready. I don't know about the former but the later is still lacking.
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It interesting that they have Madden starting or at least working the long shift of a BP game. I always had the impression that even if he was starting in the minors he was being slotted to be a reliever. I suppose next ST should resolve that.
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TBF, in the 19th and early 20th century Germany didn't have any monopoly on eugenicists and racists in intellectual circles. We are still taking their names off of buildings at the "U"! Of course the cultural differences between the US and Germany were large (e.g., the US not being a nation identifying in one culture as Germany with the attendant cultural chauvinism) but at the most basic level, one difference was the US had just fought a civil war over the issue and the 15 amendment was in the Constitution so the issue was settled in terms of the national legal construct - even if it did take more than 90 years to get Jim Crow off the books in the South and we continue to find ways to effectively segregate minorities in the underclass today.
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Still won't work. The bureaucracy to support them is unwieldy, the impossibility of being surgical enough is daunting. Pricing in the real world must stay dynamic because real supply and demand changes happen all the time for valid reasons. Let's think about what has changed here and then work back. Why is price gouging a growing issue now after 250 years of the republic? The increase in corporate pricing power we are experiencing in the US is due almost completely to the growth of market monopoly power. So don't attack the symptom, attack the cause. The way to go is to control businesses' pricing power. The government can help keep prices down in an economy and do it effectively but not by direct controls. You do it setting the playing field - insuring competition via tax and M&A law/rules, subsidizing infrastructure, subsidizing new business formation. For commodities the Gov can maintain supply reserves like they do for oil that can moderate market shocks. Even direct investment subsidies are better than attempts at direct price control. And I will beat the dead horse again - why is the business playing field in the US more distorted than ever? - because we have a politics distorted by business money - Citizen's United. So along that line, what makes anyone believe that a government already bought and paid for by corporations is actually going to do any effective price regulation even if it somehow could come with a workable system to do it? Without political reform first, it would become the biggest rent seek in history.
