gehringer_2

thank you, Agent Smith.

and even now, as I track the uptick in vaccination in MI, I see that the increases are mostly in areas where vax rates were already high and are now getting higher, rather than in the areas where vax compliance is low finally changing their behavior.

Which goes back to the difference that was questioned between students in a school in Oxford being shot vs people on the street being shot in Chicago. The public knows all too well that despite the cases that make the news, *most* of the violence in the inner cities is intergang/inter-youth violence and there isn't much question that that fact reduces the urgency that the larger society feels with respect to it. As long as it's "them" and "over there."

First Omicron case has been identified in a UMich student in Ann Arbor. If Omicron turns out to spread even faster than Delta and results in more vaccinated people shedding virus there doesn't seem to be much chance cases won't be going back up again. The tragic part will be that even if on average it doesn't make people sicker, the higher incidence is going to mean some people that did everything right and got vaccinated and boosted are going to get sick because they are in the few percent that didn't respond enough to the vaccine.

Need to bookmark this thread here so we can check back and see how much Avila missed by in the end.

and there is a nasty non-covid one (tested twice) going around that I'm just getting over. this.

LOL - it's kind of a paradoxical situation. You have to guess how good/bad you might be. A top 10 pick is probably reasonable chance to bank on after the 22 season. But the thing I keep forgetting is that they got 2 firsts back for Stafford. So they have a second first after '22 which pretty much guarantees then can trade up.

but the grades now are just a snap shot of a bunch of 20 yr olds. I would guess every good pro QB was a much better player 3 yrs into his pro career than he was in his last year in the NCAA. What you're hoping for is that one of these guys has upside beyond what's on video on him so far. You either take that chance or the chance you get shut out of taking one of those better QBs next year. I don't think you could call either strategy wrong, either might pan out or not.

5 pts for the 1st line, 1 for the rest of the team.

But OTOH, why would we count on the Lions ever being lucky enough to be in the position get Stroud next year? if it takes #1 overall that means you have to tank again big time next season. With Ragnow, Swift, the CBs, and a new draft class maybe that doesn't come close to happening. My guess is that one of the guys coming out this year is destined to be a franchise QB, it's just that no-one knows it yet. The question is whether the lions can figure out which.

My guess? If Houston gets him back it will be by offering a ridiculous AAV. They seem pretty intent on not going anywhere near 10 yrs.

I'm not holding my breath expecting any great hitting breakthroughs from a 29yr old. But if he makes even marginal improvements it's all icing on the cake. He's the SS after all. Catch the ball and give me 800 OPS and I'm a happy camper.

I don't like that nobody this class gets high marks for throwing accuracy. They may score on accuracy drills at the combine and maybe raise their stock but that kind of accuracy is pretty meaningless.

Ah - that makes a lot more sense - for Cabrera in NM as well. Survivalists in MT probably just finding out Babe Ruth's been passed.

well, maybe Ridder will drive Cinci to the Championship and there will be a QB to take at 1/1

Have BoSox fans soured on Bogearts? Wasn't he once the next big thing? He's not all that outstanding in any area but he's a pretty nice player overall.

IDK. Maybe. But, it's a message board. Brevity may be many things but the soul of nuance is not one of them. There is often years of subtext implicit in posts that any given reader may or may not be processing. When conversation swings into topics of sweeping impersonal forces I don't expect people to append their personal ethics disclaimers on each post for my clarity.

Giselle is international.

did any of the those other guys play 14 yr in the league? Harbaugh 'knew' pro football a lot better than some of those guys so that was a natural advantage for him. But I think the way SF ended is probably one of the reasons he's going to stay in college. There really isn't anyone looking over his shoulder or 'meddling' in his program at UM. Sure he reports to someone in the form of the AD, but a major college coach has much more autonomy than the average pro coach not named Belichek. Of course *if* a guy like Harbaugh starts feeling college football evolving down a road that feels more like pro football maybe his mind changes?

To look like Tom Selleck and play down and out would be a tour de force.

Filmed in 1965. Jason Robards and a teenage Barry Gordon. A quintessential 60's story.

The long term question to me is whether NIL fundraising will eventually eat academic fundraising. College football doesn't make that much money for most schools - but just breaking even on the athletic dept budget is considered good enough because the good will generated by a national sports presence is thought to prime alumni giving across the board. But depending on where the NIL arms race goes/is allowed to go, at what point are you having to divert so much of your total development dollars into NIL that you can no longer make the argument that FB is supporting a net positive in the overall giving to the rest of the institution? For scale, UM is budgeting for ~$150M in donor contributions for FY '22. Just to pick a number out of thin air, let's say you can argue that a third of that is supported by sports goodwill That means if NIL costs get near $50M/yr people may start asking why you are operating a football team. Could it get there? Who knows at this point? Since M is one of the richest sports programs and also has one of the biggest total donor bases, you have to think those numbers are relatively smaller most other places. Sure, the Alabama's, Notre Dames and Michigans are not really very likely to be driven to the mat by this, but you have to have other teams to play! If schools at the bottom who can't compete financially start dropping out of conferences, the formation of new super conferences may be actually be fine from the fans perspective and the net result will be more non-revenue football being played in more places. Maybe not such a bad end - who knows?

I see what you did there.

This is in vitro work, which is valuable as preliminary data, but how any particular in vitro will translate into in vivo is always a question. This is moving so fast that we will probably have epid survey data a lot faster than we'd like to.

yeah that was interesting, and probably too high. Supposedly he is not going back to Vanderbilt so I don't know what he thinks he's going to do with himself to maintain his marketability going into the '22 draft. And if he would not submit to a medical for the last draft, is he going to for the '22 draft? And if he doesn't, I would guess no team will touch him in any early round next year either. And if he does do a medical, what was the point in refusing last year? Situation doesn't make much sense. Plenty of whistling past the graveyard talk from Boras, but I have to wonder if he is regretting taking Rocker on as a client.