The biggest red flag with Florida, even more than some of the issues in Miami-Dade (although that is related), is the state Democratic Party, at least up until recently, has been one of the worst run in the country. When you add that to the overall size and scope of the state, and the amount of money it takes to compete there, the simple CBA would suggest that money earmarked to Florida would probably be better spent in AZ/WI/MI/PA/GA/NC, or even TX for that matter, until they can prove more competent and driving turnout and marketing themselves to various constituencies in the state.