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chasfh

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Everything posted by chasfh

  1. Interesting part of Vance’s Wikipedia page is the description of his military service: After graduating from Middletown High School in 2003,[12] Vance enlisted in the US Marine Corps. He was deployed to Iraq as a combat correspondent for six months in late 2005.[13][14] There, he was assigned to the Public Affairs section of the 2nd Marine Aircraft Wing.[15][16] About his service, he commented that it "taught me how to live like an adult" and he was "lucky to escape any real fighting".[17] So, to paraphrase Full Metal Jacket (h/t romad), he wasn’t at the front with the grunts—he was in the rear with the gear. I’ll be interested to see whether he reshapes the narrative to remake himself as a military badass.
  2. I too think it will help.
  3. That’s because hitting got out ahead of pitching early, but now pitching is blowing out hitting.
  4. I don’t think they would involve every Democrat, just inner-circle White House people, top Hill allies, top delegates, top donors. I wouldn’t think anyone who have come out against Biden in public would be part of the discussions. This is just a plausible possibility as far as I know, probably a better chance it’s a complete circus on the inside.
  5. So start off the second half with a good win on the road. It would be nice if we can make it interesting the next couple of weeks.
  6. We don’t have a shutdown back of the pen, so it’s fluid. When you don’t have anyone obviously suited to the role, no point it just giving it to the warmest body.
  7. lol Marianne Kremlinasset thinks she’s relevant
  8. Counterpoint: they didn’t pitch nearly as hard yesteryear as they do today.
  9. I don't know—I'm having trouble seeing people accepting seeing Biden at the top of their ballot when they know Harris is going to be the actual president. Why not just list Harris at the top of the ballot then? And even if Biden did announce it beforehand, believe it or not, there will still be a few million people voting for him who will not have even heard that he announced he's stepping aside after the election. That may be only single-digit percent of his voters, but that is more than enough to swing an election. And, not for nothing, that would provide Trump legitimate grounds to sue to either overturn the results or to re-run the election, and he would have a good chance of winning that lawsuit. Talk about chaos. tl;dr: it's not going to happen.
  10. Context: Recovery time varies depending on the strain, with Grade 1 strains typically requiring 2-3 weeks and Grade 2 strains usually taking at least a month. Grade 3 strains often require surgery, however, and can come with considerably longer recovery periods. https://www.mlb.com/glossary/injuries/lat-strain
  11. You don't say. Context: Recovery time varies depending on the strain, with Grade 1 strains typically requiring 2-3 weeks and Grade 2 strains usually taking at least a month. Grade 3 strains often require surgery, however, and can come with considerably longer recovery periods. https://www.mlb.com/glossary/injuries/lat-strain
  12. You know, at some point Trump is going to have the take the bandage off he ear, and it had better look good and gnarly, because if it doesn't, then we're all going to know that he wasn't actually shot. Except for the evangelicals who will claim Jesus touched his ear and healed it back to 100% because Trump sits at the right hand of The Son. Of course, Trump won't take the bandage off until the day after the election, because it will serve as the ever-present reminder to voters of why he must become president again.
  13. That would be the biggest example of bait and switch in the history of the United States of America. The next sound you would hear is millions of Democrats who voted for Biden giving the party the raspberry on the way out the door.
  14. I've been noodling the plausibility of the idea that Biden knew some time ago—days or maybe more than a week, who knows— that he's toast to the electorate and needs to pull out, but the party can't just take him off the ticket without any plan, so they are negotiating several things to make the transition seamless as possible, such as who's going to replace him (maybe not Kamala), what the ticket will look like, how certain top delegates can whip lesser delegates into line, how donors will react, things like that. They couldn't say out loud they're doing something like that because that would look even more chaotic than what we see looks. And Biden can't say he will pull out in such a scenario, so he continues to insist he is staying in the race, even as he understands he has to pull out, because that draws less fire than they are prepared to fight at this moment. I have no evidence of this, and I'm not saying that's what's happening, or that I believe it is actually happening. I'm speculating on the plausibility of it, which I think is enough that it lies within the range of outcomes.
  15. Maybe if you had a dozen or so wives, they would have that stamina!
  16. Actually, I think we do know where Trump stands. Hint: it has nothing to do with policy.
  17. You're not even attacking him. You're attacking his arguments, which is what debate is. Apparently, in 2024 politics, that's bullying.
  18. Two-thirds vote needed.
  19. Come to Chicago. Riot-free since 2020.
  20. Anyone have any serious idea what caused it?
  21. A super high percentage of swing and fence voters don't know and have never heard that they are contradictory, and another big chunk of the rest may have heard that it is contradictory but don't understand why and so don't believe it.
  22. And this mistake is demonstrably worse because Trump actually thinks—or else wants us to think, or else wants us to think he thinks, or all three—that Scott Walker is the governor of Wisconsin. But no serious, reasonable people can actually maintain that Biden truly believes Putin is the president of Ukraine, or that Trump is his vice president.
  23. What can I say? It's my fate. 🤡
  24. A lot of us liked the Scherzer trade when it happened, but I'm pretty sure none of us thought he'd land on a best athlete of the century list.
  25. I know this week has been a low point for us this year and we all came to the conclusion yesterday that Biden is toast, but if there’s one takeaway from this speech, it’s that one horrific performance by Trump could put Biden right back in it, because we are very much a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately country. Was this the performance to do that? Maybe, maybe not. But this speech was the first good thing to happen for Biden since the debate. Eager to see whether they can somehow capitalize on that.
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