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Everything posted by MichiganCardinal
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It's an outdated stat based on an imperfect algorithm that considers completion percentage, yards per attempt, TDs per attempt, and interceptions. So it inherently favors gunslinger offenses who air it out downfield consistently, and disfavors dink and dunk offenses, who will pick you apart. The Lions offense is more the latter. It also disadvantages QBs with good run offenses. If you're consistently driving down the field and punching it in on the ground from the 1, your QBR will be worse.
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The home three, you're probably looking at beating Minnesota twice and maybe Philly or Green Bay. The road three, you're probably looking at beating Tampa Bay, Minnesota, and maybe Philly or LA. This is obviously a really good team on the road. I don't think the drop off from the home three to the road three is all that significant.
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Jared Goff is one of the smartest QBs in the league, behind one of the best offensive lines in the league. Flores' schemes are really creative, unique, and stump a lot of NFL offensive lines and QBs. He had Love tied in knots on Sunday. I don't think they will have the same level of success against Goff. The Lions should score plenty. But will it be enough?
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Correction: Ten '72 Dolphins, won Super Bowl '82 Redskins, won Super Bowl '84 49ers, won Super Bowl '89 49ers, won Super Bowl '90 49ers, lost NFC Championship Game (at home) '01 Rams, lost Super Bowl '07 Patriots, lost Super Bowl '14 Cowboys, lost Divisional Round (on the road) '16 Patriots, won Super Bowl '20 Chiefs, lost Super Bowl
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vs. Setting: 01/05/2025 8:20pm EST on NBC Site: Ford Field in Detroit, MI Weather: Climate Controlled Opening Spread: Lions -2.5 All-Time Series Record: Vikings lead, 80-44-2 Last Meeting: 10/20/2024, Lions won 31-29 Minnesota Vikings (14-2) Head Coach: Kevin O'Connell (3rd Season: 34-16) Projected Starting QB: Sam Darnold (7th Season: 35-37) Last Week: 27-25 W v. Green Bay Packers (11-5) Playoff Implications: Clinches NFC North and #1 seed in NFC with victory. Otherwise, #5 seed. Your Detroit Lions (14-2) Head Coach: Dan Campbell (4th Season: 38-28-1) Projected Starting QB: Jared Goff (9th Season: 80-52-1) Last Week: 40-34 W @ San Francisco 49ers (6-10) Playoff Implications: Clinches NFC North and #1 seed in NFC with victory. Otherwise, #5 seed. Elsewhere in the NFL Saturday: Browns @ Ravens (4:30pm), Bengals @ Steelers (8:00pm) 1:00pm: Panthers @ Falcons, Commanders @ Cowboys, Bears @ Packers, Jaguars @ Colts, Bills @ Patriots, Giants @ Eagles, Saints @ Buccaneers, Texans @ Titans 4:25pm: 49ers @ Cardinals, Chiefs @ Broncos, Seahawks @ Rams, Chargers @ Raiders, Dolphins @ Jets