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Everything posted by MichiganCardinal
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I think a home-and-home between Michigan and Texas probably generates more money on the whole than Michigan-Central Michigan. I think it is more strategic than just wanting more money (though of course all decisions are related to money). Ohio State last year went 11-1 and made the playoff, probably came within a field goal of winning the National Championship. If they had lost to Notre Dame on September 3rd (they won by 11), they'd have been 10-2 and Alabama (also 10-2, but from the SEC) probably would have gone in their place as the first two-loss playoff team. So why play Notre Dame, when you could play Timbuktu College, write them a check for a million or two, and be much more assured that you will finish with no more than one loss? Competition should get a little better with the expansion of the playoff, but I'm still not sure the incentive for a B1G powerhouse to schedule an SEC powerhouse (or Notre Dame) in nonconference. Why risk it? Michigan will play USC, Washington, Oregon, and Ohio State in 2024, then USC, Ohio State, and Washington again in 2025. If they go 10-2 in either year, they'll likely make the expanded playoff. Why are they playing Texas in 24 and Oklahoma in 25 and risking going 9-3 or worse? I don't see the relative benefit (outside of the money generated from a September Michigan-Texas game). The real money will come from the College Football Playoff, and that should be the goal anyway.
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Similar to free agency, I doubt the Lions acquire any of the “flashy” players who might move - Chase Young, Pat Surtain, or Mike Evans. I don’t think Holmes will have interest in outbidding teams for a tool to add to what is already a well oiled machine. I think a role player or depth is a much more likely addition. Zach Ertz could be a cheap veteran addition to the offense for a playoff run behind LaPorta. Maybe a kicker if the Panthers will move on from Eddy Pineiro, the Colts from Matt Gay, or the Raiders from Daniel Carlson for cheap.
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There are degrees to everything. The Lions are in “win now” mode in the sense that their realistic goal this season is to win the Super Bowl. But they’re not in “win now or the window is closed” mode like the Rams in 2021. They’re still a very young team, and it would be foolish to mortgage the future to make one run this season. They’re set up right now to have sustained success for the next 5+ years, longer if Holmes keeps drafting the way he is.
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Basically the same player.
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As we stand here today, there are not a lot of obvious holes on this team. The defensive backfield seems like it should be one with the absence of CJGJ and now Moseley, but Jerry Jacobs and Will Harris are playing outside of their minds after being forced into action. You can't complain with what they're bringing to the table. Defensive tackle was expected to be a weakness on this team, but it's turned into a strength with the #1 rush defense in the league. Wide receiver seemed to be possibly lacking in depth too, but they just put up 42 points while missing their WR1 and RB2. I'm sure Holmes will be active and make a move if there is a smart one out there to make us better, but he's not going to mortgage the future for it. We aren't some old team with a narrow window.
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It's possible. That would be a weird transition for that offense to make midseason though, Ridder and Cousins are nearly polar opposites as far as their strengths go.
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While on the Detroit Lions 2023 Revenge Tour™, the Bucs aren't as obvious a choice as the Seahawks, Panthers, or NFC North rivals, the 47-7 drubbing the team took from the Bucs in 2020 still pisses me off when I think about it. Practically the entire interim coaching staff was in COVID-19 quarantine, which for any other NFL franchise in 2020 would have led to the game being postponed until Monday or Tuesday, as was requested by the Lions. Instead, the NFL forced them to play on Sunday with zero game preparation and poor Rob Prince at the helm, who will forever have one of the sorriest NFL head coaching records of all time as a result. Stafford got hurt on the very first drive and the Lions never crossed midfield the rest of the game. Their only points came on a punt return from Jamal Agnew. But Tom Brady got to embarrass us en route to clinching a playoff berth, so the NFL was happy.
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On the bright side for Minnesota they have a $66 million tight end.
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I can’t imagine the market is exactly excited at the prospects of acquiring a 35yo rental quarterback with a propensity to fall flat on national television. Short of an injury happening to a contender I don’t see a lot of teams that really make sense. The Jets maybe, but they have nothing to offer and can’t pay him. The Titans if they find themselves hanging around and want to make one last push? The Patriots if they want to give up on Mac Jones early and see if Cousins is worth being their guy in 2024? Maybe Mac even goes the other way in that one. None of those teams would offer more than a 3rd or 4th round pick though, if that. Given the absence of demand they’ll probably hold out hope to make the playoffs for as long as they can.
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Is "the farm" draft picks or is it guys like Hutch, ASB, and Sewell? The former, probably. The latter, probably not... but maybe for Mahomes.... As long as he doesn't bring Taylor Swift with him. It's not really a fair question though. Guys who are actually untouchable don't get traded. Prime Brady or Mahomes aren't getting traded the way Rodgers, Watson, and Wilson were.
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I think they're both prime examples of why it's stupid to sell the farm for Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson, or Russell Wilson. Build a supporting cast and you can install a lot of quarterbacks. Having a good play caller helps, but if they have an oil-and-vinegar relationship, they won't go far either (see: Goff and McVay).
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I don’t think the Vikings will challenge the Lions for the division. I agree they’re not the four-win team they’re on pace to be, they might split with the Lions, but I think they’re looking a 5-7 win season in the face. To go above .500 and seriously contend for a playoff spot they’d have to go 8-4 from here out, which seems like an uphill battle. If Cousins isn’t the QB of the future, it might make more sense to look towards 2024. I wonder if they’ll consider acquiring Kyler Murray if the price is right? I’m not nearly as delusional as the callers to 97.1 right now saying they think we will go 15-2 or 16-1. I stand by my 12-5 prediction. The Vikings aren’t far removed from the Packers but I think will suffer from their 1st place schedule compared to the Packers 3rd place scheduled. Losing Bakhtiari hurts the Packers, but saying they just lost him is akin to saying the Lions just lost Moseley. It’s true, and it hurts, but it’s not like either have really contributed through five games. I think Belichick is too prideful (and his seat too hot?) to win less than 4-5 games. I don’t think I listed the Bears twice? The Panthers were the last team in purgatory.
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You're right, I should have included Goff.
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This is where I see it right now... Super Bowl Contenders [serious contenders to win it all]: 49ers, Chiefs, Bills, Dolphins, Eagles, Lions Super Bowl Threats [could win it all if everything breaks their way]: Cowboys, Ravens, Jaguars, Bengals Playoff Threats [could cause problems in the playoffs for the above teams]: Rams, Chargers, Seahawks, Browns, Falcons, Steelers Playoff Possibilities [could reach the playoffs unconvincingly]: Packers, Buccaneers, Saints, Texans, Colts Purgatory: Patriots, Vikings, Titans, Jets, Commanders, Giants, Panthers Caleb Williams Sweepstakes: Broncos, Raiders, Bears, Cardinals
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vs. Setting: 10/15/2023 4:25pm on FOX Site: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL Weather: 79° High / 64° Low, 24% chance of rain, 11mph wind Opening Spread: Lions -3.5 All-Time Series Record: Lions lead, 31-29 Last Meeting: 12/26/2020, Buccaneers won 47-7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) Head Coach: Todd Bowles (6th Season: 35-50) Projected Starting QB: Baker Mayfield (6th Season: 34-39) Last Week: BYE (Preceded by 26-9 W @ New Orleans Saints (3-2)) Looking Ahead to Week #7: Sunday v. Atlanta Falcons (3-2) Your Detroit Lions (4-1) Head Coach: Dan Campbell (3rd Season: 16-22-1) Projected Starting QB: Jared Goff (8th Season: 58-46-1) Last Week: 42-24 W v. Carolina Panthers (0-5) Looking Ahead to Week #7: Sunday @ Baltimore Ravens (3-2) Elsewhere in the NFL Primetime: Broncos @ Chiefs (TNF), Giants @ Bills (SNF), Cowboys @ Chargers (MNF) 9:30am: Ravens @ Titans (London) 1:00pm: Commanders @ Falcons, Vikings @ Bears, Seahawks @ Bengals, 49ers @ Browns, Saints @ Texans, Colts @ Jaguars, Panthers @ Dolphins 4:05/4:25pm: Patriots @ Raiders, Cardinals @ Rams, Eagles @ Jets Bye: Steelers and Packers
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Do you think they wouldn't because it's the Lions or because it's not enough or both? If Minnesota is going to enter something of a rebuild (likely) and Jefferson is telling them he won't re-sign until he knows who his QB will be (as reported), it may make sense for the Vikings to shop him. Otherwise they're looking to manage a disgruntled wide receiver without a long-term deal on a bad team with a new quarterback... Add into the equation that Minnesota is probably not bad enough to win the Caleb Williams sweepstakes. They need draft picks, not wide receiver drama. It would take more than Jamo and a 1st though (unless Holmes goes full villain mode) and I would expect the Vikings to be wary of sending one of the best players in their franchise history to a division rival when he's 24 years old. And Holmes needs to worry about re-signing Sewell, ASB, and Hutchinson to large deals in the next two years.
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Ironically, I think the Lions may match up pretty well with SF and Philadelphia. I know it’s a weird feeling to have a really good football team, but we do. The key to beating us at this point is probably to play mistake free football, with an aerial attack that can find holes in coverage. SF, Philly, and Detroit lead the league in rushing attempts. With the Detroit run defense, that’s strength on strength. I think we would force Purdy and Hurts to beat us through the air, which they aren’t asked to do often (especially Purdy, SF has the 5th fewest passing attempts this season). There is a lot of season left to play, but I’m of the opinion right now that the NFC representative in the Super Bowl will be one of those three teams.
