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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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well one obvious way is wages have to climb until those jobs become as desirable as the ones people are more busy chasing, or you can import labor. "I can't fill these jobs" is just whinging by employers who have grown fat and happy with low cost labor inputs and can't fill them at the price they want to pay. But every task has a price where people will start lining up to do it/learn it. Of course nothing is free. If labor costs go up, the normal business response is to off shore those jobs that can be moved. How possible that is depends on government policy. All that is basically today's status quo - how we go to where we are today. To me, importing labor just to import labor is the absolute worst justification - it's basically just the old 'manifest destiny' unbounded growth idea and on a planet with 7 billion going on 10 billion people we need to get over it. It's OK if a nation's population gets smaller and if the US makes fewer widgets for fewer people. It makes me tear at what little hair I have left when I hear people think it's some kind of strategic crisis if the population doesn't just keep growing unbounded. If you ask me what immigration policy should be, it would be a reasonable process for true political refugees, and a reformed and probably expanded H1 program to allow people with expertise and ambition to keep entering and providing the innovation drive that they always have. I do not believe it is the US's responsibility to fix Central and South America by simply importing their populations. The good question is where are the 'reasonable' lines? I think one useful marker is looking at the durability and growth of foreign language enclaves. If you are bringing in so many people that you are generating stable societies within a society with as many or more people entering than are assimilating, than you are at the point were you are courting public backlash and social tension, which to me are the bottom line for where the control point should be. In the end, I don't think the answer if found by what business wants or economic policy or what a particular moral stance would argue, I think it's always the more practical question of what the current population wants to tolerate because at any given time it's their country. And if a historically immigrant population want to practice the hypocricy of pulling up the ladder behind them, in a democracy they have that right and you will simply lose elections arguing the case with them. I don't know exactly where those lines are, but when you have a public as energized around reducing immigration as the US is, you've crossed them.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
FWIW, Beck did a piece on Navigato in August talking up his bat but he also said the glove was not likely to play as a full time MLB shortstop. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
RIzzo is toast that's already been cut and buttered. -
Whose narrative? I try always not to care what people I shouldn't care about think!
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Only 27. Seems like he's already been around forever. Maybe because he looks 40.... 😉
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Holl. Finally gets the puck on the PP and makes a blind clear right back to a Hab. Open your eyes man. A couple of minutes later Petry, under no pressure, outlets the puck right back to a Hab. This team can't make the simplest plays like competent professionals.
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hey, the Wings aren't being out shot. (yet)
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this also
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everyone at his funeral service should speak as Rickey in the 1st person, as the symmetry to the fact that he never did.... 😢
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And here I thought Hooker was already the next understudy waiting to be an all-star. 😳
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
good. -
as pointless as it is to point out that Trump is a political black swan and any prior rules may not apply, I will none the less note that Trump is a lame duck from the moment he swears in on 1/20 so unless he really does intend to declare martial law and suspend the constitution, it is at least historical precedent for him to suffer the same fate as almost every 2nd term president - which is not getting much of what he wants while watching all the leaders in his own party angling for how to replace him.
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I suppose you can say that in any election where the sides change, but given the retention in the House and he small loss in the Senate in an already unfavorable year (more Dems seats at play), the party didn't fair as badly as the top of the ticket. Obviously the high level of enthusiasm Harris generated among the party faithful wasn't translating beyond it. You can as easily and maybe more accurately blame the loss on Biden for not realizing soon enough he would not be a viable candidate. If there had been a full democratic primary season the candidate that emerged might have had broader appeal. But I think that argument is more attractive in hindsight than in reality - when a party primary tosses a VP that's usually a party too fractured to win anyway. Heck, maybe the die was already cast when Biden won the primary in 2020 and made Harris his VP. Biden's age and likelihood his VP would end up the next candidate, Harris' lack of broader appeal were all known issues then if anyone had wanted to recognize them.
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Abortion and the Politics of Reproductive Rights in the Post-Roe Era
gehringer_2 replied to chasfh's topic in Politics
yup, and with this SCOTUS it would happen. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
So this SW doesn't do sub threading, so sometimes if I don't quote a post in a reply to the topic generally, but then someone injects a post in between which make a left turn the logic ends up not following at all, so more often I just quote the last post in the line to indicate an append to the topic at hand. So sue me..... -
IDK, If Trump throws Elon overboard, DJT walks away debt free with the result of all of Elon's election spending and twitter manipulation to get him elected. Could be the best deal he ever made.
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Merkel made the same mistake that American immigration progressives make, which is believing that because allowing refugees to emigrate is a moral thing to do, it is a politically/socially possible thing to do, and it simply is not. A leader may be laudable for their moral principles but they can't govern successfully by assuming their populations share their beliefs or are willing to accept the inevitable social costs of acting on those beliefs or by assuming the emigres that come will be the perfect assimilators they might be. And to be honest, it was not all moral rectitude on Merkel's part that led to Germany's open door, it was more than a little bit of old style Imperialist worry that declining birth rates might move Germany down the GDP list if they didn't start accepting large numbers of new workers.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
maybe it's out there somewhere, though I've never seen it, what I wonder is how the voting control of the trust is set-up. AFAIK, we have no idea which family members have how much voting control and as noted - what happens to Marion's piece, whatever it is. You may have seen that Murdoch has been in court trying to revise the terms of his trust to give Lachan more control because he knows when he's gone there is a good chance the other three siblings vote Lachan out of his current controlling position under Rupert. Rupert has so far had no luck, the court has told him 'irrevocable' mean 'irrevocable'. You simply can't change your mind once the trust is established unless the trustees all agree, and Lachan's siblings will not. If Rupert wants Lachan in control he will have to make the other three offers sweet enough to buy them out, which might leave his empire disastrously in debt. Don't you just bleed for the problems of the oligarchy? My guess is that Mike set it up so the other siblings can not get enough control to threaten Chris' continued custody of the team, but that's just my guess based on the fact that Mike clearly wanted the team to stay put as an enduring legacy. -
we're doomed
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Unless is was a very sloppily constructed trust, a divorce should have no effect. Divorce is exactly the kind of contingency that is easily anticipated when you execute a trust. The wife may be a beneficiary independent of her spousal status, she may not be, but doubtful that has any effect at all on Chris' trusteeship. -
I had thought from the beginning that the idea floated that the pitch clock would make pitching injuries worse flew in the face of the real world epidemiology that they continued to get worse as the games got slower. I think beside the logic of more time leading to greater effort, it is also conceivable that just spreading the effort out over longer clock time leads to a deeper level of molecular tissue exhaustion then being done quickly and getting the body back into recovery mode though that piece certainly could not apply to short relievers, who seem to be injured as much as starters.
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Who knows? Supposedly a 'Saudi Dissident.' That could span all the way from people who hate the Saudis because they are too fundamentalist to those who hate the Saudis because they have corrupted the true faith for profit. At least some indication he may have been stoned - but there is a Jihadi tradition of using drugs to steel oneself for that kind of act (checks origin of the word Assassin) so that doesn't necessarily mean lack of intent either. Or maybe he's so anti-religious Jihadi's and Christmas shoppers are all the same to him? And do Saudi Doctors just skip the Hippocratic Oath thing? It's mind numbing trying to keep up with all the species of crazy out there. EDIT: Now also seeing claims his anti-Islamic dissidence was a sham cover he adopted to fight extradition back to SA on criminal charges (this could also be Saudi agitprop). This will end up another tangled tale.
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LOL - tonight Wapo is reporting that the Congressional pay raise was stripped from the bill and it was not 40%, it was a 3.8% cost of living bump - $6.6K I wonder if some reporter or social media maven last week couldn't locate a decimal point....
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If Lalonde finishes out the season it will be the proof that was the plan. He seems like a beaten man in the post games - even after the wins. I would imagine his agent has to have asked to discuss an extension and they haven't returned his calls.
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Wings deserved to lose, but still would have won with better goal tending. Two of the 4 Montreal goals were pretty weak. But Montreal picked up the pace in the 3rd and the Wings had no answer. Team is so poorly put together. Raymond and Larkin are totally wasted being out there without someone who can recover pucks. Ras would be the guy if he played more often like he played tonight.