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Everything posted by gehringer_2
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this is all part of a larger societal conflict over food production. 1st world consumers want food produced by 'non-industrial' processes, but that's fundamentally at conflict with the need to feed 7 billion people from earth's available agricultural base. Basically the rich are willing to price the poor out of the ability to feed themselves. If you are in favor of kinder/gentler agriculture you better be in favor of either population reduction or at least big reductions in meat consumption (which is the biggest resource consumer) or you are holding to contradictory economic ideas.
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I just read an interesting twist, which is that the states that were transitioning to cage-free had been doing marginally better against H1N1, but now are being hit as hard as non-cage free operations as the virulence increases. So you may be seeing the cage free states just catching up to the rest of rest of country in bird flu impact. So cage-free may be a factor in why a price increase now, but not the cost issue per se. https://www.fooddive.com/news/post-holdings-egg-business-impacted-by-bird-flu-as-prices-rise/735694/#:~:text=Michael Foods%2C responsible for brands,about 14% of Post's supply.
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The Beginning of the End: The Lame Duck Period of Joe Biden’s Presidency
gehringer_2 replied to chasfh's topic in Politics
The general public has this idea that nature is cut and dried black/white male/female and it just isn't so. Chromosomes do lots of out of the ordinary things and there are other occurrences were nature decides not to play to simple cultural boxes, like embryos that are genetically male that end up with a hormone receptor block and you get a female phenotype with a male genotype. Nature is pretty sloppy actually. I don't remember which sports org it was, but their rule was which ever sex you went through puberty in was where you were assigned. That actually makes some sense because development of secondary sexual strength characteristic probably ties closer to testosterone in puberty than anything else. Maybe there are downsides to that criterion as well but it seemed like a fair starting point. That does rule out adults who transition (the cases that generates most of the heat) but allows a place for those whose genetics happen not to be bowtie neat. -
I wonder if it just goes back to him not being 'strong' on his skates. I don't think he has the balance as a skater to try to play much of a physical game without ending up on his butt all the time.
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the schools may have signed into who knows what kind of binding covenants when they joined their conferences or NCAA so I imagine there will be some kind of legal arguments, but in the end that all goes away once the leaving teams pay a suitable ransom for their freedom.
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More likely bird flu. The recent reporting is mostly about it jumping into the cows (and then people) but if cows are getting it its because it's still going around in chicken flocks.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Bregman's glove is obviously good, Sweeney seemed OK as far as it went. If Keith can be a solid 1B then maybe living with Torres at 2B will be tolerable -- IF they land Bregman. -
we really haven't had normal looking yield curves since mid '22. Things are beginning to look a little more normal now - at least from 1 to 20 years rates now increase continuously (monotonic) - you should get a larger premium on a longer term investment. Curve is still goofy from zero to 1 yr though. I'd guess a lot of investors believe the new admin will drive up inflation, which belief usually puts upward pressure on long term rates. I would also guess the Fed isn't too unhappy with the way it's trending though because if long term rates are holding or even floating up, they can cut short term rates more, which will make their political overlords happy, but wont have much inflationary effect if longer term rates stay up.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
so only ....4 yrs to fill? -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
they best hope McGonigle can stay at SS because if not the pickings are pretty slim. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Each side in the Torres deal is using the other as a partner of convenience. He has no intention of being here in '26, the Tigers no intention of paying him what he is going to want if he does have a successful '25. Keith's tenure at 1st could be a short one. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
Not to mention if you want to talk to Miguel you have a much better chance of getting through in Spanish. Petzold hable espanol? -
of course that's fine but a lot of fans would also like to know what's in the system that has real potential for them to be seeing in a couple of years. Of course if you really want to know you can make the effort to follow the MiLB teams.
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there might not be a reason to not to, but there is also absolutely no positive reason from them to ever talk publicly about any prospect player's downside, if for no other reason than to keep everyone happy on the farm. It never servers any purpose to bad mouth your own people even once you understand some of them aren't likely going anywhere.
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I don't remember which school it was, not a big one, but they had a rule that the Student government elections required 65% participation for validation. Not a bad idea. I doubt 50% of UM students even know that the MSA exists. The faculty Senate at UM is the same way, about 20% of the faculty participate, so it takes 11% of the total to win the vote on some some crazy resolution - then the Freep or DetNews rushes out a story about schism between the faculty and admin or how radical the UM faculty is. Same as it ever was. Was it Ben Franklin who said the young US had a democracy "if it could keep it." Apathy has always been the biggest enemy of all.
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As long as every player is a potential trade chip, you will never get an honest evaluation of their strengths and weaknesses from the org; and I don't expect that. But I do expect less credulity from Henning.
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I'm willing assume the new regime might be different, but the old regime's reporting on their own prospects was pretty useless.
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I wouldn't argue that in any number of fields, there are faculty with an ideological ax to grind, but in that respect US colleges are no worse "indoctrination" than what I've seen at a Boy Scout camp. I think the reality is that most students are pretty skeptical of that that kind of thing and the net effect may be to produce as many reactionaries to their views as adherents. The bigger problem is the control of faculty hiring by people with narrow views creating a school without intellectual breadth.
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Like a lot things, the reality is it's a spectrum everywhere. A quick analysis of the US Senate and electoral college show the US is somewhat flawed democracy. Manipulated elections are a favorite sham of Russian imperialism, so I suppose better that there be a mechanism to reject one than not . Dangerous, yes. If you are in a place where there is no good answer you best take the least bad one. But in Bergler's quote, I think the flaw is in his semantics. Democracy is more than just elections. Russia proves nothing if not that. If a society's rejection of an election is a better reflection of the will of the majority of the people, that is still democracy. The question as always is where is the actual truth.
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2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
When Tork got here I think it was pretty clear the Tigers org didn't have any solid system for hitting development. In the last couple of years we have started seeing guys take steps here and there - Bigbie, Workman, Meadows are cases of guys that looked stuck earlier and then made some progress (at least relatively) more recently. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
I don't think he has enough trade value that it's likely he's going anywhere so he's going to get his chance to hit his way back into relevance. There's a lot of potential there but he has to find an approach where the production matches the potential. It's sports - it's supposed to be do or die. Carlos was a late bloomer - we didn't move him until his age 28 season, Tork is going to be 25 this season so he's probably worth more to the Tiger's as a watch and see than in a trade, but you never know, if someone makes an offer..... -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
the need to bring in a strong D player has definitely gone up. It seems free agency may be devolving into a two tier system along with everything else. If the big 5 happen to be interested the sky is the limit, If they all pass the price tags drop precipitously. -
2024 - 2025 Detroit Tigers Offseason
gehringer_2 replied to AlaskanTigersFan's topic in Detroit Tigers
no argument with this take but I don't profess any idea of whether Torres is a player more likely to upset or solidify team spirit.